国家肾移植系统仿真模型的特点

Ashley Davis, Sanjay Mehrotra, J. Friedewald, D. Ladner
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引用次数: 19

摘要

器官共享联合网络正计划解决肾脏移植日益增长的地域差异。目前可用的模拟技术在分析系统一级政策变化的影响方面能力有限。本文讨论了肾移植系统离散事件模拟的发展,KSIM。讨论了KSIM设计,可以很容易地适应于测试不同的地理器官分配策略。采用实际移植系统数据进行输入分析,以最好地代表患者和器官到达过程。在讨论了我们的模型之后,我们简要地描述了KSIM是如何根据20年来的实际移植系统信息进行验证和验证的。我们还描述了KSIM在器官分配政策制定中的潜在可用性。
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Characteristics of a simulation model of the national kidney transplantation system
The United Network for Organ Sharing is planning to resolve the ever-growing geographic disparities in kidney transplantation. Currently available simulation techniques are limited in their ability to analyze the impact of policy changes at the system level. This paper discusses the development of a discrete event simulation of the kidney transplantation system, KSIM. KSIM design is discussed and can easily be adapted to test alternative geographic organ allocation policies. Input analysis employing actual transplantation system data was conducted to best represent patient and organ arrival processes. After discussing our model, we briefly describe how KSIM was verified and validated against twenty years of actual transplantation system information. We also describe the potential usability of KSIM in organ allocation policy development.
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