{"title":"马尔可夫模型模拟和分析国际文凭(IB)中学对未来所获等级的预期","authors":"M. W. Ameen","doi":"10.36371/port.2024.3.2","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Markov Chains can be a valuable tool for analyzing expected awarded grades in the International Baccalaureate (IB) program for secondary schools. A core principle of the IB program is the emphasis on student progress throughout the two-year Diploma Programme (DP). Markov Chains excel at modeling transitions between states, which in this case, could represent different grade levels (e.g., predicted grade of 4 transitioning to a final awarded grade of 5). \nOne of the complicated parts in the teaching system is how to conduct the evaluation process. The absence of an ideal evaluation standard is a problem in the teaching system at all [4, 5]. In this study, it is aimed to implement Markov mathematics in analyzing and modeling the IB Diploma Statistical Bulletin of May examination sessions, which is interesting and the most common to any IB student. Markov model will be realized using students’ grades which were contained the awarded grades for each of the six EE groups. The data are examination results from 427452 students in 2211 schools for nine years of the IB Diploma statistical bulletin of May examination sessions 2006 – 2014 [6].","PeriodicalId":502904,"journal":{"name":"Journal Port Science Research","volume":"42 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Markov Model Simulation and Analysis for Future Expectation of Awarded Grades for IB Secondary Schools\",\"authors\":\"M. W. Ameen\",\"doi\":\"10.36371/port.2024.3.2\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Markov Chains can be a valuable tool for analyzing expected awarded grades in the International Baccalaureate (IB) program for secondary schools. A core principle of the IB program is the emphasis on student progress throughout the two-year Diploma Programme (DP). Markov Chains excel at modeling transitions between states, which in this case, could represent different grade levels (e.g., predicted grade of 4 transitioning to a final awarded grade of 5). \\nOne of the complicated parts in the teaching system is how to conduct the evaluation process. The absence of an ideal evaluation standard is a problem in the teaching system at all [4, 5]. In this study, it is aimed to implement Markov mathematics in analyzing and modeling the IB Diploma Statistical Bulletin of May examination sessions, which is interesting and the most common to any IB student. Markov model will be realized using students’ grades which were contained the awarded grades for each of the six EE groups. The data are examination results from 427452 students in 2211 schools for nine years of the IB Diploma statistical bulletin of May examination sessions 2006 – 2014 [6].\",\"PeriodicalId\":502904,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal Port Science Research\",\"volume\":\"42 9\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal Port Science Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.36371/port.2024.3.2\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal Port Science Research","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.36371/port.2024.3.2","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Markov Model Simulation and Analysis for Future Expectation of Awarded Grades for IB Secondary Schools
Markov Chains can be a valuable tool for analyzing expected awarded grades in the International Baccalaureate (IB) program for secondary schools. A core principle of the IB program is the emphasis on student progress throughout the two-year Diploma Programme (DP). Markov Chains excel at modeling transitions between states, which in this case, could represent different grade levels (e.g., predicted grade of 4 transitioning to a final awarded grade of 5).
One of the complicated parts in the teaching system is how to conduct the evaluation process. The absence of an ideal evaluation standard is a problem in the teaching system at all [4, 5]. In this study, it is aimed to implement Markov mathematics in analyzing and modeling the IB Diploma Statistical Bulletin of May examination sessions, which is interesting and the most common to any IB student. Markov model will be realized using students’ grades which were contained the awarded grades for each of the six EE groups. The data are examination results from 427452 students in 2211 schools for nine years of the IB Diploma statistical bulletin of May examination sessions 2006 – 2014 [6].