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A lightweight four-channel multi-modal model to improve computational performance of automated fire detection 一个轻量级的四通道多模态模型,以提高自动火灾探测的计算性能
IF 3.4 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2025.100254
Jingshuo Yu , Qian Chen
The urgent need for advanced fire detection methods stems from the increased intensity of fire incidents, which cause massive property loss and irreversible damage. To overcome the limitations of traditional fire detection methods, such as those of smoke detectors, fire detection based on computer vision (CV) algorithms has been adopted to improve detection accuracy. Compared to single-modal fire detection, multi-modal fire detection has gained attention because it leverages the richer information present in both RGB and thermal images. However, prevalent multi-modal fire detection methods significantly increase model complexity by requiring two separate streams in the backbone to process RGB and thermal images independently. To address this issue, this paper proposes a four-channel single-stream fire detection method based on YOLOv5, which concatenates RGB and thermal images to form the required four-channel input. Comparison experiments with dual-stream YOLOv5 models using add fusion and transformer fusion demonstrate that the four-channel single-stream model reduces model complexity while improving detection accuracy. To further enhance detection accuracy and reduce model complexity, this study redesigned YOLOv5’s C3 module by integrating the convolutional block attention module (CBAM) to form the C3CBAM module and introduced the SCYLLA-Intersection over Union (SIoU) loss function. By comparing its performance with that of state-of-the-art (SOTA) models in multi-modal object detection, such as the YOLOv5-based dual-stream model, this study shows that the proposed approach improves detection in the diverse conditions presented in the selected dataset.
由于火灾事故的频繁发生,造成了巨大的财产损失和不可逆转的损失,迫切需要先进的火灾探测方法。为了克服传统火灾探测方法(如烟雾探测器)的局限性,采用基于计算机视觉(CV)算法的火灾探测来提高探测精度。与单模态火灾探测相比,多模态火灾探测受到了人们的关注,因为它利用了RGB和热图像中更丰富的信息。然而,流行的多模态火灾探测方法需要在主干中两个独立的流来独立处理RGB和热图像,从而显著增加了模型的复杂性。针对这一问题,本文提出了一种基于YOLOv5的四通道单流火灾检测方法,该方法将RGB图像和热图像拼接成所需的四通道输入。采用添加融合和变压器融合的双流YOLOv5模型对比实验表明,四通道单流模型在降低模型复杂度的同时提高了检测精度。为了进一步提高检测精度,降低模型复杂度,本研究对YOLOv5的C3模块进行了重新设计,将卷积块注意模块(CBAM)集成为C3CBAM模块,并引入了SCYLLA-Intersection over Union (SIoU)损失函数。通过将该方法与基于yolov5的双流模型等最先进的SOTA模型在多模态目标检测中的性能进行比较,本研究表明,该方法可以提高所选数据集中不同条件下的检测效果。
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引用次数: 0
Fusing emergency data and seasonal effects for urban rail transit safety assessment: A severity probability distribution model 融合应急数据和季节影响的城市轨道交通安全评估:一个严重性概率分布模型
IF 3.4 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2025.100264
Bosong Fan , Dongyu Luo , Chunfu Shao
An analysis of Beijing urban rail transit emergency data from 2016 to 2018 is conducted to identify the factors influencing emergency severity. A severity probability distribution model is proposed, incorporating seasonal effects, multi-dimensional features (passenger, vehicle, line, environment), random parameters, interaction terms, and weather variables (temperature, humidity, wind speed) to capture severity probability changes driven by seasonally influenced factors. High performance is achieved by the model, with 92.10 % accuracy, 95.17 % sensitivity, and 87.58 % specificity. Five key factors—bad weather (correlation = -0.0611, p < 0.001), track failure (correlation = -0.0503, p < 0.001), signal failure (correlation = -0.0483, p < 0.001), urban area (correlation = -0.0441, p < 0.001), and vehicle failure (correlation = -0.0435, p < 0.001)—are identified, with their interactions amplifying risks, particularly the coupling effect between bad weather and train system failures. Notable seasonal effects are observed: In summer, high temperature and humidity increase vehicle and equipment failures; in autumn, temperature fluctuations raise signaling anomaly risks; in winter, low temperatures elevate track and equipment failure risks; and in spring and winter, windy weather exacerbates risks for suburban elevated lines. This study highlights the need for refined risk identification and response mechanisms at the seasonal and regional levels, such as targeted inspections and weather-triggered controls, to enhance operational safety in urban rail transit under complex weather conditions.
