{"title":"利用混合扫描统计法洞察台湾 COVID-19 的流行病学和地理集群","authors":"Yi-Hung Kung","doi":"10.1016/j.spasta.2024.100871","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The COVID-19 pandemic has posed unprecedented public health challenges worldwide, necessitating a comprehensive understanding of its transmission dynamics. This study examines the correlation between COVID-19 transmission and various risk factors, focusing on the impact of population structure and socio-economic conditions in Taiwan. By analyzing official government databases, we explore how factors such as population density, dependency ratios, and socio-economic environment influence the spread of COVID-19. Our findings highlight that densely populated areas, along with regions characterized by higher child dependency ratios and a significant number of low- and middle-income households, exhibit higher transmission rates. This research underscores the importance of considering socio-economic disparities and healthcare access in developing effective public health strategies. Furthermore, we utilize a mixture scan statistic to identify disease hotspots, taking into account spatial correlation and covariate effects. This approach can detect clusters based on known risk factors and help to assess possible unknown geographic risks, facilitating targeted interventions and resource allocation. Our study contributes to the broader understanding of COVID-19 transmission dynamics, offering insights into the importance of integrating socio-economic factors and spatial analysis in pandemic response efforts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48771,"journal":{"name":"Spatial Statistics","volume":"65 ","pages":"Article 100871"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1000,"publicationDate":"2024-11-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Epidemiological insights and geographic clusters for COVID-19 in Taiwan using a mixture scan statistic\",\"authors\":\"Yi-Hung Kung\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.spasta.2024.100871\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>The COVID-19 pandemic has posed unprecedented public health challenges worldwide, necessitating a comprehensive understanding of its transmission dynamics. This study examines the correlation between COVID-19 transmission and various risk factors, focusing on the impact of population structure and socio-economic conditions in Taiwan. By analyzing official government databases, we explore how factors such as population density, dependency ratios, and socio-economic environment influence the spread of COVID-19. Our findings highlight that densely populated areas, along with regions characterized by higher child dependency ratios and a significant number of low- and middle-income households, exhibit higher transmission rates. This research underscores the importance of considering socio-economic disparities and healthcare access in developing effective public health strategies. Furthermore, we utilize a mixture scan statistic to identify disease hotspots, taking into account spatial correlation and covariate effects. This approach can detect clusters based on known risk factors and help to assess possible unknown geographic risks, facilitating targeted interventions and resource allocation. Our study contributes to the broader understanding of COVID-19 transmission dynamics, offering insights into the importance of integrating socio-economic factors and spatial analysis in pandemic response efforts.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48771,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Spatial Statistics\",\"volume\":\"65 \",\"pages\":\"Article 100871\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-11-13\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Spatial Statistics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211675324000629\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Spatial Statistics","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211675324000629","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Epidemiological insights and geographic clusters for COVID-19 in Taiwan using a mixture scan statistic
The COVID-19 pandemic has posed unprecedented public health challenges worldwide, necessitating a comprehensive understanding of its transmission dynamics. This study examines the correlation between COVID-19 transmission and various risk factors, focusing on the impact of population structure and socio-economic conditions in Taiwan. By analyzing official government databases, we explore how factors such as population density, dependency ratios, and socio-economic environment influence the spread of COVID-19. Our findings highlight that densely populated areas, along with regions characterized by higher child dependency ratios and a significant number of low- and middle-income households, exhibit higher transmission rates. This research underscores the importance of considering socio-economic disparities and healthcare access in developing effective public health strategies. Furthermore, we utilize a mixture scan statistic to identify disease hotspots, taking into account spatial correlation and covariate effects. This approach can detect clusters based on known risk factors and help to assess possible unknown geographic risks, facilitating targeted interventions and resource allocation. Our study contributes to the broader understanding of COVID-19 transmission dynamics, offering insights into the importance of integrating socio-economic factors and spatial analysis in pandemic response efforts.
期刊介绍:
Spatial Statistics publishes articles on the theory and application of spatial and spatio-temporal statistics. It favours manuscripts that present theory generated by new applications, or in which new theory is applied to an important practical case. A purely theoretical study will only rarely be accepted. Pure case studies without methodological development are not acceptable for publication.
Spatial statistics concerns the quantitative analysis of spatial and spatio-temporal data, including their statistical dependencies, accuracy and uncertainties. Methodology for spatial statistics is typically found in probability theory, stochastic modelling and mathematical statistics as well as in information science. Spatial statistics is used in mapping, assessing spatial data quality, sampling design optimisation, modelling of dependence structures, and drawing of valid inference from a limited set of spatio-temporal data.