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Fast Greeks by Algorithmic Differentiation 快速希腊人的算法微分
Pub Date : 2010-06-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1619626
Luca Capriotti
We show how Algorithmic Differentiation can be used to implement efficiently the Pathwise Derivative method for the calculation of option sensitivities with Monte Carlo. The main practical difficulty of the Pathwise Derivative method is that it requires the differentiation of the payout function. For the type of structured options for which Monte Carlo simulations are usually employed, these derivatives are typically cumbersome to calculate analytically, and too time consuming to evaluate with standard finite-differences approaches. In this paper we address this problem and show how Algorithmic Differentiation can be employed to calculate very efficiently and with machine precision accuracy these derivatives. We illustrate the basic workings of this computational technique by means of simple examples, and we demonstrate with several numerical tests how the Pathwise Derivative method combined with Algorithmic Differentiation – especially in the adjoint mode – can provide speed-ups of several orders of magnitude with respect to standard methods.
我们展示了如何使用算法微分来有效地实现蒙特卡罗期权敏感性计算的路径导数方法。路径导数法的主要实际困难在于它需要支付函数的微分。对于通常采用蒙特卡罗模拟的结构化期权类型,这些导数通常难以进行解析计算,并且使用标准有限差分方法进行评估太耗时。在本文中,我们解决了这个问题,并展示了如何使用算法微分来非常有效地计算这些导数,并具有机器精度。我们通过简单的例子说明了这种计算技术的基本工作原理,并通过几个数值测试证明了路径导数方法与算法微分相结合-特别是在伴随模式下-可以提供相对于标准方法的几个数量级的加速。
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引用次数: 64
Best Practices in Measuring and Managing Market Risks after 2008 Crisis 2008年金融危机后衡量和管理市场风险的最佳实践
Pub Date : 2009-12-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1528426
Antonio F. A. Silva, P. Carvalho, José Renato Haas Ornelas
This paper discusses assumptions behind market risk measures and models. Using a sample period that includes the 2008 international financial crisis, we run a case study with four market risk models: Riskmetics(TM), Historical Simulation, Mixture of Normal with Monte Carlo Simulation and an approach based on Extreme Value Theory. We argue that the trend in the industry is for more sophisticated models, but the necessary degree of complexity is not so clear. We also conclude that the appropriate approach is not to rely only in a single model or measure for market risk management. In fact, as market participants know all the assumptions behind market risk models and measures, the challenge is to build a risk management strategy that takes into account a framework more complex than relying on a single number.
本文讨论了市场风险度量和模型背后的假设。本文以2008年国际金融危机为样本,对四种市场风险模型进行了案例研究:风险度量(TM)、历史模拟、正态与蒙特卡罗模拟混合模型以及基于极值理论的方法。我们认为,该行业的趋势是采用更复杂的模型,但必要的复杂程度并不那么清楚。我们还得出结论,适当的方法不是仅仅依靠单一的模型或措施来进行市场风险管理。事实上,由于市场参与者知道市场风险模型和措施背后的所有假设,挑战在于建立一个考虑到比依赖单一数字更复杂的框架的风险管理策略。
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引用次数: 0
Sensex Journey
Pub Date : 2009-08-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1456761
Satbir Bagga
For the premier Stock Exchange that pioneered the stock broking activity in India, 128 years of experience seems to be a proud milestone. A lot has changed since 1875 when 318 persons became members of what today is called "The Stock Exchange, Mumbai" by paying a princely amount of Re1. Since then, the country's capital markets have passed through both good and bad periods. The journey in the 20th century has not been an easy one. Till the decade of eighties, there was no scale to measure the ups and downs in the Indian stock market. The Stock Exchange, Mumbai (BSE) in 1986 came out with a stock index that subsequently became the barometer of the Indian stock market.
对于开创印度股票经纪业务的首要证券交易所来说,128年的经验似乎是一个值得骄傲的里程碑。自1875年以来,情况发生了很大的变化,当时有318人通过支付一大笔卢比成为今天所谓的“孟买证券交易所”的会员。从那以后,这个国家的资本市场经历了好与坏的时期。20世纪的历程并不平坦。直到上世纪80年代,印度股市的涨跌还没有衡量的尺度。1986年,孟买证券交易所(BSE)推出了一种股票指数,后来成为印度股市的晴雨表。
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引用次数: 0
Takeovers and Divergence of Investor Opinion 收购与投资者意见分歧
Pub Date : 2009-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1327289
Sris Chatterjee, Kose John, An Yan
We test several hypotheses on how takeover premium is related to investors' divergence of opinion on a target's equity value. We show that the total takeover premium, the pre-announcement target stock price run-up, and the post-announcement stock price markup are all higher when investors have higher divergence of opinion. We obtain identical results with higher market-level investor sentiment. When divergence of opinion is higher, a firm is less likely to be a takeover target, although takeover synergy in successful takeovers is higher. Our results suggest that takeovers may play a role in explaining high contemporaneous stock prices in the presence of high divergence of investor opinion. The Author 2011. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com., Oxford University Press.
