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Clustering of compound events based on multivariate comonotonicity
IF 2.1 2区 数学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2025.100881
Fabrizio Durante , Sebastian Fuchs , Roberta Pappadà
Driven by the goal of generating risk maps for flood events—characterized by various physical variables such as peak flow and volume, and measured at specific geographic locations—this work proposes several dissimilarity functions for use in unsupervised learning problems and, specifically, in clustering algorithms. These dissimilarities are rank-based, relying on the dependence occurring among the random variables involved, and assign the smallest values to pairs of subsets that are π-comonotonic. This concept is less restrictive than classical comonotonicity but, in the multivariate case, can offer a more intuitive understanding of compound phenomena.
An application of these measures is presented through the analysis of flood risks using data from the Po river basin, with results compared to similar studies found in the literature.
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引用次数: 0
Measuring unit relevance and stability in hierarchical spatio-temporal clustering
IF 2.1 2区 数学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2025.100880
Roy Cerqueti , Raffaele Mattera
Understanding the significance of individual data points within clustering structures is critical to effective data analysis. Traditional stability methods, while valuable, often overlook the nuanced impact of individual units, particularly in spatial contexts. In this paper, we explore the concept of unit relevance in clustering analysis, emphasizing its importance in capturing the spatio-temporal nature of the clustering problem. We propose a simple measure of unit relevance, the Unit Relevance Index (URI), and define an overall measure of clustering stability based on the aggregation of computed URIs. Considering two experiments on real datasets with geo-referenced time series, we find that the use of spatial constraints in the clustering task yields more stable results. Therefore, the inclusion of the spatial dimension can be seen as a way to stabilize the clustering.
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引用次数: 0
The Multifractal Gaussian Mixture Model for unsupervised segmentation of complex data sets
IF 2.1 2区 数学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2025.100879
Garry Jacyna, Damon Frezza, David M. Slater, James R. Thompson
We derive the Multifractal Gaussian Mixture Model algorithm for decomposing data sets into different multifractal regimes building on the empirical observation that simulated multifractals have log wavelet leaders that are well-approximated by a Gaussian distribution. We test the algorithm on composite images constructed from multifractal random walks with known multifractal spectra. The algorithm is able to correctly segment the pixels corresponding to different multifractals when the constituent multifractals are most distinct from each other. It also estimates the multifractal parameters with minimal error when compared to the theoretical spectra used to generate the original multifractal random walks. We also apply the algorithm to satellite images with varying degrees of cloud cover taken from the LandSat 8 Cloud Validation Data set. The algorithm is able to segment the pixels into their corresponding cloud mask category, and it detects different texture and features in the images that are unrelated to clouds. The results indicate that the Multifractal Gaussian Mixture Model algorithm is well-suited for semi-automated unsupervised data segmentation when the data being analyzed exhibit complex, scale-invariant characteristics.
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引用次数: 0
Bias-corrected instrumental variable estimation for spatial autoregressive models with measurement errors
IF 2.1 2区 数学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-12-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2024.100878
Guowang Luo , Mixia Wu
In this paper, bias-corrected instrumental variable estimation methods, specifically the bias-corrected two-stage least square (2SLS) estimation and the bias-corrected asymptotically best 2SLS estimation, are proposed for spatial autoregressive (SAR) models with covariate measurement errors, utilizing available information regarding the variance of the measurement error. Under mild assumptions, the consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimators are derived. Simulation studies further reveal that the proposed methods exhibit robustness regardless of the presence of spatial dependence in the model. Additionally, a real data example is utilized to illustrate the developed methods.
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引用次数: 0
An optimised rabies vaccination schedule for rural settlements
IF 2.1 2区 数学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2024.100877
Rian Botes , Inger Fabris-Rotelli , Kabelo Mahloromela , Ding-Geng Chen
The timely and efficient administration of rabies vaccinations to animals in rural villages is necessary to attain a state of herd immunity. Efficient sampling of households in a rural village is of utmost importance in reaching the most animals for vaccination, with the least effort, and in the lowest time. This research seeks to both optimise the spatial sampling scheme used to sample households, as well as the route travelled by persons performing door-to-door vaccinations. The walking time in minutes is regarded as the cost of a vaccination scheme and is minimised in this paper. The distribution of houses in a rural village constitutes a spatial point pattern in R2, and as such, spatial point pattern analysis techniques as well as some spatial sampling schemes are applied throughout this research. The penultimate aim of this work is to provide policy makers with additional tools to combat rabies, a disease which remains endemic to some countries in West and Central Africa, and Asia.
