上海地区热带气旋降水和风的气候变化趋势

IF 2.4 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Tropical Cyclone Research and Review Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI:10.1016/j.tcrr.2022.09.002
Lina Bai , Rijin Wan , Rong Guo , Ming Ying , Rui Jin
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引用次数: 1

摘要

对近40年来上海地区热带气旋引起的年降水和风的变化趋势进行了估计。结果表明:tc诱导的年总降水量呈显著增加趋势,这与日降水量和年暴雨日数呈显著正相关;同时,最大持续风有明显的减小趋势,这可能与影响上海的台风强度减小有关。受影响的TC年频次、TC转译速度和影响上海时离上海的距离没有明显的变化趋势。降水和风的不同趋势表明,有必要采用更全面的指标来评估气候变化对社会的影响。
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Climate trends in tropical cyclone-induced precipitation and wind over Shanghai

The trends in annual precipitation and wind induced by tropical cyclones (TCs) over Shanghai during the last 40 years are estimated. Results indicate that there is a significant increasing trend in the annual total precipitation induced by TCs, which is related to the significant positive trends in daily precipitation and annual torrential rain days. Meanwhile, a significant decreasing trend shows in maximum sustained wind, which seems to be related to the downward trend in the intensity of TCs when affecting Shanghai. The annual frequencies of affected TCs, TC translation speed and distance from Shanghai when affecting Shanghai have no obvious tendency. The different trends in precipitation and wind suggested that a more comprehensive metric for assessing TCs' influence on society is necessary.

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来源期刊
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
CiteScore
4.60
自引率
3.40%
发文量
184
审稿时长
30 weeks
期刊介绍: Tropical Cyclone Research and Review is an international journal focusing on tropical cyclone monitoring, forecasting, and research as well as associated hydrological effects and disaster risk reduction. This journal is edited and published by the ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee (TC) and the Shanghai Typhoon Institute of the China Meteorology Administration (STI/CMA). Contributions from all tropical cyclone basins are welcome. Scope of the journal includes: • Reviews of tropical cyclones exhibiting unusual characteristics or behavior or resulting in disastrous impacts on Typhoon Committee Members and other regional WMO bodies • Advances in applied and basic tropical cyclone research or technology to improve tropical cyclone forecasts and warnings • Basic theoretical studies of tropical cyclones • Event reports, compelling images, and topic review reports of tropical cyclones • Impacts, risk assessments, and risk management techniques related to tropical cyclones
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