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Introduction to the Handbook on the Economics of Climate Change 《气候变化经济学手册》导言
Pub Date : 2020-06-26 DOI: 10.4337/9780857939067.00005
G. Chichilnisky, Armon Rezai
This Handbook comes to light at a time when economic sciences start to recognize the inevitable emergence of climate change as the defining topic of our time. Economic thinking is evolving in front of our eyes, calling for reflection and reconsideration. The chapters contain ideas and policies to support and accelerate the change. We now know that climate change embodies and forecasts the future of human civilization and therefore its economic organization. It is the purpose of the Handbook to contribute to the transformation of economics in the midst of this momentous evolution. The importance of climate change in economics should be no surprise. It is natural and to be expected because, as the traditional definition goes, economics is about the production, use, and distribution of resources, a definition that was famously proposed by T. Koopmans in the middle of the 20th century. Resources are at the core of economics, this much is clear. What is perhaps less clear is the transformation that has occurred in our perception of resources. Now, for the first time, we have 7.3 billion humans who have come to dominate the planet creating a new geological period that has replaced the Holocene and which geologists now call the Anthropocene. Only now that we dominate the geology of the planet have we come to recognize that the most important resources for human societies are the atmosphere of the planet, its bodies of waters and its biodiversity, namely the global environment. The definition of economics proposed by T. Koopmans has not changed: it is our understanding of resources that has fundamentally changed. To achieve its goal the book is divided into three sections that cover critical new areas and ideas about economics and climate change: The political economy of climate change and climate policy, integrated assessment modelling, and climate change and sustainability. For the convenience of the reader and using abstracts provided by the authors, the content is summarized in the following.
当经济科学开始认识到气候变化不可避免的出现是我们这个时代的决定性主题时,这本手册就出现了。经济思维正在我们眼前演变,需要我们反思和重新思考。这些章节包含支持和加速变革的想法和政策。我们现在知道,气候变化体现和预测了人类文明的未来,因此也预测了人类经济组织的未来。这本手册的目的是在这一重大演变中为经济学的转型做出贡献。气候变化在经济学中的重要性不足为奇。这是很自然的,也是意料之中的,因为按照传统的定义,经济学是关于资源的生产、使用和分配的,这个定义是由T. Koopmans在20世纪中期提出的。资源是经济学的核心,这一点是清楚的。也许不太清楚的是,我们对资源的看法发生了转变。现在,我们第一次有73亿人统治了地球创造了一个新的地质时期,取代了全新世,地质学家现在称之为人类世。直到现在我们主导了地球的地质,我们才认识到人类社会最重要的资源是地球的大气、水体和生物多样性,即全球环境。T.库普曼斯提出的经济学定义并没有改变:我们对资源的理解从根本上发生了变化。为了实现其目标,本书分为三个部分,涵盖了关于经济学和气候变化的关键新领域和思想:气候变化和气候政策的政治经济学,综合评估模型,气候变化和可持续性。为了方便读者和使用作者提供的摘要,将内容总结如下。
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引用次数: 1
Greenhouse gas and cyclical growth 温室气体和周期性增长
Pub Date : 2020-06-26 DOI: 10.4337/9780857939067.00021
L. Taylor, D. Foley
A growth model incorporating dynamics of capital per capita, atmospheric CO 2 concentration, and labor and energy productivity is described. In the “medium run” output and employment are determined by effective demand in contrast to most models of climate change. In a “long run” of several centuries the model converges to a stationary state with zero net emissions of CO 2 . Properties of dismal and non-dismal stationary states are explored, with a latter requiring a relatively high level of investment in mitigation of emissions. Without such investment under “business as usual” output dynamics are strongly cyclical in numerical simulations. There is strong output growth for about eight decades, then a climate crisis, and output crash.
