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More Income for North Dakota Farmers: The Potential Role of Livestock Enterprises 为北达科他州农民增加收入:畜牧业企业的潜在作用
Pub Date : 1992-05-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.51189
M. Duncan, V. Anderson, T. Faller, C. Haugse, H. Hughes, D. Landblom, Richard D. Taylor
Income from livestock marketing has declined as a proportion of total gross farm income in the past two decades. • Income from cattle and calves accounts for about 65-75 percent of total livestock income in the state. • Income from milk has ranged from 14-20 percent of total livestock income in the state. • Income from swine, a promising growth enterprise for the state, has generated only 5-8 percent of total livestock income. • Livestock income is very important to counties in western North Dakota, relatively unimportant in the eastern counties. • Enterprise budgets for beef and swine indicate positive returns to operator and unpaid labor, management, and equity capital for 1992. • Less than 30 percent of North Dakota's feed grain output is used within the state to support livestock production. • Large quantities of unused roughage and crop residue, currently unused, could support additional livestock production. • Livestock production can be a complementary enterprise with crop production adding to farmer income levels and stability of income. • Constraints to increased livestock production in the state can be resolved largely through a program of focused research and education.
在过去二十年中,畜牧销售收入占农业总收入的比例有所下降。•来自牛和小牛的收入约占该州畜牧业总收入的65- 75%。•牛奶收入占该州畜牧业总收入的14% - 20%。•来自养猪的收入,对国家来说是一个有前途的成长型企业,仅占畜牧业总收入的5- 8%。•牲畜收入对北达科他州西部县非常重要,而对东部县相对不重要。•牛肉和猪的企业预算表明,1992年经营者和无偿劳动力、管理和权益资本的回报为正。•北达科他州不到30%的饲料谷物产量用于支持该州的牲畜生产。•目前未使用的大量未使用的粗饲料和作物残渣可以支持额外的牲畜生产。•畜牧生产可以作为作物生产的补充企业,提高农民的收入水平和稳定收入。•该州牲畜产量增长的制约因素可以通过重点研究和教育计划在很大程度上得到解决。
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引用次数: 0
A Profile of Public Officials, Government Structure, and Environmental Issues in the Lower Sheyenne River Basin, North Dakota 北达科他州下谢恩河流域的公职人员、政府结构和环境问题概况
Pub Date : 1977-09-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.120853
J. Leitch, W. Nelson, David M. Saxowsky
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引用次数: 1
Impacts of DON in the malting barley supply chain: aggregate costs and firm-level risks. DON对麦芽供应链的影响:总成本和企业层面的风险。
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.23103
D. Johnson, W. Nganje
DON is a toxic byproduct of fusarium head blight (FHB), a fungal disease of small grains. Beginning in 1993, a prolonged outbreak of FHB occurred in the Upper Midwest, the traditional source of most six-rowed malting barley produced in the United States. Price discounts associated with DON in barley have been significant. This paper has two objectives. The first is to estimate the impact of DON on the value of malting barley grown in the Upper Midwest. Using crop quality data, we use a linear programming model to derive optimal blends of barley supplies, given discount schedules and the distribution of quality factors. The premise is that blending activities, on a regional scale, allow a larger fraction of the crop to be sold as malting. The second objective is to assess the risks associated with DON in the context of a firm-level blending model. We frame a nonlinear optimization problem in which an elevator seeks to maximize the expected sales value of the barley in its bins. Price discounts for several quality factors are incorporated in the analysis, along with probability distributions for DON. Treating DON as a random quality factor adds some interesting complexity to the standard grain blending problem. Attachments: aem187a.xls aem187b.xls aem187c.xls aem187d.xls
