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[Analysis of China's Carbon Emission Decoupling Effect, Driving Factors, and Forecasting]. [中国碳排放脱钩效应、驱动因素及预测分析]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-03-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202503158
Hui-Ping Wang, Zhun Zhang

Against the backdrop of the contradiction between economic development and the "dual carbon" policy, it is of great significance to explore the decoupling effect and driving factors of China's carbon emissions. Here, we used the Tapio decoupling model to characterize the decoupling state of China's carbon emissions and economic growth, optimizing and expanding the decoupling index based on the LMDI model, systematically exploring the driving factors and their contribution to carbon emissions decoupling, further predicting the driving factors based on the grey breakpoint model, and then exploring the main contradictions of carbon emission decoupling in China in the next few years. The results showed that the decoupling state of carbon emissions in various regions of China was mainly weak decoupling, with the western region performing the worst. Under the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, most regions have shown a strong decoupling state, but the decoupling index of carbon emissions rebounded during the economic recovery stage. Energy efficiency and technological progress were the main driving forces for carbon emission decoupling, while economic growth was the main obstacle. The impact of fossil energy consumption structure and demographic factors was relatively small. In the next few years, the decrease in energy efficiency will weaken the role of the energy intensity effect in promoting carbon emission decoupling, and the decline in innovation efficiency will inhibit carbon emission decoupling.

在经济发展与“双碳”政策之间存在矛盾的背景下,探讨中国碳排放的脱钩效应及其驱动因素具有重要意义。本文采用Tapio解耦模型表征中国碳排放与经济增长的解耦状态,在LMDI模型的基础上对解耦指数进行优化扩展,系统探索碳排放解耦的驱动因素及其贡献,并基于灰色断点模型对驱动因素进行进一步预测,进而探索未来几年中国碳排放解耦的主要矛盾。结果表明:中国各地区碳排放的脱钩状态以弱脱钩为主,西部地区表现最差;在新冠肺炎大流行的影响下,大部分地区表现出较强的脱钩状态,但在经济复苏阶段,碳排放的脱钩指数出现反弹。能源效率和技术进步是碳排放脱钩的主要驱动力,经济增长是碳排放脱钩的主要障碍。化石能源消费结构和人口因素的影响相对较小。未来几年,能源效率的下降将削弱能源强度效应对碳排放脱钩的促进作用,创新效率的下降将抑制碳排放脱钩。
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引用次数: 0
[Analysis of Spatial Correlation Network Characteristics of Synergistic Effects in Pollution Reduction and Carbon Mitigation in Urban Agglomerations]. [城市群污染减排与碳减排协同效应的空间关联网络特征分析]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-03-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202501219
Jun Guan, Xu Liu, Yu-Wei Guan, Shao-Peng Zhang

Facing the dual strategic tasks of fundamental ecological improvement and the "Dual Carbon" goals, synergistic promotion of pollution reduction and carbon mitigation (PRCM) has become an inevitable choice for comprehensive green transformation in the new development stage. The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration (BTH), Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration (YRD), and Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration (PRD) were selected as research targets. The coupling coordination degree model between carbon-emission and air-pollution-control systems was established to quantify the synergic index of PRCM from 2000 to 2019. The improved gravity-model-based approach integrated with social network analysis was employed to characterize the spatial correlation network structures of urban-agglomeration-level synergy effects, through which macro-scale spatial configurations and micro-scale interaction patterns were systematically revealed. The results showed that: ① From 2000 to 2019, the synergistic effects of PRCM significantly strengthened across China's three major urban agglomerations-the BTH, YRD, and PRD-with the PRD outperforming the YRD and BTH in the synergistic effects of PRCM. ② Stable spatial correlations were identified among the urban agglomerations, though their internal network structures differed markedly. ③ The YRD and PRD demonstrated comprehensive sectoral distributions, while the BTH displayed dual net spillover sectors, one net beneficiary sector, and one brokerage sector. ④ The networks exhibited compactness, connectivity, and overlay effects, alongside a "community effect" reflecting fragmented regional governance. In future construction, resource optimization and allocation should be coordinated based on the integrated development of urban agglomerations. Inter-regional cooperation should be strengthened to enhance the linkage effect among different regions, and the network-oriented approach should be adopted to promote the synergistic effects of PRCM in urban agglomerations.

