拆船指数价格波动

IF 0.8 Q3 ENGINEERING, MARINE Transactions on Maritime Science-ToMS Pub Date : 2021-10-21 DOI:10.7225/toms.v10.n02.w04
Bangar Raju Totakura, Vrinda Sharma, Vishal Kashav, Subir Ranjan Das
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本文的主要目的是探讨船舶拆解指标的波动性。由于国际海事组织制定了越来越多的规范和规则,船舶拆除指数正变得越来越重要。金融危机和更严格的排放标准迫使船东考虑拆船的选择。本研究考察了波罗的海拆船指数拆船率的波动性,以及中国和印度次大陆拆船指数之间的因果关系。方法:采用EGARCH模型研究时间序列的波动性和不对称效应。采用格兰杰因果检验建立两指标之间的关系。结果与结论:最终分析证实船舶拆船指标具有波动性和非对称性。这项研究对船东、船舶经营者和银行来说是独特而有用的,因为它有助于他们了解所涉及的风险。
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Volatility of Ship Demolition Index Prices
Aim: The main objective of this paper is to explore the volatility of ship demolition indices. Ship demolition indices are becoming increasingly important owing to the growing number of norms and rules imposed by the International Maritime Organization. Financial crunch and stricter emission norms are forcing vessel owners to consider ship demolition options. This study examines the volatility of ship demolition rates of the Baltic Demolition Index and the causal relationship between the Chinese and Indian subcontinent indices. Methods: EGARCH models have been used to explore the volatility and asymmetric effects in the time series. The relationship between the two indices was established using the Granger causality test. Results and conclusion: The final analysis confirmed that ship demolition indices are both volatile and asymmetric. This study is unique and useful to ship owners, vessel operators, and banks as it helps them understand the risks involved.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
12.50%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: ToMS is a scientific journal with international peer review which publishes papers in the following areas: ~ Marine Engineering, ~ Navigation, ~ Safety Systems, ~ Marine Ecology, ~ Marine Fisheries, ~ Hydrography, ~ Marine Automation and Electronics, ~ Transportation and Modes of Transport, ~ Marine Information Systems, ~ Maritime Law, ~ Management of Marine Systems, ~ Marine Finance, ~ Bleeding-Edge Technologies, ~ Multimodal Transport, ~ Psycho-social and Legal Aspects of Long-term Working Aboard. The journal is published in English as an open access journal, and as a classic paper journal (in limited editions). ToMS aims to present best maritime research from South East Europe, particularly the Mediterranean area. Articles will be double-blind reviewed by three reviewers. With the intention of providing an international perspective at least one of the reviewers will be from abroad. ToMS also promotes scientific collaboration with students and has a section titled Students’ ToMS. These papers also undergo strict peer reviews. Furthermore, the Journal publishes short reviews on significant papers, books and workshops in the fields of maritime science.
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