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Poverty and Shared Prosperity 2020: Reversals of Fortune最新文献

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Introduction: Global Goals, Shared Challenges 导言:全球目标,共同挑战
Pub Date : 2020-11-19 DOI: 10.1596/978-1-4648-1602-4_intro
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引用次数: 0
Monitoring Global Poverty 监测全球贫困
Pub Date : 2020-11-19 DOI: 10.1596/978-1-4648-1602-4_ch1
Aziz Atamanov, Andres Castaneda Aguilar, Samuel Kofi Tetteh Baah, Dean Jolliffe, Christoph Lakner, Daniel Mahler, M. Schoch, Nishant Martha Viveros
Through 2017, the last year for which global data are available, extreme poverty reduction slowed compared with previous decades, continuing the trend reported in Poverty and Shared Prosperity 2018: Piecing Together the Poverty Puzzle (World Bank 2018). This deceleration alone would have made it hard to reach the 2030 target of 3 percent global poverty. Now, the COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic has reversed the gains in global poverty for the first time in a generation. This report estimates that this reversal of fortune is expected to push between 88 million and 115 million more people into extreme poverty in 2020. But COVID-19 is not the only reversal that threatens the poverty goals: confronting conflict and climate change will also be critical to putting poverty eradication back on track. Current estimates show that poverty rates are rising in the Middle East and North Africa, driven largely by economies affected by conflict. Moreover, recent estimates indicate that between 68 million and 132 million people could be pushed into poverty by 2030 because of the multiple impacts of climate change. In 2018, the World Bank presented poverty lines at US$3.20 a day and US$5.50 a day to reflect national poverty lines in lower-middle-income and upper-middle-income countries, respectively, which underscore that poverty eradication is far from attained once the extreme poverty threshold of US$1.90 a day has been reached. In South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa, poverty reduction against these lines has been slower than at the extreme poverty line, suggesting that many people have barely escaped extreme poverty. The societal poverty line (SPL), which increases with a country’s level of income, leads to similar conclusions: 2 billion people are still poor by this definition. Poverty reduction has been too slow in Sub-Saharan Africa for global poverty to reach the 2030 goal. Some economies in the region have made gains, but high poverty rates persist in too many. Sub-Saharan Africa faces high levels of multidimensional poverty with high overlaps across the different dimensions, suggesting that nonmonetary deprivations are compounding monetary poverty. Extreme poverty is predicted to become increasingly concentrated in the region. Monitoring Global Poverty
截至2017年(可获得全球数据的最后一年),与前几十年相比,极端贫困的减少速度有所放缓,延续了《2018年贫困与共享繁荣:拼凑贫困之谜》(世界银行2018年)报告的趋势。仅这种减速就会使2030年全球贫困人口减少3%的目标难以实现。现在,COVID-19(冠状病毒)大流行在一代人的时间里首次逆转了全球贫困方面的进展。该报告估计,到2020年,这种财富逆转预计将使8800万至1.15亿人陷入极端贫困。但2019冠状病毒病并不是威胁减贫目标的唯一逆转:应对冲突和气候变化对于重返消除贫困的轨道也至关重要。目前的估计显示,中东和北非的贫困率正在上升,这主要是受受冲突影响的经济体的推动。此外,最近的估计表明,到2030年,由于气候变化的多重影响,可能会有6800万至1.32亿人陷入贫困。2018年,世界银行分别以每天3.20美元和每天5.50美元的贫困线来反映中低收入国家和中高收入国家的国家贫困线,强调一旦达到每天1.90美元的极端贫困线,消除贫困就远未实现。在南亚和撒哈拉以南非洲,这些贫困线的减贫速度低于极端贫困线,这表明许多人勉强摆脱了极端贫困。随着一国收入水平的提高,社会贫困线(SPL)也得出了类似的结论:按照这一定义,仍有20亿人处于贫困状态。撒哈拉以南非洲地区的减贫进展过于缓慢,导致全球贫困无法实现2030年目标。该地区的一些经济体取得了进展,但很多经济体的高贫困率依然存在。撒哈拉以南非洲面临着高水平的多维贫困,不同维度之间存在高度重叠,这表明非货币匮乏正在加剧货币贫困。预计极端贫困将越来越集中在该地区。监测全球贫困
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引用次数: 35
Shared Prosperity: Monitoring Inclusive Growth 共享繁荣:监测包容性增长
Pub Date : 2020-11-19 DOI: 10.1596/978-1-4648-1602-4_ch2
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引用次数: 1
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Poverty and Shared Prosperity 2020: Reversals of Fortune
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