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引用次数: 0
Softening the criteria for determining inner and outer predicted exceedance sets
IF 2.1 2区 数学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2024.100876
Thomas Suesse , Alexander Brenning
Determining exceedance regions, such as regions where a specified threshold of a pollutant in the environment is exceeded, is of critical importance for decision-making in environmental management and public health. Inner and outer predicted exceedance sets express the uncertainties in predicted exceedance regions as they sandwich the unknown true exceedance region with high confidence, analogous to confidence regions for point estimates. It is therefore desirable to reduce the uncertainty about the locations of the true exceedance region, resulting in a narrow band between the inner and outer sets. However, in practice this is not often the case mainly due to the strict statistical subset criteria being set, which are equivalent to a multiple testing problem controlling the familywise error rate (FWER). It is well known that the FWER leads to fewer rejections compared to other criteria; in the context of exceedance regions, this would correspond to an extremely small, conservative inner predicted exceedance region. In this paper, we loosen the criteria slightly to obtain a narrower band between inner and outer sets, allowing for more nuanced uncertainty assessments. A new algorithm is proposed to construct these exceedance sets, and the methods are compared in a simulation study to assess whether they indeed control the new criteria. The methods are illustrated on two data sets: average rainfall in the state of Paraná, Brazil, and nitrogen dioxide air pollution in Germany in the year 2018.
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引用次数: 0
Fixed effects spatial panel interval-valued autoregressive models and applications 固定效应空间面板区间值自回归模型及其应用
IF 2.1 2区 数学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-11-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2024.100875
Qingqing Li, Ruizhuo Zheng, Aibing Ji, Hongyan Ma
Interval-valued data has garnered attention across various applications, leading to increased research into spatial interval-valued data models. The integration of uncertainty variables into spatial panel data models has become crucial. This paper presents a spatial panel interval-valued autoregressive model with fixed effects, utilizing the parametric method. The quasi-maximum likelihood method is employed for parameter estimation, and its consistency and asymptotic properties are discussed. Additionally, three special cases and two degenerated models derived from our framework are presented, elucidating their significance in spatial statistics. Monte Carlo simulations are used to validate the fitting and forecasting performance of our proposed models across diverse scenarios. Furthermore, the models are implemented in real-world air quality and house price datasets for forecasting purposes. Through rigorous experimentation, the superior performance of the models is demonstrated. These results highlight the practical utility of the spatial panel interval-valued autoregressive models in addressing spatial data challenges.
区间值数据在各种应用中引起了人们的关注,导致对空间区间值数据模型的研究增加。将不确定性变量整合到空间面板数据模型中变得至关重要。本文利用参数化方法建立了具有固定效应的空间面板区间值自回归模型。采用拟极大似然方法进行参数估计,讨论了拟极大似然方法的相合性和渐近性。此外,本文还提出了三个特例和两个退化模型,阐明了它们在空间统计中的意义。蒙特卡罗模拟用于验证我们提出的模型在不同情景下的拟合和预测性能。此外,这些模型在现实世界的空气质量和房价数据集中实施,用于预测目的。通过严格的实验,证明了模型的优越性能。这些结果突出了空间面板区间值自回归模型在解决空间数据挑战方面的实际效用。
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引用次数: 0
Fuzzy clustering of mixed data with spatial regularization 利用空间正则化对混合数据进行模糊聚类
IF 2.1 2区 数学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2024.100874
Pierpaolo D’Urso , Livia De Giovanni , Lorenzo Federico , Vincenzina Vitale
A fuzzy clustering model for data with mixed features and spatial constraints is proposed. The clustering model allows different types of variables, or attributes, to be taken into account. This result is achieved by combining the dissimilarity measures for each attribute employing a weighting scheme, to obtain a distance measure for multiple attributes. The weights are objectively computed during the optimization process. The weights reflect the relevance of each attribute type in the clustering results. A spatial term is taken into account, considering a wide definition of contiguity, either physical contiguity or the adjacency matrix in a network. Simulation studies and two empirical applications, including both physical and abstract definitions of contiguity are presented that show the effectiveness of the proposed clustering model.
本文提出了一种针对具有混合特征和空间限制的数据的模糊聚类模型。该聚类模型允许考虑不同类型的变量或属性。这一结果是通过采用加权方案将每个属性的不相似度量结合起来,从而获得多个属性的距离度量。权重是在优化过程中客观计算出来的。权重反映了每种属性类型在聚类结果中的相关性。考虑到连续性的广泛定义,即物理连续性或网络中的邻接矩阵,空间项也被考虑在内。模拟研究和两个经验应用(包括物理和抽象定义的毗连性)显示了建议聚类模型的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Fast mixture spatial regression: A mixture in the geographical and feature space applied to predict porosity in the post-salt 快速混合空间回归:将地理空间和特征空间的混合应用于预测盐湖开采后的孔隙度
IF 2.1 2区 数学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2024.100873
Lucas Michelin , Lucas C. Godoy , Heitor S. Ramos , Marcos O. Prates
Extracting geological resources like hydrocarbon fluids requires significant investments and precise decision-making processes. To optimize the efficiency of the extraction process, researchers and industry experts have explored innovative methodologies, including the prediction of optimal drilling locations. Porosity, a key attribute of reservoir rocks, plays a crucial role in determining fluid storage capacity. Geostatistical techniques, such as kriging, have been widely used for estimating porosity by capturing spatial dependence in sampled point-referenced data. However, the reliance on geographical coordinates for determining spatial distances may present challenges in scenarios with small and widely separated samples. In this paper, we develop a mixture model that combines the covariance generated by geographical space and the covariance generated in an appropriate feature space to enhance estimation accuracy. Developed within the Bayesian framework, our approach utilizes flexible Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods and leverages the Nearest-Neighbor Gaussian Process (NNGP) strategy for scalability. We present a controlled empirical comparison, considering various data generation configurations, to assess the performance of the mixture model in comparison to the marginal models. Applying our models to a three-dimensional reservoir demonstrates its practical applicability and scalability. This research presents a novel approach for improved porosity estimation by integrating spatial and covariate information, offering the potential for optimizing reservoir exploration and extraction activities.