面对生态根本建设和“双碳”目标的双重战略任务,协同推进污染减排已成为新发展阶段全面绿色转型的必然选择。以京津冀城市群(BTH)、长三角城市群(YRD)和珠三角城市群(PRD)为研究对象。建立碳排放与大气污染治理系统的耦合协调度模型,量化2000 - 2019年大气污染治理的协同指标。采用改进的引力模型与社会网络分析相结合的方法,对城市群级协同效应的空间关联网络结构进行了表征,系统揭示了宏观尺度的空间格局和微观尺度的相互作用格局。结果表明:①2000 - 2019年,北京、长三角、珠三角三大城市群的协同效应显著增强,且珠三角的协同效应优于长三角和北京。②城市群内部网络结构差异较大,但空间相关性较稳定;③长三角和珠三角表现出全面的行业分布特征,而北京则表现出双重净溢出行业、一个净受益行业和一个经纪行业。④网络表现出紧凑性、连通性和覆盖效应,以及反映碎片化区域治理的“社区效应”。在未来的建设中,应以城市群一体化发展为基础,协调资源优化配置。应加强区域间合作,增强区域间的联动效应;应以网络为导向,促进城市群PRCM的协同效应。
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引用次数: 0
[Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Evolution of Carbon Emission Productivity in Provincial Transportation Industry]. 省际交通运输业碳排放生产率时空演化分析
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-03-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202411293
Jian Li, Yi-Xuan Liu

This research takes the transportation industries of 30 provinces in China as the research object. Based on the SBM super-efficiency model, the total-factor carbon-emission productivity of the transportation industry from 2010 to 2021 was measured. Dynamic analysis was carried out by combining the Malmquist-Luenberger index model and kernel density estimation. Meanwhile, the Theil index method and the coefficient of variation were used to study its regional differences. The spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and driving mechanisms were systematically explored with the help of the spatial geographically weighted regression model. The research results showed that: ① In terms of time series, from 2010 to 2021, the carbon-emission productivity of the transportation industry in the whole country and the eastern, central, and western regions showed a fluctuating upward trend, with average annual growth rates of 5.41%, 7.54%, 4.90%, and 4.79%, respectively. Technological progress and pure technical efficiency were the main driving factors. The increase in the carbon-emission productivity of the transportation industry in the eastern region was greater than the national level, while the increases in the central and western regions were less than the national level. ② In terms of spatial distribution, there were obvious regional differences in the carbon-emission productivity of China's transportation industry. Overall, it showed a spatial distribution characteristic of "high in the east and low in the west, " with "medium-low values as the main and high values as the supplement." The relative differences shown by the average value of the coefficient of variation from large to small were those of the eastern region, western region, and central region in turn. The relative difference in the carbon-emission productivity of the eastern region showed a narrowing trend, while the relative differences in the central and western regions showed an expanding trend. ③ The kernel density analysis showed that the carbon-emission productivity in the eastern region was concentrated in the medium-low level, the central region showed a broad single-peak and strong heterogeneity, and the western region showed polarization. ④ The spatial geographically weighted regression analysis revealed the heterogeneity of driving factors: Labor input continuously promoted positively in the West, and its effect strengthened in the later stage in the East; the impact of investment showed a dynamic evolution of "negative-dominated to positive-expansion, " and the regional gap gradually narrowed; and the inhibitory effect of energy intensity was stronger in the east than in the west.

