地表反照率与高纬度和高海拔地区林业政策的相关性可能被高估了

Ryan M. Bright, N. Cattaneo, C. Antón-Fernández, Stephanie Eisner, Rasmus Astrup
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摘要

在许多地区,恢复森林和改善森林管理被视为提高陆地二氧化碳去除率的可选方案,但围绕其可能对地表反照率产生的不利影响存在担忧,尤其是在高纬度和高海拔地区。这些担忧往往是基于在粗分辨率下对广阔空间范围进行分析后得出的概括性结论。地表反照率变化的影响对制约地表反照率和太阳辐射预算的当地环境因素高度敏感,而以往的许多评估要么没有充分考虑到这些敏感性,要么没有对其相关条件进行限定。挪威的地形和气候具有不同的梯度,我们将挪威作为一个理想的案例研究地区,试图明确地表反照率是否与林业规划有关,如果有关,决定反照率的重要因素是什么。我们发现,在挪威的森林总面积中,只有约4%的森林反照率的不利影响超过了其碳循环效益,如果考虑到未来的气候变化,则减少到< ~1%。我们的研究结果对地表反照率问题与高纬度地区林业规划高度相关的普遍看法提出了质疑,并强调了在与当地林业规划相一致的空间尺度上开展反照率影响评估的重要性。
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Relevance of surface albedo to forestry policy in high latitude and altitude regions may be overvalued
Forest restoration and improved forest management are seen as options for enhancing terrestrial carbon dioxide removal in many regions, yet concerns surrounding their potentially adverse surface albedo impacts exist, particularly in high latitude and altitude regions. Such concerns are often based on generalized conclusions rooted in analyses carried out over broad spatial extents at coarse resolutions. The impacts of surface albedo change are highly sensitive to local environmental factors governing both the surface albedo and solar radiation budgets, and many previous assessments either do not sufficiently deal with such sensitivities or do not qualify the conditions under which they are relevant. Using the country of Norway with its diverse gradients in topography and climate as an ideal case study region, we seek clarity to the question of whether surface albedo is relevant to consider in forestry planning, and if so, what are the important factors determining it. We find that the adverse impact of a forest’s albedo outweighs its carbon cycle benefit on only ~ 4% of Norway’s total forested area, reducing to < ~ 1% when future climate changes are considered. Our findings challenge the common perception that surface albedo concerns are highly relevant to forestry planning at high latitudes and emphasize the importance of carrying out albedo impact assessments at spatial scales aligning with those of local forestry planning.
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