公告对新兴市场资本市场表现的影响:参数和非参数分析

IF 2.7 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS International Journal of Emerging Markets Pub Date : 2024-02-19 DOI:10.1108/ijoem-05-2023-0852
Tchai Tavor
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的本研究调查了 Airbnb 对新兴经济体的财务影响及其影响股市盈利能力的潜力。设计/方法/途径本研究采用多方面方法,结合参数和非参数检验、稳健性检验和回归分析,评估 Airbnb 公告对新兴经济体股市的影响。研究结果Airbnb的公告会影响新兴经济体的股票市场,其累计异常收益率(CAR)的模式很明显:公告前为负,公告后为正。知情投资者通过在公告发布前卖空和公告发布后买入头寸,战略性地利用了这一机会。回归分析验证了这些趋势,揭示了股指回报率和入境旅游会影响公告前的累积异常回报率,而 GDP 增长会影响公告后的累积异常回报率。与特定城市的公告相比,新兴经济体的公告对股指的影响更为明显,COVID-19 期间的公告比非 COVID-19 期间的公告在异常回报方面表现出更大的重要性。 原创性/价值 本研究通过全面的统计检验、区分新兴国家和城市、引入五个宏观经济变量以及依赖可靠的 Airbnb 原始数据,推进了现有文献的研究。它强调了投资者利用新兴市场的 Airbnb 公告在股市获利的潜力,强调了考虑更广泛宏观经济因素的适应性投资策略的必要性。
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Impact of announcements on capital market performance in emerging markets: a parametric and non-parametric analysis

Purpose

This research investigates Airbnb’s financial implications in emerging economies and their potential to influence stock market profitability.

Design/methodology/approach

Employing a multifaceted approach, the study combines parametric and nonparametric tests, robustness checks, and regression analysis to assess the impact of Airbnb’s announcements on emerging economy stock markets.

Findings

Airbnb’s announcements affect emerging economies' stock markets with a distinct pattern of cumulative abnormal returns (CAR): negative before the announcement and positive afterward. Informed investors strategically leverage this opportunity through short selling before the announcement and acquiring positions following it. Regression analysis validates these trends, revealing that stock index returns and inbound tourism affect CAR before announcements, while GDP growth influences CAR afterward. Announcements pertaining to emerging economies exert a more pronounced impact on stock indices compared to city-specific announcements, with COVID-19 period announcements demonstrating greater significance in abnormal returns than non-COVID-19 period announcements.

Originality/value

This study advances existing literature through a comprehensive range of statistical tests, differentiation between emerging countries and cities, introduction of five macroeconomic variables, and reliance on credible primary Airbnb data. It highlights the potential for investors to leverage Airbnb announcements in emerging markets for stock market profits, emphasizing the need for adaptive investment strategies considering broader macroeconomic factors.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.90
自引率
14.80%
发文量
206
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