Conceptualising global cultural transformation – Developing deep institutional scenarios for whole of society change

Ian Hughes, Ariel Macaspac Rosa Hernandez, James Glynn, William Hynes, Brian Ó Gallachóir
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Abstract

This paper aims to contribute to the current efforts to improve methodologies to find more ambitious and integrated strategies to jointly pursue the Paris climate target and other SDGs (van Vuuren et al. 2015, Hughes et al. 2021). It suggests a means of further expanding the underlying societal perspectives in scenarios modelling through a model of Deep Institutional Innovation for Sustainability and Human Development (DIIS) (Hughes et al. 2019), which aims to reframe the narrative from sociotechnical transition to deep global cultural transformation. The paper posits the need for capturing irreversible transformation change (Barbrook-Johnson et al., 2024) through a fundamental reimagining of the key social institutions that together comprise contemporary societies. To illustrate the application of the DIIS framing to pathway scenarios an indicative scenario is offered to indicate the radical global cultural changes required to move to pathways capable of bringing about greater sustainability and human flourishing.
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全球文化变革的概念化 - 为全社会变革制定深层次的制度方案
本文旨在推动当前为改进方法论而做出的努力,以找到更雄心勃勃的综合战略,共同实现巴黎气候目标和其他可持续发展目标(van Vuuren 等,2015 年;Hughes 等,2021 年)。本文提出了一种方法,通过 "促进可持续发展和人类发展的深度制度创新"(DIIS)模型(Hughes 等人,2019 年)进一步扩展情景建模中的基本社会视角,该模型旨在重新构建从社会技术转型到深度全球文化转型的叙事。本文认为,需要通过从根本上重新构想共同构成当代社会的关键社会机构,来捕捉不可逆转的转型变化(Barbrook-Johnson 等人,2024 年)。为了说明将 DIIS 框架应用于路径方案,本文提供了一个指示性方案,以说明为走向能够带来更大的可持续性和人类繁荣的路径所需的彻底的全球文化变革。
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