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Technological frontiers and embeddings: A visualization approach 技术前沿和嵌入:一种可视化方法
S. Cunningham, J. Kwakkel
The paper concerns the measurement and forecasting of technological change, a topic relevant to many high-tech organizations and their customers. We revisit recent and classic data sets from technology forecasting data envelopment analysis (TFDEA) research and technometrics in light of a new visualization technique known as t-Distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SNE). The technique is a non-linear visualization technique for preserving local structure in high-dimensional spaces of data. The technique may be classified as a form of topological data analysis. Specifically each point in the space represents a potential technological design or implementation, and each line segment in the space represents a local measure of technological improvement or degradation. We hypothesize six distinct kinds of performance development in technology within this space including the frontier, the fold, the salient, the soliton, and the lock-in. Then we examine the spaces to determine which kinds of development are the best explanations for observed development. The technique is not extrapolative, and therefore cannot supplant existing technometric methods. Nonetheless the approach offers a useful diagnostic to existing technometric methods, and may help advance theories of technological development.
本文关注技术变革的测量和预测,这是一个与许多高科技组织及其客户相关的主题。我们根据一种称为t分布随机邻居嵌入(t-SNE)的新的可视化技术,重新审视了技术预测数据包络分析(TFDEA)研究和技术计量学的最新和经典数据集。该技术是一种在高维数据空间中保留局部结构的非线性可视化技术。该技术可以归类为拓扑数据分析的一种形式。具体来说,空间中的每个点代表一种潜在的技术设计或实现,空间中的每个线段代表技术改进或退化的局部度量。我们假设在这个空间中有六种不同的技术性能发展,包括前沿、折叠、突出、孤立和锁定。然后我们检查空间,以确定哪种类型的发展是对观察到的发展的最佳解释。该技术不是外推的,因此不能取代现有的技术测量方法。尽管如此,该方法为现有的技术计量方法提供了有用的诊断,并可能有助于推进技术发展的理论。
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引用次数: 5
Exploring technology evolution using patent classification: A case of cochlear implant technology patents 利用专利分类探讨技术演变:以人工耳蜗技术专利为例
S. Arunagiri, M. Mathew
Understanding technology evolution through periodic landscaping is an important stage of strategic planning in R&D Management. In fields like that of healthcare, where the initial R&D investment is huge and good medical product serve patients better, these activities become crucial. Approximately five percentage of the world population has hearing disabilities. Current hearing aid products meet less than ten percent of the global needs. Patent data and classifications on cochlear implants from 1977-2010, show the landscapes and evolution in the area of such implant. We attempt to highlight emergence and disappearance of patent classes over period of time showing variations in cochlear implant technologies. A network analysis technique is used to explore and capture technology evolution in patent classes showing what emerged or disappeared over time. Dominant classes are identified. The sporadic influence of university research in cochlear implants is also discussed.
通过周期性景观来理解技术演变是研发管理战略规划的重要阶段。在医疗保健等领域,初期研发投入巨大,好的医疗产品能更好地为患者服务,这些活动变得至关重要。世界上大约5%的人口有听力障碍。目前的助听器产品只能满足不到10%的全球需求。1977-2010年的人工耳蜗专利数据和分类显示了人工耳蜗领域的格局和演变。我们试图突出专利类别的出现和消失在一段时间内显示在人工耳蜗技术的变化。网络分析技术用于探索和捕获专利类中的技术演变,显示随着时间的推移出现或消失的内容。统治阶级被确定。大学研究对人工耳蜗植入的零星影响也进行了讨论。
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引用次数: 5
Detection and introduction of emerging technologies for green buildings in Thailand 泰国绿色建筑新兴技术的检测和引进
Tanunya Visessonchok, H. Sasaki, I. Sakata
Energy efficiency in Thailand remains low despite the escalating energy consumption. Moreover, Thailand's energy security situation is risky and unsustainable due to its large proportion of energy import and heavy dependency on natural gas for electricity generation. In this paper, a complete citation-based approach employing academic and patent data are utilized in order to detect the emerging technologies for green buildings in tropical countries like Thailand. Data from academic papers and patents are studied simultaneously, and solar cooling has been identified as a promising technology. Solar cooling possesses great potential since it closely fits the environment in Thailand where there is abundant sunlight all year round and air conditioning consumes roughly half of the total electrical usage.
尽管能源消耗不断上升,但泰国的能源效率仍然很低。此外,由于泰国能源进口比例较大,发电严重依赖天然气,其能源安全形势存在风险和不可持续性。本文采用完整的基于引文的方法,利用学术和专利数据来检测泰国等热带国家绿色建筑的新兴技术。同时研究了来自学术论文和专利的数据,太阳能冷却已被确定为一项有前途的技术。太阳能制冷具有巨大的潜力,因为它非常适合泰国全年阳光充足的环境,空调消耗约占总用电量的一半。
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引用次数: 4
Analyzing technological knowledge diffusion among technological fields using patent data: The example of microfluidics 利用专利数据分析技术领域间的技术知识扩散:以微流体为例
Zheng Qiao, Lu-cheng Huang, Fei-fei Wu, Dan Wu, Hui Zhang
Study of technological knowledge diffusion can provide a basis for R&D planners to invest new R&D projects with a proper direction. In this paper, we introduce a modified method to analyze the diffusion degree of technological knowledge among different technological fields using patent data at the technology patent class level. This method first generates a patent citation network related to a specific research area and then establishes a technological field diffusion matrix according to the concordance between the patent document and the corresponding patent class. After that indicators are set up to measure the diffusion degree of technological field from two aspects of diffusion depth and breadth and then we discern the diffusion types of typical fields. Finally, we conduct microfluidic technology as a case study to prove the feasibility of the method.