本研究以中国30个省份的交通运输业为研究对象。基于SBM超效率模型,测算了2010 - 2021年交通运输业全要素碳排放生产率。结合Malmquist-Luenberger指数模型和核密度估计进行了动态分析。同时,采用Theil指数法和变异系数法研究其区域差异。利用空间地理加权回归模型系统地探讨了其时空演化特征及其驱动机制。研究结果表明:①从时间序列上看,2010 - 2021年,全国和东、中、西部地区交通运输业碳排放生产率呈波动上升趋势,年均增长率分别为5.41%、7.54%、4.90%和4.79%。技术进步和纯技术效率是主要驱动因素。东部地区交通运输业碳排放生产率增幅大于全国水平,中西部地区低于全国水平。②在空间分布上,中国交通运输业碳排放生产率存在明显的区域差异。总体上呈现“东高西低”的空间分布特征,以“中低值为主,高低值为辅”。变异系数平均值从大到小的相对差异依次为东部地区、西部地区和中部地区。东部地区碳排放生产率的相对差异呈缩小趋势,中西部地区的相对差异呈扩大趋势。③核密度分析表明,东部地区碳排放生产率集中在中低水平,中部地区碳排放生产率表现为宽单峰且异质性强,西部地区碳排放生产率表现为两极分化。④空间地理加权回归分析揭示了驱动因素的异质性:西部地区劳动力投入持续正向促进,东部地区后期劳动力投入作用增强;投资影响呈现“负主导向正扩张”的动态演变,区域差距逐渐缩小;能量强度的抑制作用东部强于西部。
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引用次数: 0
[Phytoremediation Effect of Ramie with Earthworms on Different Contamination Levels of Cadmium in Farmland Soil]. [苎麻与蚯蚓对农田土壤不同镉污染程度的植物修复作用]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-03-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202502202
Kai-Ye Li, Chao Zeng, Ruo-Chen Du, Jun-Liang Liu, Qing Cheng, Chen-Sheng Lü

Due to its large biomass and ability to absorb heavy metals, including cadmium (Cd), in soil, ramie has been implicated as having the potential for remediating Cd-contaminated soils. This pot study aimed to explore the remedial effects of ramie-based phytoremediation assisted by earthworms on farmland safe utilization soils contaminated with Cd at levels of 1 mg·kg-1 and 3 mg·kg-1. The findings included: ① The presence of earthworms significantly reduced SOM, increased soil enzymatic activities, and improved soil quality. ② The application of ramie-based phytoremediation or earthworm remediation increased the available Cd content in soil, with the combined application showing the greatest significant increase of 28% and 27% at 1 mg·kg-1 Cd and 3 mg·kg-1 Cd-fortified soils, respectively. ③ The presence of earthworms significantly increased the total biomass of ramie of 15% and 30% at 1 mg·kg-1 Cd and 3 mg·kg-1 Cd-fortified soils, respectively. ④ The presence of earthworms significantly increased the total Cd accumulation in ramie for both 1 mg·kg-1 Cd and 3 mg·kg-1 Cd-fortified soils, by 24% and 68%, respectively. Overall, earthworms can enhance the efficiency of ramie-based phytoremediation for Cd-contaminated soils. This study provides a theoretical basis and technical reference for the application of ramie in the remediation of Cd-contaminated farmland soils.

由于其巨大的生物量和吸收土壤中重金属(包括镉)的能力,苎麻被认为具有修复镉污染土壤的潜力。本盆栽试验旨在探讨蚯蚓辅助下苎麻植物修复对镉污染水平为1 mg·kg-1和3 mg·kg-1的农田安全利用土壤的修复效果。结果表明:①蚯蚓的存在显著降低了土壤有机质含量,提高了土壤酶活性,改善了土壤质量。②以苎麻为基础的植物修复或蚯蚓修复均能提高土壤有效镉含量,其中以1 mg·kg-1 Cd和3 mg·kg-1 Cd强化土壤的复合修复效果最显著,分别提高28%和27%。③在1 mg·kg-1 Cd和3 mg·kg-1 Cd强化土壤中蚯蚓的存在使苎麻总生物量分别显著提高15%和30%。④在1 mg·kg-1和3 mg·kg-1 Cd强化土壤中,蚯蚓的存在显著提高了苎麻对Cd的累积总量,分别提高了24%和68%。综上所述,蚯蚓可以提高苎麻植物修复cd污染土壤的效率。本研究为苎麻在cd污染农田土壤修复中的应用提供了理论依据和技术参考。
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引用次数: 0
[Research Progress on Environmental Behavior and Ecological Effects of Microplastics in Reservoirs in China]. [中国水库微塑料环境行为与生态效应研究进展]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-03-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202409160
Ye-Hui Zhao, Dong-Yu Xu, Yang Li, Bo Gao

