Bangar Raju Totakura, Vrinda Sharma, Vishal Kashav, Subir Ranjan Das
{"title":"拆船指数价格波动","authors":"Bangar Raju Totakura, Vrinda Sharma, Vishal Kashav, Subir Ranjan Das","doi":"10.7225/toms.v10.n02.w04","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Aim: The main objective of this paper is to explore the volatility of ship demolition indices. Ship demolition indices are becoming increasingly important owing to the growing number of norms and rules imposed by the International Maritime Organization. Financial crunch and stricter emission norms are forcing vessel owners to consider ship demolition options. This study examines the volatility of ship demolition rates of the Baltic Demolition Index and the causal relationship between the Chinese and Indian subcontinent indices. Methods: EGARCH models have been used to explore the volatility and asymmetric effects in the time series. The relationship between the two indices was established using the Granger causality test. Results and conclusion: The final analysis confirmed that ship demolition indices are both volatile and asymmetric. This study is unique and useful to ship owners, vessel operators, and banks as it helps them understand the risks involved.","PeriodicalId":42576,"journal":{"name":"Transactions on Maritime Science-ToMS","volume":"159 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.8000,"publicationDate":"2021-10-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Volatility of Ship Demolition Index Prices\",\"authors\":\"Bangar Raju Totakura, Vrinda Sharma, Vishal Kashav, Subir Ranjan Das\",\"doi\":\"10.7225/toms.v10.n02.w04\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Aim: The main objective of this paper is to explore the volatility of ship demolition indices. Ship demolition indices are becoming increasingly important owing to the growing number of norms and rules imposed by the International Maritime Organization. Financial crunch and stricter emission norms are forcing vessel owners to consider ship demolition options. This study examines the volatility of ship demolition rates of the Baltic Demolition Index and the causal relationship between the Chinese and Indian subcontinent indices. Methods: EGARCH models have been used to explore the volatility and asymmetric effects in the time series. The relationship between the two indices was established using the Granger causality test. Results and conclusion: The final analysis confirmed that ship demolition indices are both volatile and asymmetric. This study is unique and useful to ship owners, vessel operators, and banks as it helps them understand the risks involved.\",\"PeriodicalId\":42576,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Transactions on Maritime Science-ToMS\",\"volume\":\"159 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-10-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Transactions on Maritime Science-ToMS\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.7225/toms.v10.n02.w04\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, MARINE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Transactions on Maritime Science-ToMS","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.7225/toms.v10.n02.w04","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, MARINE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Aim: The main objective of this paper is to explore the volatility of ship demolition indices. Ship demolition indices are becoming increasingly important owing to the growing number of norms and rules imposed by the International Maritime Organization. Financial crunch and stricter emission norms are forcing vessel owners to consider ship demolition options. This study examines the volatility of ship demolition rates of the Baltic Demolition Index and the causal relationship between the Chinese and Indian subcontinent indices. Methods: EGARCH models have been used to explore the volatility and asymmetric effects in the time series. The relationship between the two indices was established using the Granger causality test. Results and conclusion: The final analysis confirmed that ship demolition indices are both volatile and asymmetric. This study is unique and useful to ship owners, vessel operators, and banks as it helps them understand the risks involved.
期刊介绍:
ToMS is a scientific journal with international peer review which publishes papers in the following areas: ~ Marine Engineering, ~ Navigation, ~ Safety Systems, ~ Marine Ecology, ~ Marine Fisheries, ~ Hydrography, ~ Marine Automation and Electronics, ~ Transportation and Modes of Transport, ~ Marine Information Systems, ~ Maritime Law, ~ Management of Marine Systems, ~ Marine Finance, ~ Bleeding-Edge Technologies, ~ Multimodal Transport, ~ Psycho-social and Legal Aspects of Long-term Working Aboard. The journal is published in English as an open access journal, and as a classic paper journal (in limited editions). ToMS aims to present best maritime research from South East Europe, particularly the Mediterranean area. Articles will be double-blind reviewed by three reviewers. With the intention of providing an international perspective at least one of the reviewers will be from abroad. ToMS also promotes scientific collaboration with students and has a section titled Students’ ToMS. These papers also undergo strict peer reviews. Furthermore, the Journal publishes short reviews on significant papers, books and workshops in the fields of maritime science.