对2016 - 2018年北京市城市轨道交通突发事件数据进行分析,找出影响突发事件严重程度的因素。提出了一种综合季节效应、多维特征(乘客、车辆、线路、环境)、随机参数、交互项和天气变量(温度、湿度、风速)的严重性概率分布模型,以捕捉季节影响因素驱动下的严重性概率变化。该模型的准确率为92.10%,灵敏度为95.17%,特异性为87.58%。确定了五个关键因素——恶劣天气(相关性= -0.0611,p < 0.001)、轨道故障(相关性= -0.0503,p < 0.001)、信号故障(相关性= -0.0483,p < 0.001)、城区(相关性= -0.0441,p < 0.001)和车辆故障(相关性= -0.0435,p < 0.001),它们之间的相互作用放大了风险,特别是恶劣天气和列车系统故障之间的耦合效应。季节效应显著:夏季高温高湿使车辆和设备故障增加;秋季气温波动增加信号异常风险;冬季,低温增加了轨道和设备故障的风险;在春季和冬季,多风的天气加剧了郊区高架线路的风险。本研究强调需要在季节和区域层面完善风险识别和响应机制,例如有针对性的检查和天气触发的控制,以提高复杂天气条件下城市轨道交通的运营安全。
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引用次数: 0
Leveraging digital twin for COVID-19 risk assessment in IoT-enhanced hospital pharmacies 利用数字孪生在物联网增强的医院药房进行COVID-19风险评估
IF 3.4 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2025.100246
Divya Saraswathy Jayaprakash, Aryadevi Remanidevi Devidas, Maneesha Vinodini Ramesh
Over the past three years, the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused widespread human casualties, economic disruptions, and public health challenges. It is vital to assess the risk of contagious airborne diseases like COVID-19 to safeguard public health. Hospitals, as potential hotspots due to patient presence, require meticulous risk evaluation, particularly in critical areas such as pharmacies, which witness significant foot traffic for medicine collection. This paper presents a Digital Twin (DT) enabled (Internet of Things) IoT-based architecture comprising different enablers and their data interactions for COVID-19 Digital Twin-Risk Assessment in hospital pharmacy (DT-RAHP) to capture dynamic risk variations. The Decision Intelligence Module in the proposed architecture employs a novel two-phase risk assessment approach, DT-RAHP, which includes: Risk Assessment in Hospital Pharmacy-Phase I (RAHP-I) assesses the risk based on the primary risk factors, whereas the second phase, Risk Assessment in Hospital Pharmacy-Phase II (RAHP-II), extrapolates the risk assessment based on the secondary risk factors. Using DT, the system gathers data, assesses risk, and provides alerts. Studies in two hospital pharmacies showcased efficient sub-region classification based on the risk assessment. Additionally, our study employs hierarchical clustering techniques to categorize risk dynamically, ensuring a scalable and efficient assessment model. The DT-RAHP mobile application further enhances risk communication by disseminating warnings to users and officials when the risk is high. This proactive risk management framework offers a robust methodology applicable to various airborne contagious diseases. Moreover, the flexibility of the methodology allows for incorporating additional risk factors, enhancing result precision and comprehensiveness.
