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2010 WPSA: Section 22 Voting & Elections (Topic)最新文献

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Targeting Voters: Citizens and Partisan Get-Out-The-Vote Efforts 目标选民:公民和党派争取投票的努力
Pub Date : 2010-03-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1581765
Matthew J. Burbank, Melissa M. Goldsmith
The major political parties have put more resources into their get-out-the-vote (GOTV) efforts since the 2000 elections. Both parties have turned to "microtargeting" to develop sophisticated strategies to contact those citizens who can be persuaded to turn out and to vote for their candidate. In this paper, we examine who gets contacted by the parties and whether the parties’ investments in microtargeting appear to produce different patterns in contacting over time. Of course, parties have always sought to turnout their most loyal supporters on election day, but if the parties' microtargeting strategies work as intended we should see individual partisanship being less predictive of who gets contacted as parties are better able to contact citizens who may not be ardent supporters but are persuadable. Using data from the National Election Studies for both congressional and presidential elections from 1990-2008, we examine who is most likely to be contacted and whether the characteristics of targeted potential voters have changed over time.
自2000年大选以来,各大政党已将更多资源投入到他们的投票动员工作中。两党都转向了“微目标”来制定复杂的策略,以联系那些可以被说服出来投票给他们的候选人的公民。在本文中,我们考察了各方接触谁,以及各方在微目标上的投资是否会随着时间的推移产生不同的接触模式。当然,政党总是寻求在选举日让他们最忠实的支持者参加投票,但如果政党的微目标策略如预期的那样起作用,我们应该看到个人党派关系对谁会得到联系的预测作用减弱,因为政党更能联系到那些可能不是热心支持者但可说服的公民。利用1990年至2008年国会和总统选举的全国选举研究数据,我们研究了最有可能联系的人,以及目标潜在选民的特征是否随着时间的推移而发生了变化。
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2010 WPSA: Section 22 Voting & Elections (Topic)
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