交通与城市经济的动态网络关系——以中国高速铁路为例

IF 4.6 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Research in Transportation Economics Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI:10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101360
Mingzhen Li, Hongchang Li, Kun Wang, Shuohua Shen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在过去的半个世纪里,高铁是全球铁路行业最重要的运输技术进步之一,其对城市经济的影响引起了学术界的广泛关注。然而,关于高铁网络与经济网络的动态演变及其相互关系的研究仍然很少。我们的研究通过社会网络分析(SNA)和一个复杂的引力模型来构建中国的高铁网络和经济网络来解决这个问题。此外,我们应用二次分配程序(QAP)和非线性Granger因果关系检验来分析两个网络之间的关系。结果显示,2008年至2020年,中国高铁与经济网络之间存在显著相关性,在不同空间尺度上表现出非线性因果关系的异质性。值得注意的是,高铁网络与经济网络之间的关系强度呈倒U型。这种相关性在较小的行政边界内比行政区域间更为明显。此外,高铁网络和中国中西部地区的经济网络往往形成相辅相成的演变模式。这些发现揭示了中国高铁发展与经济增长之间的互动过程,为新兴经济体寻求开发新的交通技术和促进协同经济增长的政策制定提供了基础。
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Dynamic network relationship between transportation and urban economy: A case study of China's high-speed rail as a new transportation technology

High-speed rail (HSR) stands as one of the most significant transportation technological advancements in the global railway industry over the past half-century, attracting considerable scholarly attention regarding its impact on urban economies. However, researches remain rare as to the dynamic evolution of the HSR netwok and the economic network, as well as their relationship. Our research tackles this issue by employing social network analysis (SNA) and a complex gravity model to construct China's HSR network and economic network. Furthermore, we apply the quadratic assignment procedure (QAP) and nonlinear Granger causality test to analyze the relationship between the two networks. Results reveal a significant correlation between China's HSR and economic network from 2008 to 2020, exhibiting heterogeneity in nonlinear causal relationships across different spatial scales. Notably, the strength of the relationship between the HSR netwok and the economic network follows an inverted “U” shape. This correlation is more pronounced within smaller administrative boundaries than inter-administrative regions. Additionally, the HSR netwok and the economic network in China's central and western regions tend to foster mutually reinforcing patterns of evolution. These findings shed light on the interactive processes between HSR development and economic growth in China, providing a foundation for policy formulation in emerging economies seeking to develop a new transportation technology and promote synergistic economic growth.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.40
自引率
2.60%
发文量
59
审稿时长
60 days
期刊介绍: Research in Transportation Economics is a journal devoted to the dissemination of high quality economics research in the field of transportation. The content covers a wide variety of topics relating to the economics aspects of transportation, government regulatory policies regarding transportation, and issues of concern to transportation industry planners. The unifying theme throughout the papers is the application of economic theory and/or applied economic methodologies to transportation questions.
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