利用混合扫描统计法洞察台湾 COVID-19 的流行病学和地理集群

IF 2.1 2区 数学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Spatial Statistics Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI:10.1016/j.spasta.2024.100871
Yi-Hung Kung
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引用次数: 0

摘要

COVID-19 大流行给全球公共卫生带来了前所未有的挑战,因此有必要全面了解其传播动态。本研究探讨了 COVID-19 传播与各种风险因素之间的相关性,重点关注台湾人口结构和社会经济条件的影响。通过分析政府官方数据库,我们探讨了人口密度、抚养比和社会经济环境等因素如何影响 COVID-19 的传播。我们的研究结果表明,人口稠密地区、儿童抚养比高的地区以及中低收入家庭较多的地区的传播率较高。这项研究强调了在制定有效的公共卫生策略时考虑社会经济差异和医疗保健服务的重要性。此外,考虑到空间相关性和协变量效应,我们利用混合扫描统计来识别疾病热点。这种方法可以根据已知的风险因素发现疾病集群,并有助于评估可能存在的未知地理风险,从而促进有针对性的干预措施和资源分配。我们的研究有助于人们更广泛地了解 COVID-19 的传播动态,为在大流行病应对工作中整合社会经济因素和空间分析的重要性提供了启示。
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Epidemiological insights and geographic clusters for COVID-19 in Taiwan using a mixture scan statistic
The COVID-19 pandemic has posed unprecedented public health challenges worldwide, necessitating a comprehensive understanding of its transmission dynamics. This study examines the correlation between COVID-19 transmission and various risk factors, focusing on the impact of population structure and socio-economic conditions in Taiwan. By analyzing official government databases, we explore how factors such as population density, dependency ratios, and socio-economic environment influence the spread of COVID-19. Our findings highlight that densely populated areas, along with regions characterized by higher child dependency ratios and a significant number of low- and middle-income households, exhibit higher transmission rates. This research underscores the importance of considering socio-economic disparities and healthcare access in developing effective public health strategies. Furthermore, we utilize a mixture scan statistic to identify disease hotspots, taking into account spatial correlation and covariate effects. This approach can detect clusters based on known risk factors and help to assess possible unknown geographic risks, facilitating targeted interventions and resource allocation. Our study contributes to the broader understanding of COVID-19 transmission dynamics, offering insights into the importance of integrating socio-economic factors and spatial analysis in pandemic response efforts.
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来源期刊
Spatial Statistics
Spatial Statistics GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
21.70%
发文量
89
审稿时长
55 days
期刊介绍: Spatial Statistics publishes articles on the theory and application of spatial and spatio-temporal statistics. It favours manuscripts that present theory generated by new applications, or in which new theory is applied to an important practical case. A purely theoretical study will only rarely be accepted. Pure case studies without methodological development are not acceptable for publication. Spatial statistics concerns the quantitative analysis of spatial and spatio-temporal data, including their statistical dependencies, accuracy and uncertainties. Methodology for spatial statistics is typically found in probability theory, stochastic modelling and mathematical statistics as well as in information science. Spatial statistics is used in mapping, assessing spatial data quality, sampling design optimisation, modelling of dependence structures, and drawing of valid inference from a limited set of spatio-temporal data.
期刊最新文献
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