在过去三年中,2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行造成了广泛的人员伤亡、经济中断和公共卫生挑战。评估COVID-19等空气传播传染病的风险对保障公众健康至关重要。医院由于患者的存在而成为潜在的热点,需要进行细致的风险评估,特别是在药房等关键区域,因为那里有大量的人流量来取药。本文提出了一种基于数字孪生(DT)(物联网)的基于物联网的架构,该架构包括不同的使能因素及其数据交互,用于医院药房的COVID-19数字孪生风险评估(DT- rahp),以捕获动态风险变化。该体系结构中的决策智能模块采用了一种新的两阶段风险评估方法,DT-RAHP,其中包括:医院药房风险评估-第一阶段(RAHP-I)基于主要风险因素评估风险,而第二阶段,医院药房风险评估-第二阶段(RAHP-II)基于次要风险因素推断风险评估。使用DT,系统收集数据、评估风险并提供警报。在两家医院药房进行的研究显示,基于风险评估的分区分类是有效的。此外,我们的研究采用层次聚类技术对风险进行动态分类,确保了一个可扩展和高效的评估模型。当风险较高时,该移动应用程序会向用户和官员发出警告,进一步加强风险沟通。这一前瞻性风险管理框架提供了适用于各种空气传播传染病的有力方法。此外,方法的灵活性允许纳入额外的风险因素,提高结果的准确性和全面性。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring cascading failures in supply chain risk management: A systematic review, 2013-2024 供应链风险管理中的级联失效:系统综述,2013-2024
IF 3.4 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2025.100234
Xiaoxin Zhu , Jiahui Zhu , David Regan , Zhimin Wen
Supply chain risk management has become increasingly crucial due to the complexity and interconnectivity of modern supply chains. Among various risk factors, cascading failures have emerged as a significant concern for risk management. This study systematically reviews the literature published between 2013 and 2024, focusing on cascading failures in supply chain networks. A total of 92 articles were selected from the Web of Science (WoS) database for in-depth analysis. The findings indicate that future research needs to achieve breakthroughs in three dimensions: data acquisition, theoretical innovation, and practical application. Specifically, integrating multi-source data is crucial for enhancing the accuracy, comprehensiveness, and timeliness of data in supply chain networks. Higher-order network modeling and digital twin technology will aid in more accurately simulating and predicting cascading failures. From a theoretical standpoint, exploring hybrid failure mechanisms and multi-level propagation patterns will deepen the understanding of failure propagation in complex networks. From a practical perspective, developing resilience design standards, intelligent early warning systems, and differentiated policy tools will strengthen the risk resistance capabilities of supply chains. Overcoming these challenges will require a holistic approach that combines data-driven insights, theoretical advancements, and practical solutions to build a safer and more resilient global supply chain system.
由于现代供应链的复杂性和互联性,供应链风险管理变得越来越重要。在各种风险因素中,级联失效已成为风险管理的重要问题。本研究系统地回顾了2013年至2024年间发表的文献,重点关注供应链网络中的级联故障。从Web of Science (WoS)数据库中选取92篇文章进行深入分析。研究结果表明,未来的研究需要在数据采集、理论创新和实际应用三个维度上取得突破。具体来说,集成多源数据对于提高供应链网络中数据的准确性、全面性和及时性至关重要。高阶网络建模和数字孪生技术将有助于更准确地模拟和预测级联故障。从理论角度来看,探索混合故障机制和多层次传播模式将加深对复杂网络中故障传播的理解。从实践角度看,制定弹性设计标准、智能预警系统和差异化政策工具将增强供应链的抗风险能力。克服这些挑战需要一种综合的方法,将数据驱动的见解、理论进步和实际解决方案相结合,以建立一个更安全、更有弹性的全球供应链系统。
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引用次数: 0
Human detection with smoke occlusion based on AI-generated images 基于人工智能生成图像的烟雾遮挡人体检测
IF 3.4 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2025.100235
Zhen Xu, Xiyan Tang, Wenting Li, Yujie Zhao, Donglian Gu, Yuan Tian
Detecting occupants trapped in buildings is challenging during fire accidents because of the dense, rapidly spreading smoke. To this end, this paper proposes a human detection method that accounts for smoke occlusion, based on artificial intelligence (AI)-generated images and an improved real-time detection transformer (RT-DETR) model. First, a procedure is designed to construct a dataset of human images with smoke occlusion using generative AI, addressing the current dataset shortage. Second, an RT-DETR model is optimized using a transformer-based global-local interaction network to increase the sensitivity to human characteristics with smoke occlusion. Third, corresponding validations were conducted. The results indicated that the proposed method could achieve remarkable average precision (up to 93.8 %) for smoke occlusion scenarios. Finally, the proposed method was employed in real-world fire cases. The proposed method can accurately detect humans with smoke occlusion in building fires, effectively aiding fire emergency evacuation and rescue efforts.
