基于作业安全分析-模糊集成的船舶维修作业风险分析

C. Nugroho, T. Pitana, Bagus Dinariyana
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引用次数: 5

摘要

船厂是从事船舶保养、修理和建造新船的行业。在船舶修理作业中,有许多作业活动。螺旋桨的检查、爆破、修补、焊接、一般工作、电气工作是船舶修理作业中的一项活动。本文提出了一种将作业安全分析(JSA)与贝叶斯网络(BN)和模糊推理系统(FIS)相结合的船舶维修作业风险分析方法。JSA方法用于发现维修操作的危害和后果。BN是为似然因子的概率计算而开发的。同时,将FIS作为一种计算风险等级的方法。FIS采用基于专家知识和经验的Mamdani算法。三种方法的结合是用于完成重复活动的风险评估。将该方法应用于船舶维修中重复作业风险等级的确定。结果表明,根据影响运行的基本因素,所提模型更加准确、精确和灵活。这将有助于减少运行中可能发生的事故。该方法可作为其他操作中风险评估计算工具的另一种选择。
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Risk Analysis Using Job Safety Analysis-Fuzzy Integration for Ship Maintenance Operation
Shipyard is an industry engaged in the maintenance and repair of ship and construction of a new ship. In ship repair operations, there are many activities in this operation. Propeller inspection, blasting, replating, welding, general work, electric work is an activity in ship repair operation. This research proposed a methodology to risk analysis ship maintenance operation, integrating Job Safety Analysis (JSA) with Bayesian Network (BN) and Fuzzy Inferences System (FIS). JSA method is used to find the hazards and the consequences of the maintenance operation. BN is developed for probability calculating of likelihood factors. Meanwhile, the FIS are used as a method to calculate the risk level. The FIS using Mamdani algorithm based on expert’s knowledge and experience. The integration of three methods is use too complete the risk assessment for replating activities . The proposed method is used to find out the risk level of replating activity on ship maintenance. Based on the result, the proposed model is more accurate, precise, and flexible depend on the basic factor that influence the operation. It will help to reduce the potential accident on operation. This proposed method could be the other option as a tool to calculate risk assessment in other operations .
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0.00%
发文量
17
审稿时长
9 weeks
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