将预期协调理解为一个主要的智力挑战:“教育”指导方针

R. Guesnerie
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文强调所谓的“教育”方法对理性预期假设进行批判性评估。第2节进行了直观的非正式展示,旨在比较两种极端模型(两周期部分均衡模型和简单的真实商业周期模型)中“教育”学习和“实时”学习的方法和结果。一段理论文献,对金融、贸易、一般均衡、短期或长期宏观经济学等领域的稳定性采取教育观点....在第3节中进行了回顾。
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Understanding expectational coordination as a major intellectual challenge: The “eductive” guide line
The paper puts emphasis on the so-called “eductive” approach for a critical assessment of the Rational Expectations hypothesis. Section 2 makes an intuitive unformal presentation, aimed at comparing the approach and the results of “eductive” learning and ”real time” learning in two polar models, (a two period partial equilibrium model and a simple Real Business Cycle mode). A segment of theoretical literature, taking an eductive view of stability in the fields of finance, trade, general equilibrium, short term or long term macroeconomics….is reviewed in Section 3.
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