covid-19隔离如何导致贫困?

IF 2.4 Q2 ECONOMICS Contemporary Economics Pub Date : 2021-09-08 DOI:10.5709/ce.1897-9254.453
M. A. R. Estrada
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究试图从多维角度直观地展示COVID-19隔离如何导致大规模失业、通货膨胀持续扩大、购买力平价降低和贫困扩大。这种可视化只能通过创建一个新的多变量图形模型来实现,这个模型被称为“多维贫困万花筒图”。多维贫困万花筒图在任何情况下都不打算使用预测模型。但是,它的应用并不局限于对一组特定国家的研究。它不受有关区域或有兴趣应用多维贫困万花筒图的国家的问题的限制。在多维贫困万花筒图的实施中有四个主要阶段。第一阶段是输入-输出表的设计。第二阶段分为两部分分析:第一部分分析假设COVID-19隔离时间框架增长率(Y =自变量)直接影响我们分析的四个变量,如通货膨胀增长率(X1)、失业率增长率(X2)、购买力平价增长率(X3)、政府预算赤字(X4)。在第二部分的分析中,最后四个分析变量成为我们的因变量,直接影响贫困增长率(Z)。第三阶段是多维贫困万花筒图的构建。最后,将多维贫困万花筒图应用于美国、马来西亚和危地马拉等三个国家。©2021,华沙经济与人文科学大学。版权所有。
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How covid-19 quarantine(S) can generate poverty?
This research paper attempts to show visually how the COVID-19 quarantines can generate mas-sive unemployment, constant expansion of inflation, reduction of the purchasing power parity, and poverty expansion from a multidimensional perspective. This visualization is only possible by creating a new multivariate graphical modeling called “The Multidimensional Poverty Kaleidoscope Graph.” The multidimensional poverty kaleidoscope graph is not intended to use a forecasting model in any case. However, its application is not limited to the study of a particular group of coun-tries. It is not constrained by issues about the region or countries interested in applying the multidimensional poverty kaleidoscope graph. There are four primary phases in the implementation of the multidimensional poverty kaleidoscope graph. The first phase is the design of the input-output-table. The second phase is divided into two sections of analysis: the first section of analysis assumes that the COVID-19 quarantine time framework growth rate (Y = Independent variable) impacts directly on our four variables in analysis, such as the inflation growth rate (X1);the unemployment growth rate (X2);purchasing power parity growth rate (X3);the government budget deficit (X4). In the second section of the analysis, the last past four variables in analysis became our dependent variables and directly affected the poverty growth rate (Z). The third phase is the construction of the multidimensional poverty kaleidoscope graph. Finally, the multidimensional poverty kaleidoscope graph was applied to three countries, such as the U.S., Malaysia, and Guatemala. © 2021, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw. All rights reserved.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
9.50%
发文量
0
审稿时长
24 weeks
期刊介绍: The mission of the Contemporary Economics is to publish advanced theoretical and empirical research in economics, finance, accounting and management with the noticeable contribution and impact to the development of those disciplines and preferably with practice relevancies. All entirety of methods is desirable, including a falsification of conventional understanding, theory building through inductive or qualitative research, first empirical testing of a theory, meta-analysis with theoretical implications, constructive replication that clarifies the boundaries or range of a theory for theoretical research as well as qualitative, quantitative, field, laboratory, meta-analytic, and combination for an empirical research. This clear priority for comprehensive manuscripts containing a methodology-based theoretical and empirical research with implications and recommendations for policymaking does not exclude manuscripts entirely focused on theory or methodology. Manuscripts that raise significant, actual topics of international relevance will be highly appreciated. The interdisciplinary approach including – besides economic, financial, accounting or managerial –also other aspects, is welcomed.
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