Reservoirs are artificial lakes formed by damming water, and the enrichment of pollutants caused by water storage and flood control has become a major ecological problem worldwide. Microplastics enter reservoirs through atmospheric deposition, sewage discharge, and surface runoff and continue to accumulate, not only having a significant impact on reservoir ecosystems but even threatening human health through drinking water and the food chain. To comprehensively understand the status of microplastic pollution in Chinese reservoirs, this study analyzed research articles on microplastic pollution in Chinese reservoirs from 2013 to 2024. This study showed that the average abundance of microplastics in the surface water of Chinese reservoirs was (11 542±15 325) n·m-3 and (1 408.45±2 659.03) n·kg-1 in the sediments. The main types of microplastics were polyethylene, polypropylene, and polystyrene, and the particle size distribution of microplastics showed the trend of higher abundance as the size of the particles got smaller. Reservoir construction has changed the natural hydrological situation of the river, and the different hydrodynamic conditions and water environments of the river during the impoundment period and the flood discharge period have had a significant impact on the horizontal and vertical transport behavior of microplastics. In addition, microplastics are prone to form biofilms in closed water bodies of reservoirs and adsorb various pollutants and organic matter, which not only have an impact on the nutrient cycling of the reservoir system but also cause toxic effects when ingested by plants and animals. Finally, this study puts forward the problems that remain to be solved in the future study of microplastic pollution in reservoirs and envisions the future research directions and focuses of microplastic pollution in reservoirs, with a view to providing scientific references for the ecological risk assessment, pollution prevention, and control of microplastic pollution in China's reservoirs.

水库是通过筑坝蓄水形成的人工湖,储水和防洪引起的污染物富集已成为世界性的重大生态问题。微塑料通过大气沉降、污水排放和地表径流进入水库并持续积累,不仅对水库生态系统产生重大影响,甚至通过饮用水和食物链威胁人类健康。为全面了解我国水库微塑料污染现状,本研究对2013 - 2024年我国水库微塑料污染研究文章进行了分析。研究表明,中国水库地表水中微塑料的平均丰度为(11 542±15 325)n·m-3,沉积物中微塑料的平均丰度为(1 408.45±2 659.03)n·kg-1。微塑料的主要类型为聚乙烯、聚丙烯和聚苯乙烯,微塑料的粒度分布呈丰度越小的趋势。水库建设改变了河流的自然水文状况,蓄水期和泄洪期河流的不同水动力条件和水环境对微塑料的水平和垂直运移行为产生了显著影响。此外,微塑料容易在水库封闭水体中形成生物膜,吸附各种污染物和有机物,不仅影响水库系统的养分循环,而且被动植物摄入后也会产生毒性作用。最后,提出了未来水库微塑料污染研究中有待解决的问题,并展望了未来水库微塑料污染的研究方向和重点,以期为中国水库微塑料污染的生态风险评估、污染防治提供科学参考。
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引用次数: 0
[Spatial Differentiation Characteristics of Heavy Metals in the Sediments in the Main Stream and Tributaries in the Upper Reaches of Yarlung Zangbo River]. [雅鲁藏布江上游干支流沉积物重金属空间分异特征]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-03-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202412265
Mi-Mi Zhang, Hui Peng, Jia Liu, Shang-Bin Xiao

