基于himawari 8图像视觉识别的爪哇地区极端天气事件中对流云顶过冲

Bony Septian Pandjaitan, Akhmad Faqih, Furqon Alfahmi, Perdinan .
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对流云顶超调(OT)是天气预报员在极端天气临近预报中表现对流云强区核心位置的重要特征。此外,我们可以利用OT气候学来估计极端天气事件的位置。不幸的是,目前在印度尼西亚热带地区,特别是爪哇岛还不能实现这一目标,因为仍然需要对极端天气事件中OT的存在进行更多的研究。本研究旨在利用极端天气报告和Himawari 8卫星数据,研究OT在爪哇岛极端天气事件中的存在。我们通过使用空间分辨率为500 m的可见通道(0.64 μm)和夹层产品,通过视觉识别来检测极端天气事件位置是否存在OT模式。我们发现大约87%的极端天气伴随着对流云的OT模式的出现。由于Himawari 8的视差效应,探测到的OT位置在实际位置的西南方向。伴随对流云OT特征的极端天气事件多发生在雨季转旱季(MAM)和雨季(DJF)的过渡时期。同时,极端天气事件很少发生在旱季(JJA)。伴有OT的极端天气事件通常发生在中午到下午晚些时候。在本研究中,在极端天气事件中,OT的直径在2-15公里之间。在爪哇岛出现OT和极端天气事件之间的时间滞后为我们提供了近似和临近预报极端天气事件的机会。
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OVERSHOOTING TOP OF CONVECTIVE CLOUD IN EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS OVER JAVA REGION BASED ON VISUAL IDENTIFICATION OF HIMAWARI 8 IMAGERY
Overshooting top (OT) in convective clouds is an essential feature in extreme weather nowcasting performed by weather forecasters to represent the core location of the severe region of the convective cloud. In addition, we can estimate the location of extreme weather events by utilising OT climatology. Unfortunately, it cannot be realised in tropical Indonesia, especially on Java Island at present, because there still needs to be more research on the presence of OT in extreme weather events. This research aims to study the presence of OT in extreme weather events on Java Island using extreme weather reports and the Himawari 8 satellite data. We detect the presence or absence of OT patterns at the location of the extreme weather event with Visual identification by using a visible channel (0.64 μm) with a spatial resolution of 500 m and sandwich products. We found that about 87% of extreme weather occurred accompanied by the appearance of OT patterns from convective clouds. A parallax effect of Himawari 8 caused the detected OT location in the southwest direction of the actual location. Extreme weather events accompanied by the OT feature of convective clouds most often occur in the transitional period of the rainy to dry season (MAM) and the rainy season (DJF). Meanwhile, extreme weather events rarely occur during the dry season (JJA). Extreme weather events accompanied by OT often occur from midday to late afternoon. OT in this study has a diameter between 2-15 km during extreme weather events. A time lag between the appearance of OT and extreme weather events in Java Island gives us opportunities for approximating and nowcasting the extreme weather events.
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