DON是一种小颗粒真菌病镰刀菌头疫病(FHB)的有毒副产物。从1993年开始,在美国生产的大多数六棱麦芽的传统来源中西部上游地区发生了长时间的FHB暴发。大麦中与DON相关的价格折扣很大。本文有两个目的。首先是估计DON对上中西部地区种植的麦芽价值的影响。利用作物质量数据,我们使用线性规划模型来推导大麦供应的最佳混合,给定折扣时间表和质量因素的分布。前提是,在区域范围内,混合活动允许更大比例的作物作为麦芽出售。第二个目标是在公司级混合模型的背景下评估与DON相关的风险。我们构造了一个非线性优化问题,其中电梯寻求最大化箱内大麦的预期销售价值。在分析中纳入了几个质量因素的价格折扣,以及DON的概率分布。将DON作为一个随机的质量因子,增加了标准颗粒混合问题的一些有趣的复杂性。附件:aem187a.xls aem187b.xls aem187c.xls aem187d.xls
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引用次数: 13
Economic Impact of Railroad Abandonment: Carrington-to-Turtle Lake Rail Line 铁路废弃的经济影响:卡灵顿至海龟湖铁路线
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.23100
D. A. Bangsund, J. Honeyman, F. Leistritz
The Carrington-to-Turtle Lake rail line serves five agricultural shippers in a four county area in central North Dakota. Service on the line has been affected by recent embargoes, floods, and poor, deteriorating track conditions. The line is a strong candidate for abandonment as efforts to rehabilitate the line have lacked financial support. Prior to this study, a benefit/cost study, which compares benefits and costs of a rail line reconstruction, was performed for the rail line in an attempt to secure financial assistance for rehabilitation. Railroad abandonment impacts rural communities and local economies in a variety of ways. Businesses that use rail for transportation usually experience a change in their shipping options. Instead of sending and/or receiving materials and supplies by rail, those items must be moved by truck. The severity of the change is often a function of the amount of material shipped and distance hauled. Rail abandonment affects property values. In the absence of tax rate changes, reduced property values translate directly into lower property tax revenues for local governments. Rural areas, especially in North Dakota, often do not have adequate road and highway infrastructure to absorb movements of grain and agricultural inputs exclusively by truck. The transference of rail movements to truck traffic accelerates the deterioration of local roads and highways. Abandonment of the Carrington-to-Turtle Lake rail line was estimated to increase transportation costs for shippers on the line by $329,000 annually. A majority of the increase in transportation costs would be incurred by farmers in the form of reduced commodity prices. The North Dakota Input-Output Model estimated that the $329,000 in direct impacts would generate an additional $682,000 in secondary impacts. Total economic losses for the regional economy were estimated to be $1 million annually. Additional impacts included an annual loss of $17,900 in state-collected tax revenue. Annual net costs (i.e., damages less additional user revenues) to repair and maintain state roads impacted from increased truck traffic were estimated at $297,000 for resurfacing and $868,000 for reconstruction.
卡灵顿到海龟湖铁路线服务于北达科他州中部四个县地区的五个农业托运人。由于最近的禁运、洪水以及糟糕的、不断恶化的轨道状况,这条线路的服务受到了影响。由于修复这条线路的努力缺乏财政支持,这条线路是被放弃的有力候选者。在这项研究之前,为了获得修复的财政援助,对铁路线进行了一项效益/成本研究,比较了铁路线重建的效益和成本。铁路废弃以各种方式影响农村社区和当地经济。使用铁路运输的企业通常会改变他们的运输选择。这些物品必须用卡车运输,而不是通过铁路发送和/或接收材料和供应品。变化的严重程度通常是运输材料数量和运输距离的函数。铁路废弃会影响房地产价值。在没有税率变化的情况下,房地产价值的下降直接转化为地方政府财产税收入的下降。农村地区,特别是北达科他州的农村地区,往往没有足够的公路和高速公路基础设施来吸收完全由卡车运输的粮食和农业投入。铁路运输向卡车运输的转变加速了当地道路和高速公路的恶化。据估计,卡灵顿至海龟湖铁路线的废弃将使这条铁路线上的托运人的运输成本每年增加32.9万美元。运输成本增加的大部分将以商品价格下降的形式由农民承担。北达科他州投入产出模型估计,32.9万美元的直接影响将产生额外的68.2万美元的次要影响。据估计,该区域经济每年的经济损失总额为100万美元。其他影响包括每年损失17,900美元的州税收收入。修理和维护因卡车交通增加而受到影响的州公路的年度净费用(即损失减去额外用户收入)估计为重铺路面的费用为297 000美元,重建的费用为868 000美元。
