公共支出对巴西东南部各城市经济增长的影响

IF 1.8 Q3 MANAGEMENT REGE-Revista de Gestao Pub Date : 2016-07-01 DOI:10.1016/j.rege.2016.06.005
Larissa Degenhart , Mara Vogt , Vinícius Costa da Silva Zonatto
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引用次数: 13

摘要

本研究探讨了公共支出对巴西东南部城市经济增长的影响。样本包括该地区每个州的十个和十个较小的城市。对2010年援助、卫生、教育和文化方面的公共支出进行了分析。这是一项具有定量方法和截面的描述性研究。因此,本研究提出了一个非线性多变量回归的数学模型,由于在研究期间旨在检验经济增长与公共支出之间的关系,因此对此进行了实证评估。结果显示,所有分析城市的平均误差为14.98%,解释能力模型为97.7%,具有较高的可靠性。圣保罗州在各大城市中经济增长最快,里约热内卢在未成年人之间。有证据表明,在巴西东南部地区,公共支出对经济增长产生了积极影响,其中支出最多的是教育和卫生。此外,通过应用数学模型,可以推断出公共支出的分析,最终会提高市和/或州的GDP。由此可见,公共支出对巴西东南部地区的经济增长具有重要作用。
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Influência dos gastos públicos no crescimento econômico dos municípios da Região Sudeste do Brasil

This study investigates the influence of public spending in the economic growth of municipalities in the Southeast of Brazil. The sample consisted of ten and ten smaller municipalities in each state of the region. Public expenditures were analyzed regarding the Assistance, Health, Education and Culture, in the year 2010. This is a descriptive research with quantitative approach and cross section. Therefore, the study presents a mathematical model of nonlinear multivariable regression, this is evaluated empirically because during the research is intended to examine the relationship between economic growth and public spending. The results revealed a pet 14.98% on average error for all municipalities analyzed, and the power model of explanation was 97.7%, with high reliability. The State of São Paulo presented the highest economic growth among the largest municipalities and the Rio de Janeiro between minors. The evidence suggests that in Brazil's Southeast region for positive influence of public spending on economic growth, with the largest expenditures incurred were in education and health. In addition, by applying the mathematical model, it can be inferred that spending public analyzed, eventually boost GDP municipal and/or state. It follows that public spending have an important role to occur economic growth in the Southeast region of Brazil.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
8.30%
发文量
39
审稿时长
24 weeks
期刊最新文献
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