缩放理论和摩尔定律的终结

H. Iwai
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引用次数: 22

摘要

电子学自20世纪初诞生以来,一百多年来一直是通过设备小型化的方式发展到今天的。然而,现在相信,由于几个确定的原因,裁员将在几年内达到极限。在达到极限之后,我们不能指望电子器件在成本、性能和能耗方面有像过去那样大的进步。然后,将重点开发物联网时代所需的新型存储器、传感器、电源、光伏、电池、MEMS等各种电子器件。从长远来看,我们的研究和发展将转向如何更有效地利用现有的生物系统,而不仅仅是开发固态设备。
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End of the scaling theory and Moore's law
The progress of the electronics has been conducted until today by the downsizing of devices for more than 100 year since its beginning in early 20th century. However, it is believed now that the downsizing will reach its limit in several years because of several sure reasons. After reaching the limit, we cannot expect such a big progress as the past for electron devices in terms of cost, performance and energy consumption. Then, the effort will be focused to develop various kind of electron devices such as new memory, sensors, power, photovoltaic, battery and MEMS devices which are demanded for IoT era. In a long term, our research and development will shift to how to use the existing bio system more efficiently rather than developing only solid-state devices only.
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