我们检验了收购溢价如何与投资者对目标股权价值的意见分歧相关的几个假设。结果表明,当投资者意见分歧程度较高时,总收购溢价、公告前目标股价涨幅和公告后目标股价涨幅均较高。我们在更高的市场投资者情绪下获得了相同的结果。当意见分歧越大时,企业成为收购目标的可能性就越小,尽管成功收购中的收购协同效应更高。我们的研究结果表明,在投资者意见存在高度分歧的情况下,收购可能在解释高同期股价方面发挥作用。作者2011。牛津大学出版社代表金融研究学会出版。版权所有。有关许可,请发送电子邮件:journals.permissions@oup.com.,牛津大学出版社。
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引用次数: 91
Downside Risk Control of Derivative Portfolios with Mean-Reverting Underlyings 均值回归基础衍生品投资组合的下行风险控制
Pub Date : 2009-02-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1344370
P. Leoni
We carry out a Monte-Carlo simulation of a standard portfolio management strategy involving derivatives, to estimate the sensitivity of its downside risk to a change of mean-reversion of the underlyings. We find that the higher the intensity of mean-reversion, the lower the probability of reaching a pre-determined loss level. This phenomenon appears of large statistical significance for large enough loss levels. We also find that the higher the mean-reversion intensity of the underlyings, the longer the expected time to reach those loss levels. The simulations suggest that selecting underlyings with high mean-reversion effect is a natural way to reduce the downside risk of those widely traded assets.
我们对涉及衍生品的标准投资组合管理策略进行蒙特卡洛模拟,以估计其下行风险对基础资产均值回归变化的敏感性。我们发现,均值回归强度越高,达到预定损失水平的概率越低。对于足够大的损失水平,这种现象似乎具有很大的统计显著性。我们还发现,基础的平均回归强度越高,达到这些损失水平的预期时间就越长。模拟结果表明,选择具有高均值回归效应的标的是降低这些广泛交易资产的下行风险的一种自然方式。
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引用次数: 2
Beyond Facts and Figures: The Role of Emotions in Boardroom Dynamics 超越事实和数据:情绪在董事会动态中的作用
Pub Date : 2008-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-8683.2008.00688.x
Ethel Brundin, M. Nordqvist
We address the call for qualitative research in order to better understand the micro-level dynamics of board work. Our aim is to investigate the role of emotions when board members interact to perform the board's control and service tasks. Empirical accounts from board meetings and diary notes from a CEO show in detail how emotions work as power energizers and status energizers in boardroom dynamics. We find that short-term as well as long-term emotions are a source of energy that affects board work, and that they are influential in the board members' task performance. We provide process insights with process insights to a field dominated by studies of the structures of corporate governance. We disclose the difference between board expectations and board performance, and offer a new understanding as to how and why this difference emerges. Our results also challenge theories that propose that authenticity of emotional displays is necessary in order to achieve a positive outcome in boardroom interactions. The findings also show that confrontation of negative emotions in boardroom communication may alter the power and status relations among board members. Our study shows that the board members who influence processes in the board are those whose emotional energies are built up and transformed as power and status energizers in line with board task expectations. Being aware, and able to understand the subtle working of emotions in board processes are crucial for being an effective board member.
