{"title":"对存在缺失观测数据的计数时间序列进行边际分析","authors":"Simon Nik","doi":"10.1007/s11749-024-00938-6","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Time series in real-world applications often have missing observations, making typical analytical methods unsuitable. One method for dealing with missing data is the concept of amplitude modulation. While this principle works with any data, here, missing data for unbounded and bounded count time series are investigated, where tailor-made dispersion and skewness statistics are used for model diagnostics. General closed-form asymptotic formulas are derived for such statistics with only weak assumptions on the underlying process. Moreover, closed-form formulas are derived for the popular special cases of Poisson and binomial autoregressive processes, always under the assumption that missingness occurs. The finite-sample performances of the considered asymptotic approximations are analyzed with simulations. The practical application of the corresponding dispersion and skewness tests under missing data is demonstrated with three real data examples.</p>","PeriodicalId":51189,"journal":{"name":"Test","volume":"167 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2024-06-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Marginal analysis of count time series in the presence of missing observations\",\"authors\":\"Simon Nik\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s11749-024-00938-6\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Time series in real-world applications often have missing observations, making typical analytical methods unsuitable. One method for dealing with missing data is the concept of amplitude modulation. While this principle works with any data, here, missing data for unbounded and bounded count time series are investigated, where tailor-made dispersion and skewness statistics are used for model diagnostics. General closed-form asymptotic formulas are derived for such statistics with only weak assumptions on the underlying process. Moreover, closed-form formulas are derived for the popular special cases of Poisson and binomial autoregressive processes, always under the assumption that missingness occurs. The finite-sample performances of the considered asymptotic approximations are analyzed with simulations. The practical application of the corresponding dispersion and skewness tests under missing data is demonstrated with three real data examples.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":51189,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Test\",\"volume\":\"167 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-06-28\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Test\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11749-024-00938-6\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Test","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11749-024-00938-6","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Marginal analysis of count time series in the presence of missing observations
Time series in real-world applications often have missing observations, making typical analytical methods unsuitable. One method for dealing with missing data is the concept of amplitude modulation. While this principle works with any data, here, missing data for unbounded and bounded count time series are investigated, where tailor-made dispersion and skewness statistics are used for model diagnostics. General closed-form asymptotic formulas are derived for such statistics with only weak assumptions on the underlying process. Moreover, closed-form formulas are derived for the popular special cases of Poisson and binomial autoregressive processes, always under the assumption that missingness occurs. The finite-sample performances of the considered asymptotic approximations are analyzed with simulations. The practical application of the corresponding dispersion and skewness tests under missing data is demonstrated with three real data examples.
期刊介绍:
TEST is an international journal of Statistics and Probability, sponsored by the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research. English is the official language of the journal.
The emphasis of TEST is placed on papers containing original theoretical contributions of direct or potential value in applications. In this respect, the methodological contents are considered to be crucial for the papers published in TEST, but the practical implications of the methodological aspects are also relevant. Original sound manuscripts on either well-established or emerging areas in the scope of the journal are welcome.
One volume is published annually in four issues. In addition to the regular contributions, each issue of TEST contains an invited paper from a world-wide recognized outstanding statistician on an up-to-date challenging topic, including discussions.