在火灾事故中,由于浓烟密集,迅速蔓延,探测被困在建筑物中的人员是一项挑战。为此,本文基于人工智能(AI)生成的图像和改进的实时检测变压器(RT-DETR)模型,提出了一种考虑烟雾遮挡的人工检测方法。首先,设计了一个程序,使用生成式人工智能构建具有烟雾遮挡的人体图像数据集,解决了当前数据集的不足。其次,利用基于变压器的全局-局部交互网络对RT-DETR模型进行优化,以提高对烟雾遮挡下人体特征的敏感性。第三,进行了相应的验证。结果表明,该方法在烟雾遮挡场景下的平均精度可达93.8%。最后,将该方法应用于实际火灾案例。该方法能够准确地探测到建筑火灾中被烟雾遮挡的人员,有效地辅助火灾应急疏散和救援工作。
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引用次数: 0
Influencing factors and mechanisms of super high-rise buildings safety risks: A Fuzzy-DEMATEL-AISM analysis 超高层建筑安全风险的影响因素及机理:模糊- dematel - aism分析
IF 3.4 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2025.100232
Ziyu Jia , Jiakai Xiu , Ke Liu , Lihua Zhao , Wei Zhang , Ziqi Song , Na Xiao , Tiantian Du
As global urbanization accelerates, super high-rise buildings increasingly face critical safety challenges due to mid-life vulnerabilities that can cause casualties and economic losses. This study examines two typical risk systems in super high-rise buildings—primary structure damage and building envelope detachment—to address urban risks and emerging safety management needs.
Through a mixed-methods approach, we developed a theoretical framework based on "environmental pressure - building physical condition - management response" relationships. Using literature analysis and the Delphi method, we established two comprehensive risk indicator systems and analyzed their interaction mechanisms using fuzzy DEMATEL-AISM. Our findings reveal that root-level environmental pressures (e.g., seismic activity, wind/snow loads) trigger structural disasters, while intermediate-level building physical conditions mediate these pressures and management responses, forming core disaster pathways. Management factors influence safety outcomes throughout a building’s lifecycle by operating across both root and result levels, with significant feedback loops in both risk systems.
Based on these findings, we propose four integrated management strategies: root-level environmental pressure monitoring for early prevention; efficient identification of physical defects from surface damage; full-lifecycle risk management with specialized operations and maintenance; and collaborative diagnostics driven by loop factor assessment. This research bridges engineering perspectives and safety management, offering stakeholders—including building owners of super high-rise buildings, government authorities, and design professionals—practical approaches to enhance safety for millions of inhabitants while contributing a comprehensive theoretical framework for risk analysis.