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引用次数: 3
Impediments to controlling leafy spurge in the Northern Great Plains 北方大平原控制叶类杂草的障碍
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.22004/AG.ECON.23109
R. Sell, D. A. Bangsund, F. Leistritz
Leafy spurge is an invasive noxious weed, which by definition means it is inordinately difficult to control. The objective of this report is to present the results of focus group meetings and personal interviews with ranchers, local decision makers, and public land managers to discover strategies to improve leafy spurge management. Participants in the interviews and focus group meetings managed property in Fallon, Carter, and Wibaux Counties of Montana; Golden Valley, Bowman, Billings, and Slope Counties of North Dakota; Harding County of South Dakota; and Crook County of Wyoming. Ranchers and local decision makers believe that leafy spurge control must become more proactive rather than reactive; current strategies are largely reactive. Interviews with ranchers and local decision makers revealed that a considerable gap in understanding how to control leafy spurge exists between researchers and those attempting to combat the weed. Interviewers often mentioned that they have been unable to eradicate leafy spurge, which indicates that the current mind set of ranchers and land managers needs to change to one focusing more on controlling and managing leafy spurge rather than eradication. Specific recommendations would include 1) reducing the current levels of herbicide application rates - which are often two to three times higher than rates recommended by weed scientists, 2) must appreciate that herbicides are but one tool in the battle against leafy spurge, 3) must understand that in many cases eradication of leafy spurge will not be possible - the goal should be trying to control it, and 4) rangeland rental rates need to reflect current levels of weed infestations. Records of weed infestations (e.g., acreage, location, rate of spread, attempts at control) on public lands are woefully inadequate. Cooperation between ranchers, county weed boards, and public land agencies could be improved to enhance the effectiveness of existing control programs. Weed control regardless of land ownership is important for ranchers, absentee landowners, and public agencies to effectively control leafy spurge. In general, ranchers and land managers need to generate a broader base of support for control of leafy spurge, since the weed attacks the entire ecosystem and is not just an agricultural problem.
叶刺草是一种入侵的有害杂草,顾名思义,它是非常难以控制的。本报告的目的是介绍焦点小组会议和与牧场主、当地决策者和公共土地管理者的个人访谈的结果,以发现改善叶草管理的策略。参加访谈和焦点小组会议的人在蒙大拿州的法伦县、卡特县和威博克斯县管理财产;北达科他州的金谷县、鲍曼县、比林斯县和坡县;南达科他州的哈丁县;以及怀俄明州的克鲁克县。牧场主和当地决策者认为,叶类杂草的控制必须更加主动,而不是被动;目前的战略很大程度上是被动的。对牧场主和当地决策者的采访显示,研究人员和那些试图与杂草作斗争的人在如何控制叶类杂草方面存在相当大的差距。采访者经常提到他们无法根除叶草,这表明牧场主和土地管理者目前的心态需要改变,更多地关注控制和管理叶草,而不是根除叶草。具体建议包括1)减少除草剂的应用程序的当前水平利率——这通常是两到三倍利率由杂草科学家建议,2)必须升值,除草剂是但在对抗叶大戟科的一个工具,3)必须理解,在许多情况下消除叶大戟是不可能的——的目标应该是试图控制它,和4)牧场租赁利率需要反映当前水平的杂草病害。公共土地上杂草泛滥的记录(如面积、位置、蔓延速度、控制措施)严重不足。牧场主、县杂草委员会和公共土地机构之间的合作可以得到改善,以提高现有控制项目的有效性。无论土地所有权如何,杂草控制对于牧场主、缺席的土地所有者和公共机构有效控制叶草都很重要。总的来说,牧场主和土地管理者需要建立更广泛的支持基础来控制叶草,因为这种杂草会破坏整个生态系统,而不仅仅是一个农业问题。
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引用次数: 4
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