Research on Stock Price Prediction Method Based on Deep Learning

Dong Liu, Ang Chen, Juanjuan Wu
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The future trend prediction of time series represented by stock price has always been a key research topic in the field of data science. The rapid development of deep learning makes the analysis and prediction of time series enter a new stage. Deep learning algorithm represented by deep neural network can effectively overcome the shortcomings of traditional time series analysis methods. This paper first introduces the principle and structure of the recurrent neural network (RNN) model in the deep neural network. In view of the problem that the gradient vanishes easily and cannot effectively analyze the long sequence data, this paper introduces the gating structure to improve the hidden layer of the RNN, so as to construct the long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network model. In this paper, the LSTM neural network model is applied to the stock price prediction, and the prediction results are compared with the RNN model. The experimental results show that the error value of the LSTM neural network model is smaller than that of the RNN model, and has better prediction effect. Therefore, the LSTM neural network model is more suitable for the prediction of stock price.
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基于深度学习的股票价格预测方法研究
以股票价格为代表的时间序列的未来趋势预测一直是数据科学领域的一个重点研究课题。深度学习的快速发展使时间序列的分析与预测进入了一个新的阶段。以深度神经网络为代表的深度学习算法可以有效克服传统时间序列分析方法的不足。本文首先介绍了深度神经网络中递归神经网络(RNN)模型的原理和结构。针对梯度容易消失,不能有效分析长序列数据的问题,本文引入门通结构来改进RNN的隐藏层,从而构建长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络模型。本文将LSTM神经网络模型应用于股票价格预测,并将预测结果与RNN模型进行了比较。实验结果表明,LSTM神经网络模型的误差值小于RNN模型,具有更好的预测效果。因此,LSTM神经网络模型更适合于股票价格的预测。
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