我们呼吁进行定性研究,以便更好地理解董事会工作的微观动态。我们的目的是调查情绪的作用,当董事会成员互动,以执行董事会的控制和服务任务。董事会会议的经验性记录和一位CEO的日记详细展示了情绪如何在董事会动态中作为权力推动者和地位推动者发挥作用。我们发现,短期情绪和长期情绪都是影响董事会工作的能量来源,并对董事会成员的任务绩效产生影响。我们为以公司治理结构研究为主导的领域提供过程见解。我们揭示了董事会期望和董事会绩效之间的差异,并对这种差异如何以及为何出现提供了新的理解。我们的研究结果也挑战了一些理论,这些理论认为,为了在董事会互动中取得积极的结果,情感表现的真实性是必要的。研究结果还表明,在董事会沟通中,负面情绪的对抗可能会改变董事会成员之间的权力和地位关系。我们的研究表明,影响董事会进程的董事会成员是那些情绪能量被建立并转化为符合董事会任务期望的权力和地位激励者的人。意识到并能够理解情绪在董事会过程中的微妙作用,对于成为一名有效的董事会成员至关重要。
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引用次数: 93
The One Share - One Vote Debate: A Theoretical Perspective 一股一票辩论:一个理论视角
Pub Date : 2007-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.987486
Mike Burkart, Samuel David Lee
The impact of separating cash flow and votes depends on the ownership structure. In widely held firms, one share - one vote is in general not optimal. While it ensures an efficient outcome in bidding contests, dual-class shares mitigate the free-rider problem, thereby promoting takeovers. In the presence of a controlling shareholder, one share - one vote promotes value-increasing control transfers and deters value-decreasing control transfers more effectively than any other vote allocation. Moreover, leveraging the insider's voting power aggravates agency conflicts because it protects her from the takeover threat and provides less alignment with other shareholders. Even so, minority shareholder protection is not a compelling argument for regulatory intervention, as rational investors anticipate the insider's opportunism. Rather, the rationale for mandating one share - one vote must be to disempower controlling minority shareholders in order to promote value-increasing takeovers. As this policy tends to empower managers vis-a-vis shareholders, it is an open question whether it would improve the quality of corporate governance, notably in systems built around large active owners. The verdict in the case of depositary certificates, priority shares, voting and ownership ceilings is less ambiguous, since they insulate managers from both takeovers and effective shareholder monitoring.
现金流与投票权分离的影响取决于股权结构。在被广泛持有的公司中,一股一票通常不是最优的。尽管双层股权结构确保了竞标的高效结果,但它缓解了搭便车的问题,从而促进了收购。在有控股股东的情况下,一股一票比任何其他投票权分配更有效地促进了价值增加的控制权转移,并阻止了价值减少的控制权转移。此外,利用内部人的投票权加剧了代理冲突,因为它保护她免受收购威胁,并减少了与其他股东的一致。即便如此,保护少数股东并不是监管干预的有力论据,因为理性投资者会预测到内部人士的机会主义。相反,强制规定一股一票的理由,必须是剥夺控股少数股东的权力,以促进增值收购。由于这一政策倾向于赋予管理者相对于股东的权力,因此它是否会提高公司治理的质量,尤其是在围绕大型活跃股东建立的体系中,是一个悬而未决的问题。对于存托凭证、优先股、投票权和所有权上限的裁决就不那么模棱两可了,因为它们使管理人员既不受收购的影响,也不受有效的股东监督。
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引用次数: 43
Catastrophe Futures: Financial Markets for Unknown Risks 巨灾期货:未知风险的金融市场
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1377706
G. Chichilnisky
New risks seem to be unavoidable in a period of rapid change. The last few decades have brought us the risks of global warming, nuclear melt-down, ozone depletion, failure of satellite launcher rockets, collision of supertankers, AIDS, and Ebola. A key feature of a new risk, as opposed to an old and familiar one, is that one knows little about it. In particular, one knows little about the chances or the costs of its occurrence. This makes it hard to manage these risks. Existing paradigms for the rational management of risks require that we associate frequencies to various levels of losses. This poses particular challenges for the insurance industry, which is at the leading edge of risk management. Misestimation of new risks has led to several bankruptcies in the insurance and reinsurance businesses. In this chapter we propose a novel framework for providing insurance cover against risks whose parameters are unknown. In fact many of the risks at issue may not be just unknown but also unknowable, It is difficult to imagine repetition of the events leading to global warming or ozone depletion, and therefore difficult to devise a relative frequency associated with repeated experiments.
在快速变化的时期,新的风险似乎是不可避免的。过去几十年给我们带来了全球变暖、核熔毁、臭氧消耗、卫星发射火箭失败、超级油轮相撞、艾滋病和埃博拉病毒的风险。与熟悉的老风险相比,新风险的一个关键特征是人们对它知之甚少。特别是,人们对其发生的机会或成本知之甚少。这使得管理这些风险变得困难。合理管理风险的现有范例要求我们将频率与不同程度的损失联系起来。这对处于风险管理前沿的保险业构成了特别的挑战。对新风险的错误估计导致了几家保险和再保险公司的破产。在这一章中,我们提出了一个新的框架,为其参数未知的风险提供保险。事实上,许多有争议的风险可能不仅是未知的,而且也是不可知的。很难想象导致全球变暖或臭氧消耗的事件会重复发生,因此很难设计出与重复实验相关的相对频率。
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引用次数: 5
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Corporate Governance: Decisions
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