Understanding the spatial distribution and sources of heavy metals in river sediments on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is of great significance for revealing the global geochemical processes of heavy metals. Taking the upper reaches of the Yarlung Zangbo River as the research object, surface sediment samples were collected from the upper reaches of the Yarlung Zangbo River in July 2023, and the content and particle size composition of seven heavy metals (Cr, Ni, Cu, Zn, As, Cd, and Pb) that have great impact on the environment and human body were analyzed. The results showed that the grain size of the sediments in the study area was dominated by sand (57.3%), coarse silt (23.2%), fine silt (11.9%), and clay (7.6%). The sediment sand proportion was higher the closer to the river source. The proportion of sand in the north bank was larger than that in the south bank. The contents of Cr, Ni, As, Cd, and Pb in the sediments of the study area were higher than those of the soil background values of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. There were significant differences in the distribution of heavy metals in the sediments of tributaries on the north and south banks. The contents of Cr, Ni, and As in the north bank tributaries were significantly higher than those in the south bank. This spatial difference was related to the rock types of the parent rocks of different tributaries and the different intensities of human activities. According to the results of PMF model analysis, natural and human factors contributed for 78.0% and 22.0%, respectively, in the sediment of tributaries on the south bank of the study area. Natural sources and sources of heavy metals contributed for 85.1% and 14.9%, respectively, in the sediments of the north bank tributaries. This study can provide reference for understanding the geochemical processes of heavy metals in Yarlung Zangbo River sediments under factors and human activities.

了解青藏高原河流沉积物中重金属的空间分布和来源,对揭示全球重金属地球化学过程具有重要意义。以雅鲁藏布江上游为研究对象,于2023年7月采集了雅鲁藏布江上游表层沉积物样品,分析了对环境和人体影响较大的7种重金属(Cr、Ni、Cu、Zn、as、Cd、Pb)的含量和粒径组成。结果表明:研究区沉积物粒度以砂土(57.3%)、粗粉土(23.2%)、细粉土(11.9%)、粘土(7.6%)为主;离河源越近,泥沙比例越高。北岸含沙比例大于南岸;研究区沉积物中Cr、Ni、As、Cd和Pb的含量均高于青藏高原土壤背景值。南北两岸支流沉积物中重金属的分布存在显著差异。北岸支流的Cr、Ni、As含量显著高于南岸。这种空间差异与不同支流母岩的岩石类型和人类活动强度的不同有关。PMF模型分析结果显示,自然和人为因素对研究区南岸支流泥沙的贡献率分别为78.0%和22.0%。北岸支流沉积物中自然源和重金属源的贡献率分别为85.1%和14.9%。该研究可为了解雅鲁藏布江沉积物中重金属的地球化学过程提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
[Scenario Simulation of Land Use Change and Trade-off Analysis of Ecosystem Service Response in Loess Hilly Area]. 黄土丘陵区土地利用变化情景模拟与生态系统服务响应权衡分析[j]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-03-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202412241
Na Li, Cong-Hui Li, Cai-Hong Ma, Li-Ya Ma, Yuan-Yuan Liu

The simulation and prediction of land use change and ecosystem services value(ESV)is an important way to reduce the cost of land space governance and increase the improvement of ecological services. Based on the support of multi-source data,taking Guyuan City as a typical area,the PLUS model was used to simulate and predict the land use change in the loess hilly area,the equivalent factor method was used to measure the response relationship of ESV to land use change,and the ESTD model was used to weigh the ESV response characteristics of different scenarios. The results are as follows:① The effect of ecological construction policy on land use adjustment was significant. From 1990 to 2000,cultivated land expansion and grassland reduction were the mainstay,but after 2000,the expansion of cultivated land and steep slope planting were curbed,the expansion of forest land was obvious,the agglomeration of urban and rural settlements was enhanced,and the land use pattern was optimized. ② The total amount of ESV increased by 2.49×108 yuan,which showed that ESV decreased from 1990 to 2000 but increased steadily and gradually after 2000. The four major ESV contributed to the land types,but the order relationship was adjusted from grassland > cultivated land > forest land > water area in 1990 to grassland > forest land > cultivated land > water area in 2020. ③ The land use pattern was gradually optimized,the disorderly expansion of cultivated land and steep slope planting were curbed,the distribution of forest land expanded significantly,and the agglomeration of urban and rural settlements was enhanced. ④ The decreasing and increasing areas of ESV were widely distributed and intermixed. Before 2000,it was mainly manifested in the trade-off relationship between resource competition and ecosystem services,but since 2000,the synergistic relationship has gradually taken advantage,and the ecosystem service function and support function with the consistent ecological function of the regional main body have been enhanced. In the future,the territorial spatial regulation strategy of giving priority to ecological protection should be continuously strengthened. The results show that the value of ecosystem services was different under different scenarios,and this study provides an important reference for regional ecological protection and land use management.