随着全球城市化进程的加速,超高层建筑日益面临着严重的安全挑战,因为它们的中期脆弱性可能会造成人员伤亡和经济损失。本研究考察了超高层建筑中两种典型的风险系统——初级结构破坏和建筑围护结构脱离——以解决城市风险和新兴的安全管理需求。通过混合方法,我们开发了一个基于“环境压力-建筑物理条件-管理响应”关系的理论框架。采用文献分析法和德尔菲法,建立了两个综合风险指标体系,并运用模糊DEMATEL-AISM分析了它们的相互作用机制。研究结果表明,深层环境压力(如地震活动、风/雪荷载)触发结构性灾害,而中层建筑物理条件调节这些压力和管理反应,形成核心灾害路径。在整个建筑生命周期中,管理因素通过在根源和结果层面上的操作来影响安全结果,在两个风险系统中都有重要的反馈循环。基于这些研究结果,我们提出了四种综合管理策略:监测根部环境压力以早期预防;从表面损伤中有效识别物理缺陷;全生命周期风险管理,专业化运维;以及由循环因子评估驱动的协同诊断。本研究将工程观点与安全管理结合起来,为利益相关者(包括超高层建筑的业主、政府当局和设计专业人员)提供实用的方法,以提高数百万居民的安全,同时为风险分析提供全面的理论框架。
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引用次数: 0
Maritime man-overboard search using a lightweight and efficient end-to-end detection transformer 海上人员落水搜索使用轻型和高效的端到端检测变压器
IF 3.4 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2025.100267
Guokang Xu , Jianchuan Yin , Nini Wang , Zeguo Zhang
Maritime transportation plays a crucial role in global economic trade. However, maritime accidents occur frequently, posing significant threats to the safety of seafarers. In search and rescue scenarios for man-overboard, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are gradually replacing manned aircraft and helicopters. Besides, detecting man-overboard is challenging because of their small pixel size, weak signals, and indistinct features on the ocean surface. Furthermore, existing detectors struggle to strike a balance between lightweight design for UAVs and detection accuracy. To address this issue, the novel Man-overboard Detection Transformer (MOB-DETR) is proposed. On the one hand, the Token Enhancement layer is introduced, which conducts fine-grained filtering of spatial and channel dimensions, reducing redundant encoding caused by background queries. On the other hand, the Effusion Fusion Module, based on the RepViT Block, is proposed, effectively eliminating computational redundancy by decoupling the interaction mechanisms between spatial and channel dimensions. Additionally, to fill the existing gap in benchmark datasets for detecting man-overboard, the ManOverboard benchmark dataset has been established. In the experimental validation phase, MOB-DETR is conducted on ManOverboard and SeaDronesSeev2. Ablation experiments show that MOB-DETR achieves 11.7 % better lightweight performance and 14.4 % higher APsmall than baselines. Comparison experiments on ManOverboard and SeaDronesSeev2 validate its effectiveness, offering an efficient solution for man-overboard detection. Overall, this research not only advances man-overboard detection but also significantly enhances the resilience of maritime transportation, ultimately protecting seafarers' lives and ensuring the reliability of the world's essential trade routes.
海上运输在全球经济贸易中起着至关重要的作用。然而,海上事故频发,对海员的安全构成重大威胁。在落水人员搜救领域,无人机正逐步取代有人驾驶飞机和直升机。此外,探测落水人员具有挑战性,因为它们的像素尺寸小,信号弱,海面特征不清晰。此外,现有的探测器难以在无人机的轻量化设计和探测精度之间取得平衡。为了解决这一问题,提出了一种新型的人船外检测变压器(mobo - detr)。一方面,引入Token增强层,对空间维度和通道维度进行细粒度过滤,减少后台查询带来的冗余编码;另一方面,提出了基于RepViT块的Effusion Fusion模块,通过解耦空间维度和通道维度之间的相互作用机制,有效消除了计算冗余。此外,为了填补现有人员落水检测基准数据集的空白,建立了ManOverboard基准数据集。在实验验证阶段,mobo - detr在ManOverboard和SeaDronesSeev2上进行。烧蚀实验表明,与基线相比,mobo - detr的轻量化性能提高了11.7%,APsmall提高了14.4%。在ManOverboard和SeaDronesSeev2上的对比实验验证了该方法的有效性,为人员落水检测提供了有效的解决方案。总的来说,本研究不仅推进了人员落水检测,而且显著提高了海上运输的弹性,最终保护了海员的生命,确保了世界重要贸易航线的可靠性。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting models for critical velocity at the stair entrance under a two-story building fire 二层建筑火灾下楼梯入口临界速度预测模型
IF 3.4 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2025.100266
Zeng Long , Cong Su , Chang Liu , Fazheng Chong , Fan Tong , Fengju Shang , Jiaqing Zhang , Jiansong Wu
