基于随机梯度增强的短期电力需求预测

A. B. Nassif
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引用次数: 14

摘要

功率预测需求在电力系统和输电工程领域具有重要意义。通过对电力需求的有效预测,可以预测某一城市或地区的总能耗。因此,可以分配生产所需电力所需的确切资源。本文采用随机梯度增强模型(又名Treeboost)对阿联酋沙迦酋长国的短期电力需求进行预测。结果表明,与沙迦电力和水务局(SEWA)使用的模型相比,所提出的模型具有良好的效果。
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Short term power demand prediction using stochastic gradient boosting
Power prediction demand is vital in power system and delivery engineering fields. By efficiently predicting the power demand, we can forecast the total energy to be consumed in a certain city or district. Thus, exact resources required to produce the demand power can be allocated. In this paper, a Stochastic Gradient Boosting (aka Treeboost) model is used to predict the short term power demand for the Emirate of Sharjah in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Results show that the proposed model gives promising results in comparison to the model used by Sharjah Electricity and Water Authority (SEWA).
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