土地利用变化与生态系统服务价值(ESV)的模拟与预测是降低土地空间治理成本、提高生态服务功能的重要途径。在多源数据支持下,以固原市为典型区,采用PLUS模型对黄土丘陵区土地利用变化进行模拟预测,采用等效因子法测度ESV对土地利用变化的响应关系,采用ESTD模型对不同情景下的ESV响应特征进行加权。结果表明:①生态建设政策对土地利用调整的影响显著。1990 - 2000年以耕地扩张和草地减少为主,2000年以后耕地扩张和陡坡种植受到抑制,林地扩张明显,城乡聚落集聚增强,土地利用格局优化。②社会服务价值总量增加2.49×108元,1990 ~ 2000年社会服务价值呈下降趋势,2000年以后社会服务价值稳步上升。4大ESV对土地类型有贡献,但顺序关系由1990年的草地>;耕地>;林地>;水域调整为2020年的草地>;林地>;耕地>;水域。③土地利用格局逐步优化,耕地和陡坡种植无序扩张得到遏制,林地分布明显扩大,城乡聚落集聚增强。④ESV减少区和增加区分布广泛,相互混杂。2000年以前主要表现为资源竞争与生态系统服务之间的权衡关系,但2000年以来,协同关系逐渐发挥优势,与区域主体生态功能相一致的生态系统服务功能和支撑功能不断增强。未来应不断加强以生态保护为主的国土空间调控战略。结果表明,不同情景下的生态系统服务价值存在差异,为区域生态保护和土地利用管理提供了重要参考。
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引用次数: 0
[Spatio-temporal Evolution of Ecological Resilience and Multi-scenario Evolutionary Simulation in Shenyang]. 沈阳市生态恢复力时空演变及多情景演化模拟[j]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-03-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202501228
Yu-Qi Zhang, Jia-Fu Liu, Yue Zhu

The study of ecological resilience is of great significance in promoting the sustainable development of ecosystems and providing ecological support for socio-economic activities. Based on the three dimensions of resistance, adaptability, and resilience, a potential-elastic-stability ecological resilience evaluation model was constructed to analyze the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of ecological resilience in Shenyang from 1990 to 2020. Additionally, the MOP-PLUS model was coupled to simulate the level of ecological resilience under different development scenarios for Shenyang in 2030. The results show that: ① From 1990 to 2020, the overall ecological resilience level of Shenyang showed a downward trend, with a stable spatial pattern of potential, stability, and resilience and similar distributional characteristics. ② From 1990 to 2020, the northeast and southeast low hills of Shenyang, as well as the watershed areas, exhibited higher toughness, while the central city and county built-up areas had lower toughness, with a tendency for this pattern to expand to the periphery. ③ Simulation of different development scenarios showed that the economic priority development scenario had the lowest ecological toughness, the ecological priority development scenario had the highest ecological toughness, and the coordinated development scenario, which took both economic and ecological development into account, resulted in ecological toughness at an intermediate level. However, the regional development advantages in the coordinated development scenario were greater, representing the best development path for the future.

