Research on risk assessment of large-span steel structure project construction phase based on variable weight-two dimensional cloud model

Hou Feng, Weizhen Ma, Haiyan Wen
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Abstract

As an all-round emerging branch of the construction industry, large-span steel structure engineering has a long on-site construction period, complex on-site construction process, and a series of uncertain unfavorable factors. The resulting risks will directly affect the smooth progress of large-span steel structure projects. In order to improve the effective control of risks in the construction stage of long-span steel structures, a risk assessment model for the construction stage of long-span steel structures based on variable weight theory is proposed. The WSR system method is used to analyze the construction risks, and a comprehensive evaluation index system for risks in the construction stage of large-span steel structures is constructed. With the help of the variable weight comprehensive model, the two-dimensional cloud model is used to comprehensively evaluate the risks of the large-span steel structure in the construction stage from the two dimensions of risk hazard and risk probability. Finally, the two-dimensional cloud image is drawn through MATLAB and the fit degree is calculated to further determine the evaluation result. Taking a large-span steel structure stadium in Lanzhou City, Gansu Province as the research object, a comprehensive assessment of the risks of the large-span steel structure construction stage was carried out, confirm the applicability and effectiveness of the model.
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基于变重二维云模型的大跨度钢结构工程施工阶段风险评估研究
大跨度钢结构工程作为建筑业的一个全方位新兴分支,现场施工周期长,现场施工过程复杂,存在一系列不确定的不利因素。由此产生的风险将直接影响大跨度钢结构工程的顺利进行。为了提高对大跨度钢结构施工阶段风险的有效控制,提出了一种基于变重理论的大跨度钢结构施工阶段风险评估模型。采用WSR体系方法对大跨度钢结构施工阶段风险进行分析,构建了大跨度钢结构施工阶段风险综合评价指标体系。借助变权综合模型,利用二维云模型从风险危害和风险概率两个维度对大跨度钢结构施工阶段的风险进行综合评价。最后,通过MATLAB绘制二维云图,计算拟合度,进一步确定评价结果。以甘肃省兰州市某大跨度钢结构体育馆为研究对象,对大跨度钢结构施工阶段的风险进行了综合评估,验证了模型的适用性和有效性。
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