南亚的外债与实际汇率波动

IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance Pub Date : 2022-07-07 DOI:10.1177/22779787221107711

M. Moazzam

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究通过南亚国家重要宏观经济变量的视角，实证考察了债务积累与汇率波动之间的联系机制。汇率波动背后最具影响力的解释因素之一被认为是这些国家的外债流动。利用《世界发展指标》1980-2020年期间的数据显示，外债显著增加了汇率波动。该模型通过相关变量的面板格兰杰检验确定，估计了广泛的协变量，并通过随后的稳健性分析测试了所有可能的内生性来源。JEL分类:C33, F31, H6, O53

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External Debt and Real Exchange Rate Volatility in South Asia

This study empirically examines the mechanism that connects debt accumulation to exchange rate volatility through the lens of important macroeconomic variables in South Asian Countries. One of the most influential explanatory factors behind exchange rate volatility is deemed as the flow of external debt for these countries. Using data from the World Development Indicators for the period 1980–2020, it is shown that external debt increases exchange rate volatility, significantly. The model is identified via panel Granger tests for relevant variables, estimated for a wide range of covariates and tested for all possible sources of endogeneity via subsequent robustness analyses. JEL Classification: C33, F31, H6, O53

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来源期刊

South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

2.10

自引率

11.10%

发文量

期刊介绍： The purpose of the Journal is to publish (in English language) peer-reviewed articles, reviews and scholarly comments on issues relating to contemporary global macroeconomics and public finance by which is understood: The Journal is for all professionals concerned with contemporary Macroeconomics and Public Finance and is a forum for all views on related subjects. The Editorial Board welcomes articles of current interest on research and application on the areas mentioned above. The Journal will be international in the sense that it seeks research papers from authors with an international reputation and articles that are of interest to an international audience. In pursuit of the above, the journal shall: a. draw on and include high quality work from the international community of scholars including those in the major countries of Asia, Europe, Asia Pacific, the United States, other parts of the Americas and elsewhere with due representation for considerations of the readership. The Journal shall include work representing the major areas of interest in contemporary research on Macroeconomics and Public Finance and on a wide range of issues covering macro- economics, tax and fiscal issues, banking and finance, international trade, labour economics, computational and mathematical methods, etc. The Journal would particularly engage papers on pure and applied economic theory and econometric methods. b. avoid bias in favour of the interests of particular schools or directions of research or particular political or narrow disciplinary objectives to the exclusion of others. c. ensure that articles are written in a terminology and style which makes them intelligible, not merely within the context of a particular discipline or abstract mode, but across the domain of relevant disciplines.