基于 PSO 优化的多层长短期记忆和多源信息融合的发动机剩余使用寿命预测

Wei Yuan, Xinlong Li, Hongbin Gu, Faye Zhang, Fei Miao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

发动机作为机械设备的核心部件,其运行状态直接影响设备能否正常运行。预测发动机剩余使用寿命(RUL)可以实时监测发动机的健康状况,及时制定合理的维护计划。针对发动机监测数据种类多、时间跨度长的特点,本文提出了一种基于粒子群优化(PSO)优化多层长短期记忆(LSTM)的发动机剩余使用寿命直接预测方法。首先,筛选出能很好反映发动机退化趋势的监测数据,并通过滑动时间窗构建样本。然后,构建多层 LSTM 模型,挖掘样本的深层特征,预测发动机的 RUL。最后,利用 PSO 算法自动优化多层 LSTM 模型的超参数,以优化模型的性能。NASA 数据集验证了该方法的有效性。以 RMSE、MAE 和评分函数作为评价指标。预测结果的 RMSE 和得分分别为 12.35 和 284.1。与传统的深度学习和机器学习方法相比,该方法具有更高的预测精度。
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Engine remaining useful life prediction based on PSO optimized multi-layer long short-term memory and multi-source information fusion
Engine as the core component of mechanical equipment, its operating state directly affects whether the equipment can operate normally. Predicting the engine remaining useful life (RUL) can monitor the health of the engine in real time and formulate a timely and reasonable maintenance plan. Aiming at the engine monitoring data with various and long time span, we propose a direct prediction method of engine RUL based on particle swarm optimization (PSO) optimized multi-layer Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) in this paper. Firstly, the monitoring data that can well reflect the engine degradation trend is screened out, and the samples are constructed through a sliding time window. Then, a multi-layer LSTM model is constructed to mine the deep-seated features of the samples for predicting the engine RUL. Finally, the hyperparameters of the multi-layer LSTM model are optimized automatically by the PSO algorithm to optimize the performance of the model. The effectiveness of this method is verified by NASA data set. RMSE, MAE and the scoring function are used as evaluation indexes. RMSE and score of the prediction results are 12.35 and 284.1, respectively. It has higher prediction accuracy compared with traditional deep learning and machine learning methods.
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