全球水文循环对平流层硫酸盐气溶胶层高度的敏感性

Usha K H, Govindasamy Bala, Anu Xavier
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摘要

平流层气溶胶地球工程(SAG)被认为是抵消人类活动引起的气候变化影响的潜在方案之一。以前的建模研究表明,通过 SAG 冷却的效果随着气溶胶层高度的增加而增加。研究还表明,与 SAG 相关的平流层加热可以稳定热带大气,并削弱热带水文循环。我们利用全球气候模型,通过在三个不同高度(22 千米、18 千米和 16 千米)预设火山硫酸盐气溶胶进行了系统研究,并评估了全球和热带平均降水量对高度的敏感性。我们发现,尽管冷却效果随着气溶胶层高度的增加而增加,但全球和热带平均降水量的变化对气溶胶层高度的敏感性较低。这是因为全球和热带平均降水量减少的幅度都会随着气溶胶高度的增加而增加,以应对气溶胶效能的增加,但这种与缓慢响应有关的敏感性几乎被快速降水调整对气溶胶高度的敏感性所抵消。基于大气能量预算的观点和分析解释了水文循环对平流层硫酸盐气溶胶层高度缺乏敏感性的原因。
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Sensitivity of the global hydrological cycle to the altitude of stratospheric sulphate aerosol layer
Stratospheric aerosol geoengineering (SAG) has been proposed as one of the potential options to offset the impacts of anthropogenically induced climate change. Previous modelling studies have shown that the efficacy of the cooling via SAG increases with altitude of the aerosol layer. It has been also shown that the stratospheric heating associated with SAG could stabilize the tropical atmosphere and weaken the tropical hydrological cycle. Using a global climate model, we perform a systematic study by prescribing volcanic sulphate aerosols at three different altitudes (22 km, 18 km and 16 km) and assess the sensitivity of the global and tropical mean precipitation to the altitude. We find that even though the efficacy of cooling increases with altitude of the aerosol layer, the global and tropical mean precipitation changes are less sensitive to the height of the aerosol layer. This is because the magnitude of both the global and tropical mean precipitation reduction increases with aerosol altitude in response to increasing efficacy of aerosols, but this sensitivity related to the slow response is nearly offset by the sensitivity of fast precipitation adjustments to aerosol altitude. A perspective and analysis based on atmospheric energy budget is presented to explain the lack of sensitivity of the hydrological cycle to the altitude of the stratospheric sulphate aerosol layer.
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