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A new hybrid prediction model of PM2.5 concentration based on secondary decomposition and optimized extreme learning machine. 基于二次分解和优化极限学习机的新型 PM2.5 浓度混合预测模型。
IF 5.8 Pub Date : 2022-09-01 Epub Date: 2022-05-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-022-20375-y
Hong Yang, Junlin Zhao, Guohui Li

As air pollution worsens, the prediction of PM2.5 concentration becomes increasingly important for public health. This paper proposes a new hybrid prediction model of PM2.5 concentration based on complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN), amplitude-aware permutation entropy (AAPE), variational mode decomposition improved by marine predators algorithm (MPA-VMD), and extreme learning machine optimized by chimp optimization algorithm (ChOA-ELM), named CEEMDAN-AAPE-MPA-VMD-ChOA-ELM. Firstly, CEEMDAN is used to decompose the original data, and AAPE is used to quantify the complexity of all IMF components. Secondly, MPA-VMD is used to decompose the IMF component with the maximum AAPE. Lastly, ChOA-ELM is used to predict all IMF components, and all prediction results are reconstructed to obtain the final prediction results. The proposed model combines the advantages of secondary decomposition technique, feature analysis, and optimization algorithm, which can predict PM2.5 concentration accurately. PM2.5 concentrations at hourly intervals collected from March 1, 2021, to March 31, 2021, in Shanghai and Shenyang, China, are used for experimental study and DM test. The experimental results in Shanghai show that the RMSE, MAE, MAPE, and R2 of the proposed model are 1.0676, 0.7685, 0.0181, and 0.9980 respectively, which is better than all comparison models at 90% confidence level. In Shenyang, the RMSE, MAE, MAPE, and R2 of the proposed model are 1.4399, 1.1258, 0.0389, and 0.9976, respectively, which is better than all comparison models at 95% confidence level.

随着空气污染的加剧,PM2.5 浓度的预测对公众健康越来越重要。本文提出了一种基于自适应噪声的完全集合经验模式分解(CEEMDAN)、振幅感知排列熵(AAPE)、海洋捕食者算法改进的变分模式分解(MPA-VMD)和黑猩猩优化算法优化的极端学习机(ChOA-ELM)的新型 PM2.5 浓度混合预测模型,命名为 CEEMDAN-AAPE-MPA-VMD-ChOA-ELM。首先,CEEMDAN 用于分解原始数据,AAPE 用于量化 IMF 所有成分的复杂性。其次,使用 MPA-VMD 分解 AAPE 最大的 IMF 分量。最后,使用 ChOA-ELM 预测所有 IMF 分量,并对所有预测结果进行重构,得到最终预测结果。所提出的模型结合了二次分解技术、特征分析和优化算法的优点,可以准确预测 PM2.5 浓度。实验研究和 DM 测试使用了 2021 年 3 月 1 日至 2021 年 3 月 31 日在中国上海和沈阳采集的每小时 PM2.5 浓度。上海的实验结果表明,在 90% 置信度下,所提模型的 RMSE、MAE、MAPE 和 R2 分别为 1.0676、0.7685、0.0181 和 0.9980,优于所有对比模型。在沈阳,建议模型的 RMSE、MAE、MAPE 和 R2 分别为 1.4399、1.1258、0.0389 和 0.9976,在 95% 置信度下优于所有对比模型。
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引用次数: 0
Design and Application of New Testing Slots in the Tracking Control System 跟踪控制系统中新型测试槽的设计与应用
Pub Date : 2012-04-01 DOI: 10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.507.112
Yan Yu, X. Liu, S. Shang
A test soil-bin is an effective device to test the whole or components of the agricultural machinery. A new computer control and test system featuring PLC control and PXI bus has been designed to control the whole soil bin system including motion control and correlative date processing. This paper introduces the software design as well as the hardware design of the electric control system and test system. The result of the present work implied that soil-bin testing platform can provide reliable data for agricultural machinery research, which has a significant effect on the agricultural machinery technology innovation and saving the cost of research and development.
试验土仓是对农业机械整体或部件进行试验的有效装置。设计了一套以PLC控制和PXI总线为核心的微机控制测试系统,实现了对整个土仓系统的控制,包括运动控制和相关数据处理。本文介绍了电气控制系统和测试系统的软件设计和硬件设计。研究结果表明,土仓试验平台可为农机研究提供可靠的数据,对农机技术创新和节约研发成本具有重要作用。
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引用次数: 1
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东北农业大学学报
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