波罗的海国家亲美主义的根源和恢复力

IF 1.2 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Washington Quarterly Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI:10.1080/0163660X.2022.2090757
Andris Banka
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引用次数: 0

摘要

美国从阿富汗撤军,再加上其他地缘政治动荡,引发了一些评论,认为华盛顿的信誉已严重受损,以至于其盟友不再将其视为一个值得信赖的伙伴。然而,尽管做出了如此可怕的评估,波罗的海三国仍然相信,在它们需要的时候,美国将调集其武装部队,向它们伸出援助之手。虽然对许多人来说,“不可或缺的国家”一词会招致轻蔑和白眼,但大多数爱沙尼亚人、拉脱维亚人和立陶宛人正是从这个角度看待美国的。事实证明,欧洲的这部分地区拥有亲美情绪的肥沃土壤,我们如何解释这一事实?如何解释这种现象的持久力呢?2022年夏天,美国和波罗的海共和国将迎来建交100周年,这是一个提供波罗的海亲美主义谱系的好时机,理清其长久存在背后的原因,并评估其未来持续下去的可能性。贯穿这篇文章的核心线索是,从本质上讲,波罗的海大西洋主义源于与华盛顿的积极历史接触,以及当代波罗的海官员的信念,即今天只有美国拥有充足的军事盾牌,并愿意用它来保护动荡不安的邻国中的小国。当本文对波罗的海国家的亲美主义进行评估时,一个重要的方法论问题是:考虑到波罗的海三国的文化和语言差异,是否有可能将它们归为一类?虽然很明显
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The Roots and Resilience of Pro-Americanism in the Baltics
The US exit from Afghanistan, together with other geopolitical tremors, prompted commentary suggesting that Washington’s credibility had been badly shredded such that its allies no longer view it as a trustworthy partner. Yet despite such dire assessments, the three Baltic states remain confident that in their hour of need, the US would marshal its armed forces and come to their aid. While for many the phrase “indispensable nation” provokes scorn and eye-rolling, a majority of Estonians, Latvians, and Lithuanians view the US precisely in that light. How do we account for the fact that this part of Europe has proven to have such fertile and resilient soil for pro-American sentiment? What explains the remarkable staying power of this phenomenon? As the US and Baltic republics mark 100 years of established diplomatic relations in the summer of 2022, this is an opportune time to provide a genealogy of pro-Americanism in the Baltics, disentangle the reasons behind its longevity, and assess the likelihood of its endurance in the future. The core thread that runs through this essay argues that, stripped to its fundamentals, Baltic Atlanticism flows from positive historical encounters with Washington, as well as the conviction among contemporary Baltic officials that, today, only the United States possesses an ample military shield and the willingness to use it in defense of small states in a volatile neighborhood. As this article takes stock of the Baltic states’ pro-Americanism, one important methodological question is in order, namely: is it possible to lump all three Baltic republics together given their cultural and linguistic differences? While clearly
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
5.90%
发文量
20
期刊介绍: The Washington Quarterly (TWQ) is a journal of global affairs that analyzes strategic security challenges, changes, and their public policy implications. TWQ is published out of one of the world"s preeminent international policy institutions, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), and addresses topics such as: •The U.S. role in the world •Emerging great powers: Europe, China, Russia, India, and Japan •Regional issues and flashpoints, particularly in the Middle East and Asia •Weapons of mass destruction proliferation and missile defenses •Global perspectives to reduce terrorism Contributors are drawn from outside as well as inside the United States and reflect diverse political, regional, and professional perspectives.
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