用多元线性回归估计巴格达市日最高气温

Hayder M. Al-Samarrai, M. Al-Jiboori
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们使用了巴格达气象站2005-2020年的历史观测资料,该气象站属于亚热带地区,夏季气候炎热干燥,冬季气候寒冷多雨。对多元线性回归方程进行了发展和改进,得到了预测最高气温的公式。这是通过依赖气候要素,即最低气温、风速和相对湿度,并将它们作为对估计最高气温有直接影响的独立输入输入到公式中,并计算每个因素的相关系数来实现的。计算模型的偏差,并输入其值作为模型应用过程中产生的误差的修正。
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Estimation of the Daily Maximum Air Temperature for Baghdad City Using Multiple Linear Regression
In this paper, we relied on historical observations for the period between (2005-2020) for the Baghdad meteorological station, which is characterized by a hot, dry climate in summer and cold and rainy in winter, as it is an example of a subtropical region. The multiple linear regression equation was developed and improved to produce a formula that predicts maximum air temperature. This was done by relying on climatic elements, namely minimum air temperature, wind speed, and relative humidity, and entering them into the formula as independent inputs that have a direct impact on estimating the maximum air temperature also calculating the correlation coefficients for each of them. The bias of the model was calculated and its value was entered as the correction for errors that accompany the application of the model.
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