比较真实和模拟高频交易者的代理设计行为

Masanori Hirano, K. Izumi, Hiroyasu Matsushima, Hiroki Sakaji
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引用次数: 9

摘要

最近,金融市场显示出巨大的风险和波动程度。要理解这些风险的来源,就需要能够充分反映市场真实机制的模拟模型。在本文中,我们比较了高频交易者做市(HFT-MM)策略在真实金融市场和模拟金融市场中的数据。对于前者,我们提取交易者聚类,并识别出一个统计指标具有HFT-MM特征的聚类。然后,我们分析了这些交易者的订单与市场价格之间的差异。在我们的模拟中,我们基于前人的研究,建立了一个具有连续双拍卖系统、风格化交易者代理和HFT-MM交易者代理的人工市场模型。作为实验,我们比较了HFT-MM交易者在真实和模拟金融数据中的下单分布。我们发现,在真实数据和模拟数据中,市场或最优价格附近的下单分布是相似的。然而,当真实数据显示出更大范围的订单时,远离市场或最优价格的订单显著减少。这表明,为了建立更真实的金融市场模拟,整合细粒度数据是必不可少的。
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Comparing Actual and Simulated HFT Traders' Behavior for Agent Design
Recently financial markets have shown significant risks and levels of volatility. Understanding the sources of these risks require simulation models capable of representing adequately the real mechanisms of markets. In this paper, we compared data of the high-frequency-tradermarket-making (HFT-MM) strategy from both the real financialmarket andour simulation. Regarding the former,weextracted trader clusters and identified one cluster whose statistical indexes indicated HFT-MM features. We then analyzed the di erence between these traders’ orders and themarket price. In our simulation, we built an artificial market model with a continuous double auction system, stylized trader agents, and HFT-MM trader agents based on prior research. As an experiment, we compared the distribution of the order placements of HFT-MM traders in the real and simulated financial data. We found that the order placement distribution near the market or best price in both the real data and the simulations were similar. However, the orders far from the market or best price di ered significantly when the real data exhibited a wider range of orders. This indicates that in order to build more realistic simulation of financial markets, integrating fine-grained data is essential.
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