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Profitability of Option-Based Merger Arbitrage 期权型并购套利的盈利能力
Pub Date : 2012-12-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1685284
Xuewu Wang, Lei Wedge
This paper examines the profitability of option-based merger arbitrage. A simple arbitrage strategy using stock options is designed to examine the merger arbitrage profitability from 1996 to 2008. This strategy takes long position on call options of target firms and put options of acquirer firms simultaneously. The results show that the option-based arbitrage strategy is far more profitable than the stock-based arbitrage strategy. Option arbitrage grows one dollar invested in merger deals in January 1996 into more than seventeen dollars by December 2008. In contrast, stock arbitrage grows one dollar into approximately seven dollars over the same period. It is also observed that both the strategies generate significant arbitrage portfolio returns that are robust to controls of traditional asset pricing factors.
本文研究了基于期权的并购套利的盈利能力。设计了一种简单的股票期权套利策略,考察了1996 - 2008年并购套利的盈利能力。该策略同时做多目标公司的看涨期权和收购公司的看跌期权。结果表明,基于期权的套利策略远高于基于股票的套利策略。期权套利使1996年1月在并购交易中投资的1美元到2008年12月增加到17美元以上。相比之下,股票套利在同一时期将1美元增长到大约7美元。我们还观察到,这两种策略都产生了显著的套利组合回报,这些回报对传统资产定价因素的控制是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
Testing the Random Walk Model in Indian Stock Markets 随机漫步模型在印度股市的检验
Pub Date : 2012-10-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1895114
Vdmv Lakshmi, B. Roy
The present study attempts to examine the random movements in stock indices in the Indian equity market. It tests the random walk hypotheses in daily, weekly and monthly returns of six Indian stock market indices from January 2000 to October 2009. The indices considered for the purpose of the study include Nifty, CNX Nifty Junior, NSE 500, SENSEX, BSE 100 and BSE 500. The study uses Jarque-Bera (JB) Test for testing normality in return series. It also applies Box Pierce Q-Statistics and Ljung-Box (LB)statistics, and Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test to test whether return series follow random walk or not. The results indicate that there are no random movements in share indices. However, when we apply Lo and MacKinlay (1988) variance ratio test under the assumptions of both homoskedasticity and heteroskedasticity, we observe contradictory results. It is also found that sometimes heteroskedasticity is the source of non-random behavior in share indices.
本研究试图检验在印度股票市场股票指数的随机运动。本文对2000年1月至2009年10月印度6个股市指数的日、周、月收益进行了随机漫步假设检验。为研究目的考虑的指数包括Nifty, CNX Nifty Junior, NSE 500, SENSEX, BSE 100和BSE 500。本研究采用Jarque-Bera (JB)检验检验回归序列的正态性。运用Box Pierce Q-Statistics和Ljung-Box (LB)统计量,以及Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF)检验来检验回归序列是否遵循随机游走。结果表明,股票指数不存在随机变动。然而,当我们在均方差性和异方差性假设下应用Lo和MacKinlay(1988)方差比检验时,我们观察到矛盾的结果。本文还发现,有时异方差是股票指数非随机行为的来源。
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引用次数: 7
Price Reaction, Final Dividend Reductions and Signaling: UK Evidence 价格反应,最终股息削减和信号:英国证据
Pub Date : 2012-07-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1535206
B. Balachandran, Vineeta Harshad. Juthani, M. Mahamuni, Berty Vidanapathirana
This paper provides an analysis of the relationship between final dividend reductions and price reactions around final dividend reduction announcements. The authors argue that final dividend reductions provide strong signals when they are not fully anticipated, while the price reaction is weaker when the market anticipates a reduction in the final dividend. Price reactions are dependent upon the size of final dividend reduction, the gearing ratio and prior dividend reduction. In addition, the authors find that the gearing ratio, company size, lagged earnings and current earnings change have explanatory power for the decision to determine whether to reduce annual dividend at both interim and final stages or only at the final stage.
本文分析了终派削减与终派削减公告前后的价格反应之间的关系。作者认为,最终股息的减少在没有完全预期的情况下提供了强烈的信号,而当市场预期最终股息减少时,价格反应较弱。价格反应取决于最终股息减少的规模,杠杆比率和先前的股息减少。此外,作者发现,杠杆比率、公司规模、滞后收益和当期收益变化对决定是否在中期和最终阶段或仅在最终阶段减少年度股息都有解释力。
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引用次数: 1
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The IUP Journal of Applied Finance
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