洪水管理的水文和水动力模型:德里亚穆纳河流域案例研究

IF 4.7 2区 地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI:10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.101960
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究区域印度亚穆纳河(德里)。研究重点洪泛区附近的人为活动减少了河流的边缘,从而改变了河流的流量。侵占河床导致城市地区内涝和洪水泛滥,从而造成财产和人员伤亡。因此,有必要对洪泛区及其附近的变化(如洪泛区的侵占)进行全面研究,以便有把握地开展任何进一步的活动。本研究采用二维模型模拟亚穆纳河(YR)的水动力特征,重点关注印度德里地区。新的水文见解 利用 1951-2013 年的洪水频率分析,采用模拟洪水流量评估 10、20、25 和 30 年一遇的洪水。模型验证结果表明,模型可以模拟 YR 的洪水深度。模拟结果显示,洪泛区的侵蚀增加了洪水的严重程度。洪水事件极端性的增加,即从 10 年一遇增加到 30 年一遇,预计洪水风险区域将增加 12%。该模型还提供了一个潜在的平台,用于评估其他替代方案,如进一步侵占、"一切照旧 "方案或恢复亚穆纳河洪泛区。从这样一个全面的角度来看,洪泛平原的作用增强了流域对气候和人为变化的适应能力,并提高了防洪安全。
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Hydrological and hydrodynamic modelling for flood management: A case study of the Yamuna River Basin in Delhi

Study region

Yamuna River (Delhi), India.

Study focus

The anthropogenic activities within the vicinity of the floodplain reduce the river's margin and subsequently alter the magnitude of the river's flow. The encroachment of riverbeds leads to waterlogging and flooding in urban areas, thereby causing damage to property, human life, etc. It necessitates a comprehensive study of the floodplain and changes in its proximity such as encroachment of floodplains to carry out any further activities with certainty. This study employs a two-dimensional model to simulate the Yamuna River's (YR) hydrodynamic characteristics, focusing on India's Delhi region.

New hydrological insights

Simulated flood flows are employed to evaluate floods of once in 10, 20, 25, and 30-year return periods using the flood frequency analysis for 1951–2013. The model validation results indicated that the model could mimic the flood depth in YR. Simulation results revealed that the floodplain's encroachment had increased the severity of the floods. The increase in the extremeness of flooding events, i.e., from once in a 10-year return period to a 30-year return period event, is expected to increase the areas at risk of floods by 12 %. The model also offers a potential platform for evaluating other alternatives, such as further encroachment, for a business-as-usual scenario or for restoring the Yamuna floodplains. With such a comprehensive perspective, floodplains' role enhances river basin resilience to climate and anthropogenic changes and increases flood safety.

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来源期刊
Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies
Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies Earth and Planetary Sciences-Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
6.70
自引率
8.50%
发文量
284
审稿时长
60 days
期刊介绍: Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies publishes original research papers enhancing the science of hydrology and aiming at region-specific problems, past and future conditions, analysis, review and solutions. The journal particularly welcomes research papers that deliver new insights into region-specific hydrological processes and responses to changing conditions, as well as contributions that incorporate interdisciplinarity and translational science.
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