对存在缺失观测数据的计数时间序列进行边际分析

IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Test Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI:10.1007/s11749-024-00938-6
Simon Nik
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引用次数: 0

摘要

实际应用中的时间序列经常会出现观测数据缺失的情况,这使得典型的分析方法变得不适用。处理缺失数据的一种方法是振幅调制概念。虽然这一原理适用于任何数据,但本文研究的是无界和有界计数时间序列的缺失数据,并使用定制的离散度和偏斜度统计量进行模型诊断。只需对基本过程做微弱的假设,就能推导出此类统计的一般闭式渐近公式。此外,还推导出了泊松和二项式自回归过程常用特例的闭式公式,这些特例总是在发生遗漏的假设条件下出现的。通过模拟分析了所考虑的渐近近似的有限样本性能。并通过三个真实数据实例演示了缺失数据下相应离散度和偏斜度检验的实际应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Marginal analysis of count time series in the presence of missing observations

Time series in real-world applications often have missing observations, making typical analytical methods unsuitable. One method for dealing with missing data is the concept of amplitude modulation. While this principle works with any data, here, missing data for unbounded and bounded count time series are investigated, where tailor-made dispersion and skewness statistics are used for model diagnostics. General closed-form asymptotic formulas are derived for such statistics with only weak assumptions on the underlying process. Moreover, closed-form formulas are derived for the popular special cases of Poisson and binomial autoregressive processes, always under the assumption that missingness occurs. The finite-sample performances of the considered asymptotic approximations are analyzed with simulations. The practical application of the corresponding dispersion and skewness tests under missing data is demonstrated with three real data examples.

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来源期刊
Test
Test 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
7.70%
发文量
41
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: TEST is an international journal of Statistics and Probability, sponsored by the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research. English is the official language of the journal. The emphasis of TEST is placed on papers containing original theoretical contributions of direct or potential value in applications. In this respect, the methodological contents are considered to be crucial for the papers published in TEST, but the practical implications of the methodological aspects are also relevant. Original sound manuscripts on either well-established or emerging areas in the scope of the journal are welcome. One volume is published annually in four issues. In addition to the regular contributions, each issue of TEST contains an invited paper from a world-wide recognized outstanding statistician on an up-to-date challenging topic, including discussions.
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