人类通过改变环境放大地震次生灾害

Emma M. Hill, Jamie W. McCaughey, Adam D. Switzer, David Lallemant, Yu Wang, Sharadha Sathiakumar
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摘要

人为的气候变化和地貌改变--如森林砍伐、沉积物移动、灌溉和海平面上升--会破坏自然系统的稳定,扩大地震引发的山体滑坡、液化、海啸和沿海洪水的危害。在本《视角》中,我们将研究人类环境改造与地震次生灾害之间的联系和反馈,以确定减轻灾害的措施。植被清除、农业活动、陡峭化、荷载和排水系统破坏等造成的斜坡失稳会加剧山体滑坡的危害。例如,2010 年和 2021 年海地地震后,山体滑坡主要是在毁林斜坡上引发的。大量灌溉和土地开垦加剧了液化危害,2018 年帕卢地震后,灌溉区的液化导致地面位移达 15 米。原始沿海植被和珊瑚礁的退化或消失、沙丘的破坏、地下水抽取造成的沉降以及海平面上升都会增加海啸的内陆影响范围。恢复自然沿海生境有助于减少海啸的最大内陆波及范围,但其效果取决于海啸的规模。可持续的耕作方法,如混合作物栽培和滴灌,在某些情况下可以成功地降低土壤的饱和度和液化危险。未来的研究应探索这些可持续耕作方法和基于自然的解决方案在减少地震灾害方面的潜力,以及它们对气候和生态系统的益处。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Human amplification of secondary earthquake hazards through environmental modifications
Anthropogenic climate change and modification of landscapes — such as deforestation, sediment movement, irrigation and sea-level rise — can destabilize natural systems and amplify hazards from earthquake-triggered landslides, liquefaction, tsunami and coastal flooding. In this Perspective, we examine the connections and feedbacks between human environmental modifications and secondary earthquake hazards to identify steps for hazard mitigation. Destabilization of slopes by vegetation removal, agricultural activities, steepening, loading and drainage disruption can amplify landslide hazards. For example, landslides were mainly triggered on deforested slopes after the 2010 and 2021 Haiti earthquakes. Liquefaction hazards are intensified by extensive irrigation and land reclamation, as exemplified by liquefaction causing >15 m of ground displacement in irrigated areas after the 2018 Palu earthquake. Degradation or removal of primary coastal vegetation and coral reefs, destruction of sand dunes, subsidence from groundwater withdrawal, and sea-level rise can increase tsunami inland reach. Restoration of natural coastal habitats could help decrease the maximum inland reach of tsunami, but their effectiveness depends on tsunami size. Sustainable farming practices, such as mixed crop cultivation and drip irrigation, can successfully reduce the saturation of soils and the liquefaction hazard in some situations. Future research should explore the potential of such sustainable practices and nature-based solutions in reducing earthquake-related hazards, in addition to their climate and ecosystem benefits. Human modifications to the environment can amplify the secondary impacts of earthquakes, such as landslides, liquefaction and tsunamis. This Perspective explores the relationships between environmental modification and earthquake-triggered hazards to identify potential solutions for hazard mitigation.
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