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Liquidity, Trends and the Great Recession 流动性、趋势和大衰退
Pub Date : 2014-02-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2494398
Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana, Ryo Jinnai
We study the impact that the liquidity crunch in 2008-2009 had on the U.S. economy’s growth trend. To this end, we propose a model featuring endogenous growth a la Romer and a liquidity friction a la Kiyotaki-Moore. A key finding in our study is that liquidity declined around the demise of Lehman Brothers, which lead to the severe contraction in the economy. This liquidity shock was a tail event. Improving conditions in financial markets were crucial in the subsequent recovery. Had conditions remained at their worst level in 2008, output would have been 20 percent below its actual level in 2011.
本文研究了2008-2009年流动性紧缩对美国经济增长趋势的影响。为此,我们提出了一个内生增长的罗默模型和流动性摩擦的清泷-摩尔模型。我们研究的一个关键发现是,流动性在雷曼兄弟(Lehman Brothers)倒闭前后下降,这导致了经济的严重收缩。这种流动性冲击是尾部事件。金融市场状况的改善对随后的复苏至关重要。如果经济状况维持在2008年最糟糕的水平,2011年的产出将比实际水平低20%。
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引用次数: 33
Educational Credentialism and Elite Formation in Japan: A Long-Term Perspective 日本的学历主义与精英形成:一个长期的视角
Pub Date : 2013-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2287883
Daiji Kawaguchi, Hiroshi Ono
In spite of the significant restructuring of the university system in the postwar period, national universities continue to occupy the top end of the prestige hierarchy of universities in Japan. In this paper, we examine long-term trends in the educational credentials of Japanese corporate executives. We use high-quality data from the directory of corporate executives to assess whether the mechanisms of elite production has changed over time. We find that the fraction of corporate executives graduating from private universities increased significantly, in accordance with the massive expansion of private universities in the postwar period. At the same time, our cohort-based analysis finds that private university graduates are being recruited into executive positions at a pace that exceeds its natural growth rate. Our findings weaken the view that certain prestigious universities are stable institutions to reproduce the nation's elites. The improved access to university education results in greater educational diversity and heterogeneity among the nation's elites.
尽管战后日本的大学体系进行了重大改革,但国立大学仍然占据着日本大学声望等级的顶端。在本文中,我们研究了日本企业高管学历的长期趋势。我们使用来自公司高管目录的高质量数据来评估精英生产机制是否随着时间的推移而改变。我们发现,毕业于私立大学的企业高管比例显著增加,这与战后私立大学的大规模扩张相一致。与此同时,我们基于群体的分析发现,私立大学毕业生被招聘到高管职位的速度超过了其自然增长率。我们的研究结果削弱了某些名牌大学是培养国家精英的稳定机构的观点。大学教育机会的增加导致了国家精英教育的多样性和异质性。
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引用次数: 0
Managing Competency Creating R&D Subsidiaries: Evidence from Japanese Multinationals 研发子公司的竞争力管理:来自日本跨国公司的证据
Pub Date : 2012-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2247175
K. Motohashi
Globalization of business activities is imperative for Japanese manufacturers, as an international market, particularly in emerging economies, grows much faster than domestic market. In this regards, the relative importance of their overseas subsidiaries to home base headquarter become greater. One of strategic roles of overseas subsidiary is that of competence creation, not only for its host country, but for a whole company wide activity in the world. In this paper, the shift of overseas ’subsidiary role to competence creation is analyzed by the dataset from the METI ’s Survey on Overseas Business Activities (SOBA) from 1999 to 2008. It is found that a balance between control of headquarter and autonomy of subsidiary is required to make this shift. In addition, it is important for a headquarter to accumulate experiences at host country operation to manage competence creating overseas subsidiary, particularly in emerging economies such as China, where a local business context is much different from Japan.
商业活动的全球化对日本制造商来说是必不可少的,因为国际市场,特别是新兴经济体的市场,比国内市场增长得快得多。在这方面,他们的海外子公司相对于总部的重要性变得更大。海外子公司的战略角色之一是竞争力的创造,不仅对其所在国,而且对整个公司在世界范围内的活动。本文利用日本经济产业省1999 - 2008年海外商业活动调查数据,分析了海外辅助角色向能力创造的转变。研究发现,要实现这一转变,需要在总部控制权和子公司自主权之间取得平衡。此外,对于总部来说,积累在东道国运营的经验以管理创建海外子公司的能力是很重要的,特别是在中国等新兴经济体,当地的商业环境与日本有很大不同。
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引用次数: 6
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Tokyo Center for Economic Research (TCER) Research Paper Series
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