对技术知识扩散的研究可以为研发计划者对新的研发项目进行正确的投资方向提供依据。本文引入了一种改进的方法,利用技术专利类别水平上的专利数据分析技术知识在不同技术领域之间的扩散程度。该方法首先生成与特定研究领域相关的专利引文网络,然后根据专利文献与相应专利类别的一致性建立技术领域扩散矩阵。在此基础上,从扩散深度和广度两个方面建立了衡量技术领域扩散程度的指标,并对典型领域的扩散类型进行了辨析。最后,以微流控技术为例,验证了该方法的可行性。
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引用次数: 5
Implicit patent alliance acquiring the appropriability of innovation: A case study on inkjet printer companies 隐性专利联盟获取创新的适宜性:以喷墨打印机企业为例
Yoshimasa Goto, K. Gemba
This paper proposes a new innovation management scheme called “implicit patent alliance,” and discusses its effectiveness and the conditions required to enact such a scheme with case study of inkjet printers. “Implicit patent alliance” is a patent management scheme in order to create appropriability of innovation. In many markets except a few such as medicine and chemicals, essential patents may not help patentees to dominate the market, because products consist of many essential patents distributed among companies. This situation gives opportunity for many companies to enter the market, and makes the existing patent system ineffective in the process of innovation appropriability. If few companies have essential patents and they cross-license only among them and do not license to their competitors that have no essential patent, a collection of these cross-licenses would work as a virtual alliance which can occupy essential patents. We call this virtual alliance “implicit patent alliance”. Implicit patent alliance is capable to create appropriability of innovation thanks to occupying essential patents even in the markets such as electronics and machinery where one product consists of many patents. In the ink-jet printer market, three patentees of essential patents, Canon, EPSON and Hewlett-Packard, have been in the relation of cross-license only among them. They did not license to outside alliance and dominated the market.
本文提出了一种新的创新管理模式“隐性专利联盟”,并以喷墨打印机为例,讨论了该模式的有效性和实施条件。“隐性专利联盟”是一种以创造创新适宜性为目的的专利管理方案。在许多市场,除了医药和化学等少数市场,必要专利可能无助于专利权人主导市场,因为产品由许多分布在公司之间的必要专利组成。这种情况为许多公司进入市场提供了机会,并使现有的专利制度在创新适宜性的过程中失效。如果很少有公司拥有必要的专利,他们只在这些公司之间交叉授权,而不向没有必要专利的竞争对手授权,那么这些交叉授权的集合就会形成一个虚拟联盟,可以占据必要的专利。我们称这种虚拟联盟为“隐性专利联盟”。隐性专利联盟即使在电子、机械等一个产品包含许多专利的市场中,也能占据必要的专利,从而创造创新的适宜性。在喷墨打印机市场,关键专利的三个专利权人,佳能、爱普生和惠普,其中只有交叉许可的关系。他们不允许外部联盟,并主导了市场。
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引用次数: 1
Technology assessment for energy efficiency programs in Pacific Northwest 太平洋西北地区能源效率项目的技术评估
Ibrahim Iskin, T. Daim
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引用次数: 3
Assessment of solar photovoltaic technologies using multiple perspectives and hierarchical decision modeling: Manufacturers worldview 利用多视角和分层决策模型评估太阳能光伏技术:制造商的世界观
N. Sheikh, Young-Jun Park, D. Kocaoglu
The assessment of photovoltaic technologies using multiple perspectives such as social, technological, economic, environmental, and political (STEEP) have become increasingly important in the last several years. Each perspective is composed of multiple criteria with the social and political perspectives gaining more significance. A hierarchical decision model using expert judgment quantification was developed to provide the relative ranking of the criteria. Such modeling is effective in assessing technologies considering multiple competing perspectives and criteria. The model was operationalized via desirability functions for each criterion. The combined results provide scores for each technology and indicate in which criteria the technology needs improvement. In earlier research the electric utility worldview was considered to assess multiple photovoltaic technologies. In this paper the solar photovoltaic manufacturer worldview case study is presented.
在过去几年中,从社会、技术、经济、环境和政治(STEEP)等多个角度对光伏技术进行评估变得越来越重要。每个视角都由多个标准组成,其中社会和政治视角更加重要。提出了一种采用专家判断量化的分层决策模型,给出了各准则的相对排序。这种建模在评估考虑多个相互竞争的观点和标准的技术时是有效的。该模型通过每个标准的期望函数进行操作。综合结果为每种技术提供分数,并指出该技术需要改进的标准。在早期的研究中,电力公司的世界观被认为是评估多种光伏技术。本文对太阳能光伏制造商的世界观进行了案例分析。
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引用次数: 17
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Proceedings of PICMET '14 Conference: Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology; Infrastructure and Service Integration
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