哦-tocracy

IF 11.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Quarterly Journal of Economics Pub Date : 2023-03-13 DOI:10.1093/qje/qjad012
Martin Beraja, Andrew Kao, David Y Yang, Noam Yuchtman
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引用次数: 0

摘要

最近的学术研究表明,人工智能(AI)技术和专制政权可能是相互促进的。我们在中国的面部识别人工智能背景下测试了一种相互加强的关系。为此,我们收集了有关人工智能公司和政府采购合同的全面数据,以及自2010年代初以来中国各地的社会动荡情况。我们首先表明,独裁者从人工智能中受益:地方骚乱导致政府更多地采购面部识别人工智能,作为一种新的政治控制技术,增加人工智能采购确实抑制了随后的骚乱。我们表明,人工智能创新受益于独裁者对动荡的镇压:签约的人工智能公司为政府和商业市场都进行了更多的创新,并且更有可能出口他们的产品;未签约的人工智能公司没有明显的负面溢出效应。综上所述,这些结果表明在中国政权下持续人工智能创新的可能性:人工智能创新巩固了政权,而政权对人工智能的投资用于政治控制刺激了进一步的前沿创新。
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AI-tocracy
Abstract Recent scholarship has suggested that artificial intelligence (AI) technology and autocratic regimes may be mutually reinforcing. We test for a mutually reinforcing relationship in the context of facial-recognition AI in China. To do so, we gather comprehensive data on AI firms and government procurement contracts, as well as on social unrest across China since the early 2010s. We first show that autocrats benefit from AI: local unrest leads to greater government procurement of facial-recognition AI as a new technology of political control, and increased AI procurement indeed suppresses subsequent unrest. We show that AI innovation benefits from autocrats’ suppression of unrest: the contracted AI firms innovate more both for the government and commercial markets and are more likely to export their products; noncontracted AI firms do not experience detectable negative spillovers. Taken together, these results suggest the possibility of sustained AI innovation under the Chinese regime: AI innovation entrenches the regime, and the regime’s investment in AI for political control stimulates further frontier innovation.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
24.20
自引率
2.20%
发文量
42
期刊介绍: The Quarterly Journal of Economics stands as the oldest professional journal of economics in the English language. Published under the editorial guidance of Harvard University's Department of Economics, it comprehensively covers all aspects of the field. Esteemed by professional and academic economists as well as students worldwide, QJE holds unparalleled value in the economic discourse.
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