开采碳氢化合物流体等地质资源需要大量投资和精确的决策过程。为了优化开采过程的效率,研究人员和行业专家探索了创新方法,包括预测最佳钻井位置。孔隙度是储层岩石的一个关键属性,在确定流体存储能力方面起着至关重要的作用。地质统计技术,如克里格法,通过捕捉采样点参照数据中的空间依赖性,已被广泛用于估算孔隙度。然而,依赖地理坐标来确定空间距离可能会给样本量小且相距甚远的情况带来挑战。在本文中,我们开发了一种混合模型,将地理空间产生的协方差与适当特征空间产生的协方差结合起来,以提高估算精度。我们的方法是在贝叶斯框架内开发的,采用了灵活的马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)方法,并利用了近邻高斯过程(NNGP)策略来提高可扩展性。考虑到各种数据生成配置,我们进行了有控制的实证比较,以评估混合模型与边际模型的性能比较。将我们的模型应用于三维储层,证明了其实际适用性和可扩展性。这项研究提出了一种通过整合空间信息和协变量信息来改进孔隙度估算的新方法,为优化储层勘探和开采活动提供了可能。
{"title":"Fast mixture spatial regression: A mixture in the geographical and feature space applied to predict porosity in the post-salt","authors":"Lucas Michelin ,&nbsp;Lucas C. Godoy ,&nbsp;Heitor S. Ramos ,&nbsp;Marcos O. Prates","doi":"10.1016/j.spasta.2024.100873","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.spasta.2024.100873","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Extracting geological resources like hydrocarbon fluids requires significant investments and precise decision-making processes. To optimize the efficiency of the extraction process, researchers and industry experts have explored innovative methodologies, including the prediction of optimal drilling locations. Porosity, a key attribute of reservoir rocks, plays a crucial role in determining fluid storage capacity. Geostatistical techniques, such as kriging, have been widely used for estimating porosity by capturing spatial dependence in sampled point-referenced data. However, the reliance on geographical coordinates for determining spatial distances may present challenges in scenarios with small and widely separated samples. In this paper, we develop a mixture model that combines the covariance generated by geographical space and the covariance generated in an appropriate feature space to enhance estimation accuracy. Developed within the Bayesian framework, our approach utilizes flexible Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods and leverages the Nearest-Neighbor Gaussian Process (NNGP) strategy for scalability. We present a controlled empirical comparison, considering various data generation configurations, to assess the performance of the mixture model in comparison to the marginal models. Applying our models to a three-dimensional reservoir demonstrates its practical applicability and scalability. This research presents a novel approach for improved porosity estimation by integrating spatial and covariate information, offering the potential for optimizing reservoir exploration and extraction activities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48771,"journal":{"name":"Spatial Statistics","volume":"65 ","pages":"Article 100873"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2024-11-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142719821","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Pixel isotropy test based on directional perimeters 基于方向周长的像素各向同性测试
IF 2.1 2区 数学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.spasta.2024.100869
Mariem Abaach , Hermine Biermé , Elena Di Bernardino , Anne Estrade
In this paper we consider the so-called directional perimeters of a thresholded gray-level image. These geometrical quantities are built by considering separately the horizontal and vertical contributions of the pixel. We explicitly compute the first two moments of the directional perimeter under the hypothesis of an underlying discrete Gaussian stationary random field. We establish a central limit theorem (CLT), as the number of pixels goes to infinity, for the joint directional perimeters at various levels under a weak summability condition of the covariance function. By using the CLT previously established, we construct a consistent pixel isotropy test, based on the ratio of the directional perimeters. Our theoretical study is completed by extensive numerical illustrations based on simulated data. Finally, we apply our method to detect pixel anisotropy in calcaneus X-ray images.
在本文中,我们考虑的是阈值灰度图像的所谓方向周长。这些几何量是通过分别考虑像素的水平和垂直贡献而建立的。在底层离散高斯静态随机场的假设下,我们明确计算了方向周长的前两个矩。在协方差函数的弱求和条件下,当像素数达到无穷大时,我们建立了各层次联合方向周长的中心极限定理(CLT)。利用之前建立的 CLT,我们构建了一个基于方向周长比的一致像素各向同性检验。基于模拟数据的大量数值说明完成了我们的理论研究。最后,我们将我们的方法应用于检测小腿X光图像中的像素各向异性。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Spatial Statistics
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