生态恢复力的研究对于促进生态系统的可持续发展,为社会经济活动提供生态支持具有重要意义。基于抗逆性、适应性和恢复力三个维度,构建了潜在-弹性-稳定性生态恢复力评价模型,分析了1990 - 2020年沈阳市生态恢复力的时空演化特征。结合mopp - plus模型,模拟了沈阳市2030年不同发展情景下的生态恢复力水平。结果表明:①1990—2020年,沈阳市整体生态恢复力水平呈下降趋势,具有稳定的潜力-稳定性-恢复力空间格局和相似的分布特征;②1990 - 2020年,沈阳市东北部、东南部低山丘及流域韧性较高,中心城市和县域建成区韧性较低,并有向周边扩展的趋势。③不同发展情景的生态韧性模拟结果表明,经济优先发展情景的生态韧性最低,生态优先发展情景的生态韧性最高,经济与生态协调发展情景的生态韧性处于中等水平。而协调发展情景下的区域发展优势更大,代表着未来的最佳发展路径。
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引用次数: 0
[Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Driving Mechanisms of Ecosystem Service Value in the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle Revealed by Interpretable Machine Learning]. 基于可解释机器学习的成渝经济圈生态系统服务价值时空动态及驱动机制研究[j]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-03-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202501200
Yuan-Jie Deng, Ai-Ting Ma, Lu Ming, Hang Chen, Yi-Feng Hai, Lan Li

Understanding the spatiotemporal evolution and driving factors of ecosystem service value(ESV)is critical for promoting regional ecological civilization and sustainable development. Taking the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle as the study area,we systematically investigated the spatiotemporal dynamics of ESV,analyzed factors influencing spatial heterogeneity,and explored complex interactions among these drivers using land use data from 2000,2005,2010,2016,and 2022. We employed the equivalent factor method,spatial autocorrelation analysis,and interpretable machine learning(XGBoost-SHAP)approaches. Our results indicate that:① ESV exhibited a continuous upward trend from 2000 to 2022. ② ESV showed significant positive spatial autocorrelation,characterized by a spatial pattern of "low core-high periphery," centering around urban cores. ③ Natural geographical factors primarily drove ESV variations,with elevation and population density identified as critical determinants. Notably,we observed significant nonlinear interactions between elevation and temperature,as well as between elevation and population density. These findings offer scientific insights into ecological conservation and sustainable policy-making in the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle.

了解生态系统服务价值的时空演变及其驱动因素,对于促进区域生态文明和可持续发展具有重要意义。以成渝经济圈为研究区,利用2000年、2005年、2010年、2016年和2022年的土地利用数据,系统考察了成渝经济圈ESV的时空动态,分析了影响其空间异质性的因素,并探讨了这些驱动因素之间的复杂相互作用。我们采用了等效因子法、空间自相关分析和可解释机器学习(XGBoost-SHAP)方法。结果表明:①2000 ~ 2022年,中国生态环境价值呈持续上升趋势。②ESV呈显著的正空间自相关,以城市核心为中心,呈现“低核心-高外围”的空间格局。③自然地理因素是影响ESV变化的主要因素,其中海拔高度和人口密度是主要决定因素。值得注意的是,我们观察到海拔与温度以及海拔与人口密度之间存在显著的非线性相互作用。研究结果为成渝经济圈生态保护与可持续发展决策提供了科学依据。
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引用次数: 0
[Effects of Amendments and Straw Return on Soil and Rice Cd Content in a Rice/Rape Rotation System]. 改良剂和秸秆还田对稻/油菜轮作系统土壤和水稻Cd含量的影响
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-03-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202502148
Qiang Xu, Bao-Jia Yang, Zhi-Qi Li, Ning-Zhen Yan, Wen-Cai Dai, Zi-Fang Wang, Ming Gao

