Unequal economic consequences of coastal hazards: Hurricane impacts on North Carolina

Dahui Liu, Junkan Li, Ian Sue Wing, Brian Blanton, Jamie Kruse, Linda Nozick, Meghan Millea
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Abstract

The eastern North Carolina Coastal Area Management Act (CAMA) region is one of the most hurricane-prone areas of the United States. Hurricanes incur substantial damage and economic losses because structures located near the coast tend to be high value as well as particularly exposed. To bolster disaster mitigation and community resilience, it is crucial to understand how hurricane hazards drive social and economic impacts. We integrate detailed hazard simulations, property data, and labor compensation estimates to comprehensively analyze hurricanes’ economic impacts. This study investigates the spatial distribution of probabilistic hurricane hazards, and concomitant property losses and labor impacts, pinpointing particularly hard hit areas. Relationships between capital and labor losses, social vulnerability, and asset values reveal the latter as the primary determinant of overall economic consequences.
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沿海灾害造成的不平等经济后果:飓风对北卡罗来纳州的影响
北卡罗来纳州东部沿海地区管理法案》(CAMA)地区是美国最易遭受飓风袭击的地区之一。飓风造成了巨大的破坏和经济损失,因为靠近海岸的建筑往往价值很高,而且特别容易暴露在外。为了提高减灾能力和社区抗灾能力,了解飓风灾害如何对社会和经济产生影响至关重要。我们整合了详细的灾害模拟、财产数据和劳动报酬估算,以全面分析飓风的经济影响。本研究调查了概率飓风危害的空间分布,以及随之而来的财产损失和劳动力影响,精确定位重灾区。资本和劳动力损失、社会脆弱性和资产价值之间的关系表明,后者是决定总体经济后果的主要因素。
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