如何改进行动

Marilyn Pease, Mark Whitmeyer
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摘要

对于决策问题中的两个行动(a 和 b),每个行动都会产生与具体情况相关的货币奖励,我们研究如何稳健地使行动 a 更有吸引力。如果 a 比 b 更受青睐的信念集合是 a' 比 b 更受青睐的信念集合的子集,而不管风险规避者的效用函数(以金钱为单位)如何,那么行动 a' 就会以这种方式改进 a。我们对这一关系进行了全面描述,并讨论了它在双边贸易和保险中的应用。
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How to Make an Action Better
For two actions in a decision problem, a and b, each of which that produces a state-dependent monetary reward, we study how to robustly make action a more attractive. Action a' improves upon a in this manner if the set of beliefs at which a is preferred to b is a subset of the set of beliefs at which a' is preferred to b, irrespective of the risk-averse agent's utility function (in money). We provide a full characterization of this relation and discuss applications in bilateral trade and insurance.
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