本文描述了一个包含人均资本、大气二氧化碳浓度、劳动和能源生产率动态的增长模型。与大多数气候变化模型不同,在“中期”,产出和就业是由有效需求决定的。在几个世纪的“长期运行”中,该模型趋近于二氧化碳净排放量为零的稳定状态。探讨了沉闷和非沉闷平稳状态的性质,后者要求在减缓排放方面进行相对较高水平的投资。数值模拟显示,在“一切照旧”的情况下,如果没有这种投资,产出动态具有很强的周期性。先是80年左右的强劲产出增长,然后是气候危机和产出崩溃。
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引用次数: 1
Integrated Assessment Modelling 综合评估模型
Pub Date : 2006-05-01 DOI: 10.4337/9780857939067.00012
R. Tol
In the middle of the 1990s, integrated assessment went through a period of introspection (Dowlatabadi, 1995; Grubb, 1993; Henderson-Sellers, 1996; Kolstad, 1998; Morgan and Dowlatabadi, 1996; Parson, 1995, 1996; Risbey et al., 1996; Rotmans and van Asselt, 1996; Rotmans, 1998; Rotmans and Dowlatabadi, 1998; Schneider, 1997; Shackley et al., 1998a,b; Thompson, 1997; Tol and Vellinga, 1998; Toth and Hizsnyik, 1998; Weyant et al., 1996). Around 1995, very different types of models had emerged – all under the label of integrated assessment modelling – and a new breed of integrated assessment – now known as participatory integrated assessment – challenged the models. The IA community was split into two, perhaps three or four camps: policy simulation modellers (Alcamo and Kreileman, 1996; Morita et al., 1994; Rotmans et al., 1990) were pitted against policy optimisation modellers (Carraro and Galeotti, 1996; Maddison, 1995; Manne et al., 1995; Nordhaus, 1994; Peck and Teisberg, 1992, Richels and Edmonds, 1995; Tol, 1997; Wigley et al., 1996), with a few uncertainty modellers claiming that both had it wrong (Dowlatabadi and Morgan, 1993; Plambeck et al., 1997; van Asselt et al., 1996; Yohe and Wallace, 1996), and those advocating participatory integrated assessment methods arguing for a much reduced role of models in policy advice, and for a drastic overhaul of the models as well (Bailey, 1997; Bailey et al., 1996; Cohen 1997; C. Jaeger, 1998; J. Jaeger, 1998; Munda, 1996; Parson, 1997). Fundamental questions were asked, such as what is integrated assessment, and what is it good for? The European Forum on Integrated Environmental Assessment was one of the results of this process of introspection, as integrated assessors realised that, however great the differences, they have more in common with each other than with disciplinary researchers.
20世纪90年代中期,综合评估经历了一段自省时期(Dowlatabadi, 1995;Grubb, 1993;Henderson-Sellers, 1996;Kolstad, 1998;Morgan and Dowlatabadi, 1996;帕森,1995,1996;Risbey et al., 1996;Rotmans and van Asselt, 1996;罗特曼,1998;Rotmans and Dowlatabadi, 1998;施耐德,1997;Shackley et al., 1998a,b;汤普森,1997;Tol and Vellinga, 1998;Toth and Hizsnyik, 1998;Weyant et al., 1996)。1995年前后,出现了非常不同类型的模型- -所有这些模型都被称为综合评价模型- -一种新的综合评价- -现在被称为参与性综合评价- -对这些模型提出了挑战。IA社区被分成两个,也许是三到四个阵营:政策模拟建模者(Alcamo和Kreileman, 1996;Morita et al., 1994;Rotmans等人,1990)与政策优化建模者(Carraro和Galeotti, 1996;麦迪森,1995;Manne et al., 1995;斯,1994;Peck and Teisberg, 1992; ricels and Edmonds, 1995;托尔,1997;Wigley et al., 1996),少数不确定性建模者声称两者都错了(Dowlatabadi和Morgan, 1993;Plambeck et al., 1997;van Asselt et al., 1996;Yohe和Wallace, 1996),而那些倡导参与式综合评估方法的人则主张大大减少模型在政策建议中的作用,并对模型进行彻底改革(Bailey, 1997;Bailey et al., 1996;科恩1997;C. Jaeger, 1998;J. Jaeger, 1998;蒙达语,1996;牧师,1997)。他们提出了一些基本的问题,比如什么是综合评估,它有什么好处?欧洲综合环境评估论坛是这一反思过程的结果之一,因为综合评估人员意识到,无论差异有多大,他们彼此之间的共同点比与学科研究人员的共同点更多。
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引用次数: 6
The Political Economy of Climate Change and Climate Policy 气候变化和气候政策的政治经济学
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4337/9780857939067.00006
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引用次数: 0
Climate Change and Sustainability 气候变化与可持续发展
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.4337/9780857939067.00019
Description The seminar's goal is to motivate and enable students to take substantial steps toward a more sustainable world. It provides them with the tools they need to make a difference. Throughout the seminar, students will investigate the major environmental and climate change challenges confronting Jordanian communities. Water scarcity, sustainable energy production, food security, and the impact of refugees on natural resources will be among the topics addressed. The seminar takes a multifaceted approach, incorporating informative lectures, site visits to rural areas where communities and refugees live, and engaging discussions that will prepare students for their future internships. Additionally, the seminar places emphasis on the role of international relations in facilitating coordination and collaboration among countries, particularly in addressing issues such as water scarcity and hydro-politics involving Jordan, Syria, the West Bank, and Israel.
该研讨会的目标是激励和使学生采取实质性的步骤走向一个更可持续的世界。它为他们提供了改变世界所需的工具。在整个研讨会中,学生将调查约旦社区面临的主要环境和气候变化挑战。会议将讨论水资源短缺、可持续能源生产、粮食安全以及难民对自然资源的影响等议题。研讨会采用多方面的方法,包括信息讲座,社区和难民居住的农村地区的实地考察,以及参与讨论,为学生未来的实习做好准备。此外,研讨会还强调了国际关系在促进国家间协调与合作方面的作用,特别是在解决水资源短缺和涉及约旦、叙利亚、西岸和以色列的水政治等问题方面。
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引用次数: 6
期刊
Handbook on the Economics of Climate Change
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