精神错乱的悖论——这对能源系统意味着什么?

IF 13 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Advances in Applied Energy Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI:10.1016/j.adapen.2023.100143
Patrik Thollander , Jenny Palm
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在像电力系统这样的人造能源系统中,新概念有可能影响和塑造系统的发展。这种影响有时会导致积极的发展,而在其他情况下,新概念可能会导致不利的发展。在本文中,我们认为,当一个新概念被引入时,它可能会产生一个精神错乱的悖论。错乱悖论意味着引入一个新概念,比如一个新的治理或管理模型,可能会导致意想不到的后果,即某些部分或整个系统变得更不稳定,或者更缺乏弹性或错乱。能源系统的转变包括许多“邪恶”的问题,即难以预见其结果的方面。对快速过渡的需求,以及对实施新概念的迫切需求,加上缺乏或延迟的反馈循环,可能会导致严重的问题和混乱的系统。这种混乱的悖论甚至可能超出能源系统的范围,并将在本文中进一步讨论能源市场的放松管制,提高能源效率和能源灵活性。
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The unhinged paradox – what does it mean for the energy system?

In man-made energy systems like the electricity system, new concepts have the potential to influence and shape the development of the system. Sometimes the influence leads to a positive development and in other cases the new concept may lead into disadvantageous pathways. In this paper we argue that when a new concept is introduced, it may give rise to an unhinged paradox. An unhinged paradox implies that introducing a new concept, such as a new governance or management model, might lead to unintended consequences where some parts or the whole system become more unstable, or less resilient or unhinged. The transition of energy systems includes many “wicked” problems, i.e., aspects that are difficult to foresee the outcome of. The need for a rapid transition with an urgent need to implement new concepts together with a lack of or delayed feedback loops may give rise to wicked problems and unhinged systems. This unhinged paradox is likely to be found even beyond the scope of energy systems and will be further discussed in this paper in relation to the deregulation of the energy market, improved energy efficiency and energy flexibility.

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来源期刊
Advances in Applied Energy
Advances in Applied Energy Energy-General Energy
CiteScore
23.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
36
审稿时长
21 days
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