散居侨民汇款-股票市场发展:津巴布韦的包容性框架

Shame Mukoka, Tracy Nyamusa
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摘要

本研究旨在确定侨民汇款增长和股票市场发展的包容性框架。股票市场在经济发展和增长中发挥着重要作用,通过创造流动性和分配资源到经济的赤字部门。该研究使用了ARDL-ECM来确定这两个变量之间的关系,使用了1990年至2020年的数据。采用Eviews Version 9.0 Statistical Package进行回归分析。本研究发现,海外侨民汇款与津巴布韦股市发展之间存在不显著的负向关系。这可能是由于散居海外的汇款通过非正式渠道流动,因此可能没有被用于股票市场发展。该研究建议建立一个包容性框架,使政府能够采取措施,通过消除腐败、建立稳定的政治环境、制定确保宏观经济环境稳定的政策以及建立正确的治理体系,增强投资者的信心,鼓励海外人口更多地投资津巴布韦。鼓励必须由政府和非政府组织开展的运动,教育散居海外的津巴布韦人投资国内的好处。允许政府建立正式的侨民汇款渠道,收取最低费用,以鼓励更多的汇款通过这些渠道流动。政府还必须为债券持有人提供优惠的利率,以吸引那些散居海外的人投资股市。
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Diaspora Remittances-Stock Market Development: An Inclusive Framework for Zimbabwe
This study sought to determine an inclusive framework for diaspora remittances growth and stock market development. Stock market plays an important role in economic development and growth by creating liquidity and allocation of resources to deficit sectors of the economy. The study used the ARDL-ECM in the determination of the relationship between the two variables, using data for the period 1990 to 2020. Eviews Version 9.0 Statistical Package was used to run the regressions. This study found that Diaspora Remittances have an insignificant negative relationship with Stock Market Development for Zimbabwe. This may have been due to Diaspora Remittances flowing through informal channels and, therefore, may have not be tapped on for Stock Market Development. The study recommend an inclusive framework that allows the government to take measures to boost investor confidence, to encourage the diaspora population to invest more in Zimbabwe through elimination of corruption, having stable political environment, formulation of policies that ensures stability in the macroeconomic environment, and having the right governance systems. Encouraging campaigns which must be run by the government and nongovernmental organizations educating Zimbabweans in the diaspora of the benefits of investing home. Allowing the government to set up formal diaspora remitting channels which have minimal charges to encourage more remittances to flow through the channels. Government must also offer favourable interest rates on bond holders so as to lure those in the diaspora to invest in the stock market.
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