关于激活仁川-济州海洋物流的研究:以仁川港为中心

S. Oh, Young-Hyo Ahn
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2021年12月10日,时隔7年零8个月,仁川-济州号首次开通了定期航线。2014年4月“世越号”事故发生后,这艘被切断航线的渡轮重新开放。仁川-济州航道的开通,将使济州的农水产品供应增加,从而带动仁川码头的地方经济和仁川码头的物流事业。另外,从济州经湖南进入首都圈的物流将直接从济州进入仁川港,从而降低物流费用,解决物流的扭曲问题,从而打开海运物流事业的大门。此外,仁川港务局预计,每年的沿海旅客将恢复到100万人次,并将通过扩大仁川港基础设施和振兴沿海旅游,增加沿海旅客数量,振兴沿海码头周边地区,振兴地区经济。因此,有必要根据仁川和济州之间的海运业务量的增加,研究搞活地方经济的方案。随着仁川-济州海上贸易量的增加,应该提出振兴仁川地区经济的政策方案。因此,本研究以世越号客轮灾难前后仁川-济州海上物流现状为研究对象,建立了“诱导效应”和“经济诱导效应”的“总就业”分析模型。在此研究模型的基础上,计算了海上运输量增加带来的“总就业诱导效应”和“经济诱导效应”,并进行了“仁川地方经济激活程度”的模拟。也就是说,2014年“世越号”事故发生后,只有5 ~ 6%的济州三大水和济州农产品进入仁川港,而2021年12月10日,济州→仁川港的海运恢复,济州三大水和济州农产品恢复了60 ~ 65%。预计将再次流入仁川港。因此,通过估算未来3 - 5年,如2022 - 2025年的未来货运量变化,计算总就业诱导效应和经济诱导效应所创造的就业岗位数量。也就是说,如果仁川和济州之间的海上物流正常化,济州三大水、济州农产品等将流入济州→仁川港,届时海上货物的吞吐量将从最低的145万吨增加到最高的215吨。预计,总雇用诱导效果将从最少1629人增加到最多2618人。另外,据分析,由于济州至仁川的海运货运量增加,经济诱导效果至少达到1060亿韩元,最多达到1703亿韩元。
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A Study on the Activation of Incheon-Jeju Marine Logistics: Centering on Incheon Port
On December 10, 2021, the ‘Incheon-Jeju’ ferry started its first regular service after 7 years and 8 months. The ferry, which had been cut off after the Sewol ferry disaster in April 2014, was reopened. The resumption of the ‘Incheon-Jeju’ waterway is expected to revive the local economy of the Incheon coastal pier and revitalize the logistics business of the Incheon coastal pier due to the increase in the supply of Jeju agricultural and marine products. In the meantime, the flow of logistics from Jeju to the Seoul metropolitan area via Honam is expected to lead directly from Jeju to Incheon Port, reducing logistics costs and resolving the distortion of logistics, thereby opening the door to logistics business through maritime transport. In addition, Incheon Port Authority expects that the annual number of coastal passengers will recover to 1 million, and it is expected to increase the number of coastal passengers, revitalize the area around the coastal pier and revitalize the local economy by contributing to the expansion of Incheon Port infrastructure and revitalization of coastal tourism. Accordingly, it is necessary to study a plan to revitalize the local economy according to the increase in maritime freight volume between Incheon and Jeju. It is time for policy proposals to revitalize the Incheon regional economy due to the increase in the Incheon-Jeju maritime trade volume. Therefore, in this study, the current status of maritime logistics between Incheon and Jeju before and after the Sewol ferry disaster was investigated, and the ‘total employment of An analysis model was developed for ‘inducing effect’ and ‘economic inducement effect’. Based on this research model, “total employment induction effect” and “economic inducement effect” caused by the increase in maritime transport volume were calculated and “how much the Incheon local economy is activated” simulation was performed. In other words, after the Sewol ferry disaster in 2014, only about 5-6% of Jeju Samdasoo and Jeju agricultural products entered Incheon Port, and on December 10, 2021, sea transportation from Jeju → Incheon Port was resumed and about 60 to 65% of Jeju Samdasoo and Jeju agricultural products were resumed. It is expected to flow into Incheon Port again. Therefore, by estimating the change in future cargo volume for the next three to five years, such as 2022 to 2025, the number of jobs created by the total employment induction effect and the economic inducement effect were calculated. In other words, when the vitalization of maritime logistics between Incheon and Jeju is normalized, Jeju Samdasoo, Jeju agricultural products, etc. will flow into Jeju → Incheon Port, and the volume of marine cargo is expected to increase from a minimum of 1.45 million tons to a maximum of 215 tons. It is expected that the total employment inducement effect will occur from a minimum of 1,629 people to a maximum of 2,618 people. In addition, it was analyzed that there was an economic inducement effect of at least 106 billion won to a maximum of 170.3 billion won due to an increase in the amount of sea freight flowing from Jeju to Incheon.
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