基于Google地图和LSTM深度学习的交通流量预测模型

A. Azad, M. Islam
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引用次数: 1

摘要

交通拥堵是城市道路网络中最重要的因素,是制定超前出行计划、预估交通密度和对交通流进行前瞻性管理的重要因素。它对社会生活、国家经济、人类健康造成不利影响,有时甚至无法对交通流量和信号进行管理。利用Google Maps实时和历史三种不同类型城市路段的交通数据,研究了堆叠长短期记忆(LSTM)网络模型进行多步前向交通速度预测。然后,使用时间相关算法将预测速度映射到预测交通流中。实验结果表明,提出的叠置LSTM模型的多步超前预测交通流平均相对误差在8.25% ~14.09%之间变化。结果表明,在高速公路和相同交通流条件下,该方法的预测精度有所提高,且较为稳定。
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Traffic Flow Prediction Model Using Google Map and LSTM Deep Learning
Traffic jam is the most important factor of the urban road networks for making advanced travel plans, estimating traffic density and proactively managing the traffic flow. It causes adversely affect the social life, country economy, human health and is sometimes unable to manage traffic flow and signal. We explore the stacked long short-term memory (LSTM) network model to perform the multi-step ahead traffic speed prediction by employing Google Maps real-time and historical traffic data of three different types of urban road sections. After that, a Time-dependent correlation algorithm is used to map the predicted speed into the predicted traffic flow. The experimental results explored that, propose stacked LSTM model’s multi-step advanced predicted traffic flow mean relative error is varying between 8.25% ~14.09%. Also, results showed that the prediction accuracy improves and is stable with the freeway and identical traffic flow.
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