The cross-floor spread of fire smoke in a two-story building hinders personal evacuation and leads to casualties. To address this issue, sufficient wind pressure needs to be applied at the stair to prevent smoke from entering the upper space, and the critical velocity is an important parameter worthy of attention. By conducting a series of model experiments and numerical simulations in this study, the critical velocity below the ceiling screen at the stair is investigated, considering the factors of heat release rate (HRR), fire source location, ceiling screen depth and number of stairs. The results show that the critical velocity is proportional to one-third of the HRR, and the proportional coefficient decreases as the fire source is farther from the stair and the ceiling screen depth increases. The prediction models for the critical velocity under fire sources located in front and back of the stairs are proposed, respectively, and the proposed model is validated under three stairs. Additionally, the proposed prediction model is compared with the velocity value required by the relevant standard, and some dangerous situations are identified that require further strengthened ventilation. This study can provide theoretical guidance for ventilation design and emergency response in actual engineering with similar structures.
在一栋两层楼的建筑中,火灾烟雾跨楼层蔓延,阻碍了人员疏散,并导致人员伤亡。为了解决这个问题,需要在楼梯处施加足够的风压,以防止烟雾进入上层空间,而临界风速是一个值得关注的重要参数。本研究通过一系列的模型实验和数值模拟,在考虑热释放率(HRR)、火源位置、顶棚深度和楼梯数量等因素的情况下,对楼梯顶棚下的临界速度进行了研究。结果表明:临界速度与HRR的1 / 3成正比,该比例系数随火源距离楼梯越远和顶棚遮挡深度的增加而减小;分别建立了台阶前后火源作用下的临界速度预测模型,并在三个台阶下对模型进行了验证。并将提出的预测模型与相关标准要求的流速值进行比较,识别出需要进一步加强通风的危险情况。该研究可为类似结构的实际工程通风设计和应急响应提供理论指导。
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引用次数: 0
Intelligent fire modeling in wildland-urban interface: A comprehensive review of current progress, challenges, and future perspectives 荒地-城市界面中的智能火灾建模:当前进展、挑战和未来展望的综合回顾
IF 3.4 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2025.100252
Ao Zheng , Rui Ba , Wenyu Jiang , Zijun Chen , Menghao He , Yuansheng Hua , Song Zhu , Jiasong Zhu , Guochao Liu , Zhuojie Zhu , Xinyi Han
Wildfire prevention and control, especially within complex Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI), face escalating challenges due to the synergistic impacts of climate change and expanding urban frontiers. While advanced wildfire spread prediction models are essential for developing disaster-resilient emergency systems, the increasing complexities of WUI wildfire scenarios highlight critical limitations in current modeling approaches. These complexities include the dynamic interactions between vegetation and built environments, the demands of multi-scale spatiotemporal forecasting, and the challenges of cross-platform integration. To better understand and address these challenges, this paper establishes a novel tripartite analytical framework through a systematic review of peer-reviewed studies from the Scopus and Web of Science databases: (1) fire combustion characterization, (2) fire dynamics mechanism, and (3) fire management system. Our critical analysis identifies three persistent research challenges, including modeling fire behaviors in heterogeneous WUI scenarios; balancing fire dynamics with computational speed, accuracy, and resolution; and managing and applying models in highly integrated systems. This study concludes with actionable priorities for subsequent research, providing methodological guidelines for model developers and evidence-based integration pathways for emergency management systems, particularly in addressing critical infrastructure protection in rapidly urbanizing, fire-prone regions.