To investigate the synergistic effects of acidic soil amendments and straw return on soil properties and cadmium (Cd) content in rice under a rice/rape rotation system and to provide a scientific basis for acidic purple soil improvement and heavy metal pollution remediation, a field experiment was conducted with six treatments: no fertilization (CK), NPK (F), NPK + straw return (FT), NPK + calcium magnesium phosphate fertilizer + straw return (FGT), NPK + lime powder + straw return (FST), and NPK + biochar + straw return (FBT). The study evaluated crop yield, soil organic matter (SOM), pH, total Cd, available Cd (DTPA-Cd), and Cd content in rice straw, husk, and grains to elucidate their interactive effects. The results demonstrated that: ① Compared with CK, FGT, FST, and FBT significantly increased SOM (P < 0.05), with FBT elevating SOM by 3.56 g·kg-1 and 9.88 g·kg-1 during the rape and rice seasons, respectively. For crop yield, FBT enhanced rape yield by 61.7%, while FST increased rice yield by 14.4%. ② Relative to F, FGT, FST, and FBT significantly raised soil pH (P < 0.05), with FST increasing pH by 0.99 and 2.66 units in the rape and rice seasons, respectively. Compared to that in CK and F, FT increased total soil Cd by 3.1% and 1.2%, whereas FGT, FST, and FBT reduced total Cd by 9.4%-16.9% and available Cd by 23.1%-30.7%. FBT decreased Cd content in rice grains by 44.2%. ③ Cd enrichment and translocation varied across rice tissues. Enrichment coefficients followed the order straw > husk > grains, and the translocation coefficient from straw to husk was lower than that from husk to grains. ④ Correlation analysis revealed significant negative correlations (P < 0.05) between SOM and DTPA-Cd, total Cd, grain Cd, and straw Cd. In Cd-contaminated acidic purple soil under rice/rape rotation, the combined application of straw return with amendments (e.g., calcium magnesium phosphate, lime powder, biochar) significantly enhanced SOM, crop yield, and soil pH (P < 0.05) and effectively reduced available Cd and Cd content in rice tissues, with the FBT treatment (biochar combined with straw return) demonstrating the most comprehensive improvement.

为探讨酸壤改良剂与秸秆还田对稻/油菜轮作下土壤性质和水稻镉含量的协同效应,为酸性紫色土改良和重金属污染修复提供科学依据,本试验采用6个处理进行田间试验:不施肥(CK)、NPK (F)、NPK +秸秆还田(FT)、NPK +钙镁磷肥+秸秆还田(FGT)、NPK +石灰粉+秸秆还田(FST)、NPK +生物炭+秸秆还田(FBT)。本研究评估了作物产量、土壤有机质(SOM)、pH、全Cd、速效Cd (DTPA-Cd)以及稻秆、稻壳和稻谷中Cd含量,以阐明它们的交互作用。结果表明:①与对照相比,FGT、FST和FBT显著提高了土壤有机质含量(P < 0.05),其中FBT在油菜季和水稻季分别提高了3.56 g·kg-1和9.88 g·kg-1;在作物产量方面,FBT增产61.7%,FST增产14.4%。②与F相比,FGT、FST和FBT显著提高了土壤pH值(P < 0.05),其中FST在油菜季和水稻季分别提高了0.99和2.66个单位。与对照和F处理相比,FT处理使土壤总Cd增加3.1%和1.2%,而FGT、FST和FBT处理使土壤总Cd减少9.4% ~ 16.9%,有效Cd减少23.1% ~ 30.7%。水稻籽粒Cd含量降低44.2%。③镉在水稻组织中的富集和转运存在差异。富集系数的顺序为秸秆→壳→粒,且秸秆→壳→粒的转运系数小于壳→粒的转运系数。④相关分析显示,SOM与DTPA-Cd、总Cd、籽粒Cd和秸秆Cd呈显著负相关(P < 0.05)。在Cd污染的酸性紫色土壤中,秸秆还田配施磷酸钙镁、石灰粉、生物炭等改良剂显著提高了SOM、作物产量和土壤pH值(P < 0.05),有效降低了水稻组织中有效Cd和Cd含量;其中FBT处理(生物炭与秸秆还田相结合)的改善最为全面。
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引用次数: 0
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