斯里兰卡银行业发展与经济增长:计量经济学分析

M. Wijesinghe, P. Dulanjani
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本研究旨在通过识别斯里兰卡银行业发展与经济增长之间的短期和长期关系,探讨银行业在提升斯里兰卡经济增长中的作用。设计/方法/方法:本研究使用世界银行全球金融发展数据库和世界发展指标中1960年至2019年的年度数据。Odedokun模型假设了金融发展与经济增长之间的因果关系,并在ARDL框架下使用了约束检验。研究发现:通过支持供给主导增长模型,银行业发展指标的长期参数估计值对经济增长具有正向影响。误差修正模型的估计提供了短期关系的概貌,其结果与长期模型的结果高度一致。格兰杰因果检验发现,银行业发展对GDP的格兰杰因果关系表明为单边关系。独创性:本研究不同于现有的研究,主要集中在新古典的单部门总生产模型上。在新开发的计量经济学方法的帮助下,金融发展与其他实体部门变量一起输入,以确定短期和长期关系。
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Banking Sector Development and Economic Growth in Sri Lanka: An Econometric Analysis
Purpose: This study aims to explore the role of the banking sector in elevating the economic growth of Sri Lanka by identifying the short-run and long-run relationship between banking sector development and economic growth in Sri Lanka. Design/Methodology/Approach: This study uses annual data for the period 1960 to 2019 from World Bank's Global Financial Development Database and World Development Indicators. Odedokun's model, which assumes the causation between financial development to economic growth, is employed using the bound test within the ARDL framework. Findings: The estimated long-term parameter of the banking industry development indicator was found to be positively affected economic growth by supporting supply-led growth model. The estimations of the Error Correction Model provide a broad picture of the short-term relationship, and the results are highly consistent with the results of the long-term model. Granger Causality test found that the banking sector development granger cause to the GDP indicating a unilateral relationship. Originality: This study differs from the existing studies, which focus on the neoclassical one-sector aggregate production model. Financial development is input along with other real sector variables to identify the short-run and long-run relationship with the help of a newly developed econometric approach.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
11.10%
发文量
10
期刊介绍: The purpose of the Journal is to publish (in English language) peer-reviewed articles, reviews and scholarly comments on issues relating to contemporary global macroeconomics and public finance by which is understood: The Journal is for all professionals concerned with contemporary Macroeconomics and Public Finance and is a forum for all views on related subjects. The Editorial Board welcomes articles of current interest on research and application on the areas mentioned above. The Journal will be international in the sense that it seeks research papers from authors with an international reputation and articles that are of interest to an international audience. In pursuit of the above, the journal shall: a. draw on and include high quality work from the international community of scholars including those in the major countries of Asia, Europe, Asia Pacific, the United States, other parts of the Americas and elsewhere with due representation for considerations of the readership. The Journal shall include work representing the major areas of interest in contemporary research on Macroeconomics and Public Finance and on a wide range of issues covering macro- economics, tax and fiscal issues, banking and finance, international trade, labour economics, computational and mathematical methods, etc. The Journal would particularly engage papers on pure and applied economic theory and econometric methods. b. avoid bias in favour of the interests of particular schools or directions of research or particular political or narrow disciplinary objectives to the exclusion of others. c. ensure that articles are written in a terminology and style which makes them intelligible, not merely within the context of a particular discipline or abstract mode, but across the domain of relevant disciplines.
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