由于气候变化和城市边界扩大的协同影响,野火防控,特别是复杂的野火-城市界面(WUI)的野火防控面临着日益严峻的挑战。虽然先进的野火蔓延预测模型对于开发抗灾应急系统至关重要,但WUI野火场景的日益复杂性突出了当前建模方法的关键局限性。这些复杂性包括植被与建筑环境之间的动态相互作用、多尺度时空预测的需求以及跨平台集成的挑战。为了更好地理解和应对这些挑战,本文通过系统回顾来自Scopus和Web of Science数据库的同行评议研究,建立了一个新的三方分析框架:(1)火灾燃烧特性,(2)火灾动力学机制,(3)火灾管理系统。我们的批判性分析确定了三个持续存在的研究挑战,包括在异构WUI场景中模拟火灾行为;平衡火动力学与计算速度,准确性和分辨率;以及在高度集成的系统中管理和应用模型。本研究总结了后续研究的可操作优先事项,为模型开发者提供了方法指南,并为应急管理系统提供了基于证据的整合途径,特别是在快速城市化、火灾易发地区解决关键基础设施保护问题。
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引用次数: 0
SIL assessment of safety instrumented systems in oil and gas stations based on STPA-Bow-tie 基于STPA-Bow-tie的油气站安全仪表系统SIL评价
IF 3.4 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2025.100251
Wencong Ye , Jinjiang Wang , Zhenqiang Wei , Zheng Wang , Laibin Zhang
The growing imperative for safe and intelligent operation of long-distance oil and gas pipeline systems has led to increased deployment of interlock systems at processing stations, but their reliability and compliance are difficult to guarantee. To achieve process hazard analysis (PHA) and safety integrity level (SIL) assessment in complex hazardous scenarios of oil and gas stations, this paper presents a safety instrumented system (SIS) SIL assessment method based on a combination of system theory, process analysis and the Bow-tie model (STPA-Bow-tie). First, the boundary of the station process system is determined, and unsafe control actions (UCAs) and their key causes are identified based on the hierarchical control structure model of the oil and gas stations. Then, the element mapping relationship among STPA, layers of protection analysis (LOPA), and Bow-tie is proposed, and the Bow-tie model based on Simulink is constructed to realize LOPA, so as to quantify the required risk reduction factor (RRF) and determine the target SIL level of the safety instrument function (SIF). Finally, a Markov model verifies the safety integrity of the interlock circuit. Taking the SIL assessment of an SIS system in a certain oil transfer station as an example, the proposed method demonstrates equivalent SIL determination accuracy to the traditional HAZOP-LOPA method while providing 24 % higher analytical precision and superior visualization of multi-cause/consequence coupling in complex hazard scenarios.
随着长输油气管道系统安全、智能化运行的日益迫切,处理站的联锁系统部署越来越多,但联锁系统的可靠性和合规性难以保证。为实现油气田复杂危险场景下的过程危害分析(PHA)和安全完整性等级(SIL)评价,提出了一种基于系统论、过程分析和蝴蝶结模型(STPA-Bow-tie)相结合的安全仪表系统SIL评价方法。首先,确定加油站过程系统边界,基于油气站分层控制结构模型,识别不安全控制动作及其关键原因;然后,提出了STPA、防护层分析(LOPA)和Bow-tie之间的元素映射关系,并构建了基于Simulink的Bow-tie模型来实现LOPA,从而量化所需的风险降低因子(RRF),确定安全仪表功能(SIF)的目标SIL水平。最后通过马尔可夫模型验证了联锁电路的安全完整性。以某石油中转站SIS系统的SIL评估为例,该方法的SIL测定精度与传统HAZOP-LOPA方法相当,分析精度提高24%,在复杂危害情景下多因/后果耦合的可视化效果优于传统HAZOP-LOPA方法。
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