Altman Z-Score和Springate:预测可能破产公司的综合方法

Risa Wahyuni EDT, Hafizia Seriska
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引用次数: 0

摘要

每一家利润逐年下降的公司都可能经历破产。由于印度尼西亚过去曾遭受COVID-19的袭击,因此本研究将使用Altman Z-Score和Springate方法预测公司破产。此外,本研究旨在确定最准确的破产预测方法,以预测印尼证券交易所上市的基础设施,公用事业和运输部门的公司。采用有目的抽样技术,共抽样23家公司。通过计算各破产预测模型的准确度水平和误差类型对数据进行分析,以预测可能面临破产的公司。本研究结果表明,Z-Score方法是最准确的方法。因此,可以得出结论,Altman Z-Score方法在计算破产预测时比Springate方法更准确。
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Altman Z-Score Dan Springate: Metode Komparasi Dalam Memprediksi Kemungkinan Kebangkrutan Suatu Perusahaan
Bankruptcy can be experienced by every company that has a decline in the value of profits from year to year. Because Indonesia was hit by COVID-19 in the past, this study will predict company bankruptcy using the Altman Z-Score and Springate methods. In addition, this study was conducted to determine the most accurate bankruptcy prediction method in predicting infrastructure, utility and transportation sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The sampling technique used was purposive sampling technique with a total sample of 23 companies. The data were analyzed using the calculation of the level of accuracy and type of error from each bankruptcy prediction model, to predict companies experiencing potential bankruptcy. The results of this study indicate that the Z-Score method is the most accurate method. Therefore, it can be concluded that the Altman Z-Score method is more accurate in calculating bankruptcy predictions than the Springate method.
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