泥沙产量模拟——以埃塞俄比亚中部青尼罗河流域古德流域为例

Gonfa Erena, Dereje Adeba
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引用次数: 1

摘要

古德流域是埃塞俄比亚中部青尼罗河流域的一个流域,由于农业用地的广泛分布,该流域大部分被侵蚀。本研究基于GIS环境的SWAT模型界面,对流域出水口产沙量进行模拟。利用SWAT-CUP在Guder测量站进行了10年(1996-2005)的流量校准和7年(2006-2012)的验证,以检查模型的性能。采用决定系数(R²)和Nash-Sutcliffe模拟效率(NSE)分别为0.92和0.80的统计参数对模型性能进行了评价。模型验证结果R²和NSE分别为0.83和0.65。标定和验证结果表明,实测值与模拟流量吻合较好。确定了每个小流域的产沙量,并确定了易发生土壤侵蚀的地区,以便进行管理规划。
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Modeling Sediment Yield-Case Study Guder Watershed, Blue Nile Basin, Central Ethiopia
Guder watershed is one of the watershed found in Blue Nile basin, central Ethiopia, mostly eroded area due to the widespread of agricultural land. This study is based on the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model interface of GIS environment to simulate sediment yield of the watershed at outlet. The stream flow was calibrated for ten years (1996-2005) and validated for seven years (2006-2012) at Guder gauging station using SWAT-CUP to check performance of the model. The model performance has been evaluated by using statistical parameters of coefficient of determination (R²) and Nash-Sutcliffe simulation efficiency (NSE) 0.92 and 0.80 respectively for calibration. Model validation results 0.83 and 0.65 for R² and NSE, respectively. Both calibration and validation results indicate that the measured values show good agreement with simulated flow. Sediment yield from each sub watershed were determined and prone soil erosion areas has been identified for management planning.
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