n-新闻供应商能力期货交易的双形式博弈

Yick-hin Hung, Leon Y. O. Li, T. Cheng
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摘要

我们考虑一组供应商,他们拥有相同的设施和类似的能力,可以在很短的交货期内为 n 个销售非同类产品的零售商(newsvendors)生产商品。我们将这种短交货期能力视为一种商品,可以作为期货交易提供给零售商。在两阶段库存模型中,零售商在第一阶段购买实物商品和产能期货作为库存组合,以确定其在销售季节的库存头寸。在第二阶段观察到需求实现后,零售商做出的补货决策仅限于手头的产能期货。然而,零售商之间可以结成联盟,转让剩余的产能期货。因此,零售商可以双向调整其库存头寸。我们证明了这一机制是促使供应商在旺季提供产能的良好工具,而期货市场则为供应商提供了对冲工具。我们采用双形式博弈来分析零售商作为博弈方在非合作和合作阶段的风险和收益。我们确定了第一阶段的纳什均衡和第二阶段的核心均衡。我们的研究结果表明,零售商可以在不同产品的不同供应链之间分担风险,从而降低库存风险,提高收益。然而,博弈会歧视那些利润率较低、库存成本较低和销售损失惩罚较低的零售商。
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n-newsvendor biform game of trading capacity futures
We consider a group of suppliers who have the same facilities and similar capabilities to produce goods with a very short lead-time for n retailers (newsvendors) who sell non-identical products. We treat such short lead-time capacity as a commodity that can be traded as futures to the retailers. In a two-stage inventory model, retailers buy physical goods and capacity futures as inventory portfolios in the first stage to determine their inventory positions in the selling season. After realization of demand is observed in the second stage, retailers make a replenishment decision that is limited to the capacity futures on hand. However, retailers are allowed to form coalitions to transfer the residual capacity futures among themselves. Therefore, retailers have bidirectional adjustments to their inventory positions. We prove that this mechanism is a good tool to induce suppliers to offer their capacities in the season, and the futures market provides a hedge for them. We employ a biform game to analyze the risk and payoff of retailers as players in both non-cooperative and cooperative stages. The Nash equilibrium in the first stage and the core in the second stage have been identified. Our findings suggest retailers can share risk among different supply chains with different products to mitigate inventory risk and improve their payoffs. However, the game discriminates against those retailers that have lower profit margin, lower inventory cost and lower lost sales penalty.
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